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Ukraine War


Yes, different, but similar sort of issue. For whatever reason this war started, it has the potential to significantly escalate due to energy.
 
Are you suggesting Saudis import and store for potential Western use, or just to purchase of Russia to fund them?
Either.

I’m basically thinking that oil is an intrinsically valuable commodity and that for any country with a government able to think long term, having a physical stockpile is definitely not a problem.

The ultimate goal would be to straddle both sides. Buy Russian oil without the West knowing. Now you’ve got Russia on side, you’ve got a physical oil stockpile and you haven’t upset the West.

Then Saudi etc could come forth and say that, given the oil shortage, we’re going to boost production for a while. We’ve got this new oil field see, and technically well its oil is remarkably similar to Russian oil......

That oil would of course be sold at full market price.

Another would be the importing countries. Given China’s daily imports are huge, ending up with a stockpile definitely wouldn’t be a problem. Keep buying the Saudi etc oil to make sure nobody else does, buy Russian oil as well and build up inventory. It’ll be useful someday for sure and in the meantime it’s not a problem to have it.

Regardless of details I’m thinking that Russian oil effectively disappears so far as the West is concerned, it won’t actually be sold at $60
 
Putin crossed the Rubicon the moment Russian troops entered Ukraine with the intention of deposing the Zelensky regime. The die is cast, there is no going back. There is something unsettling to me about the way Russia is fighting this war. It seems like an all of nothing approach to prosecuting a war. The mobilised are being used as cannon fodder in such a shameless way it reeks of total desperation.

If this war was being waged by a Western nation it would be over now, and the leader of the country out of power. But Russia is more like a mafia family than a government as we understand them. Everyone is corrupt and every person who rises to the upper echelons is a ruthless killer. No exceptions. Putin aims to obliterate the Ukrainian nation and destroy their culture and national identity. Be assured that Russia will only bring repression, death and slavery to Ukraine and if it is permitted to succeed, Moldova will be next.

Whatever mistakes the West might have made prior to the war commencing, Russia cannot be allowed to succeed. Russia's defeat will mean the end of the Putin regime. It will also make Russia a toothless tiger for many years to come. They have destroyed almost an entire generation of young men. There will be 100,000 Russian soldiers dead by 2023 and probably close to that again wounded. Appeasement won't work, negotiations won't work, only the total defeat of Russia on the battlefield will work and Western Europe (I'm looking at you Germany!) needs to stop their cowardly hand wringing and start providing real military support.
 
 
Zelensky has "Elon Musk" syndrome. Drowning in his own self-perceived brilliance and thinking himself a messiah like figure in history. But in the end a scumbag who forced young unwilling men to fight in the front lines.

You're not going to like this -


Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy named Time magazine's Person of the Year
 
Its always interesting to look at the final nominations for Times POY.
from Time
Xi jinping (yeah its for real, go read the article)
The US Supreme Court
Elon Musk
Liz Cheney
Mackenzie Scott (Bezos ex wife)
and of Course Zelensky

Could see some reason for Musks nomination, and most certainly for Mackenzie Scott given her Philanthropic donations.
But Cheney? The commie dictator? The Supreme Court?
Some notable ones that missed out include the Murdered Iranian woman that sparked protests in Iran , Masa Amini , or Xiamaro Castro, the first woman president of Honduras, or maybe Pelosi, or maybe even Georgia Meloni who became the first elected female prime minister of Italy.
Mick
 

Wasn't Hitler a POY once?
 

I can understand why Xi Jinping was POY. It wasn't too long ago that China was one of the poorest nations, with a 19th Century industrial system. Chinease leadership improved and during Xi's leadership China continued to reduce poverty, increase personal wealth, modernise industry, and become the second largest economy in the world.
 
Time

"The award goes to an event or person deemed to have had the most influence on global events over the past 12 months"
And it made me wonder why Liz Cheney or the Supreme Court gets a nod - neither of them had any influence at a global scale, unless you consider the USA as global. Oh wait ...
Mick
 
 
Various reports that Belarus are preparing to enter the war, not that they weren't already. Oh dear.
 
Various reports that Belarus are preparing to enter the war, not that they weren't already.
Belarus is not already in the war; Russian forces in Feb did use their territory for incursions.

A measured view from ISW puts a more nuanced view:


Russian President Vladimir Putin will likely pressure Belarusian President Alexander Lukashenko for Russian-Belarusian integration concessions at an upcoming December 19 meeting in Minsk—Putin’s first meeting with Lukashenko in Minsk since 2019.[11] Lukashenko and Putin reportedly will discuss Russian-Belarusian integration issues, unspecified military-political issues, and implementing Union State programs.[12] The Union State is a supranational agreement from 1997 with the stated goal of the federal integration of Russia and Belarus under a joint structure. The Kremlin seeks to use the Union State to establish Russian suzerainty (control) over Belarus.[13]

Lukashenko is already setting information conditions to deflect Russian integration demands as he has done for decades.[14] Lukashenko stressed that "nobody but us is ruling Belarus," and that Belarus is ready to build relations with Russia but that their ties "should always proceed from the premise that we are a sovereign and independent state."[15] It is unclear whether Putin will be successful in extracting his desired concessions from Lukashenko. Lukashenko has so far largely resisted intensified Russian integration demands and has refused to commit Belarusian forces to join Russia's invasion of Ukraine.

Putin’s visit to Minsk could indicate that Putin is trying to set conditions for the newly assessed most dangerous course of action (MDCOA) that ISW reported on December 15: a renewed offensive against Ukraine—possibly against northern Ukraine or Kyiv—in winter 2023.[16] Russian Defense Minister Sergei Shoigu and Belarusian Defense Minister Viktor Khrenin signed an unspecified document to further strengthen bilateral security ties—likely in the context of the Russian-Belarusian Union State—and increase Russian pressure on Belarus to further support the Russian invasion of Ukraine, in Minsk on December 3.[17] ISW’s December 15 MDCOA warning forecast about a potential Russian offensive against northern Ukraine in winter 2023 remains a worst-case scenario within the forecast cone. ISW currently assesses a Russian invasion of Ukraine from Belarus as low, but possible. Belarusian forces remain extremely unlikely to invade Ukraine without a Russian strike force. It is far from clear that Lukashenko would commit Belarusian forces to fight in Ukraine even alongside Russian troops. There are still no indicators that Russian forces are forming a strike force in Belarus.[18]

Putin and Lukashenko’s meeting will—at a minimum—advance a separate Russian information operation that seeks to break Ukrainian will and Western willingness to support Ukraine, however. This meeting will reinforce the Russian information operation designed to convince Ukrainians and Westerners that Russia may attack Ukraine from Belarus. Russia’s continued strikes against Kyiv, constant troop deployments to Belarus, and continued bellicose rhetoric are part of (and mutually reinforce) this information operation....
 

Ukraine has been calling for the US to send the advanced long-range air defense system that is highly effective at intercepting ballistic and cruise missiles as it comes under a barrage of Russian missile and drone attacks that have destroyed key infrastructure across the country. It would be the most effective long-range defensive weapons system sent to the country and officials say it will help secure airspace for NATO nations in eastern Europe.

It is not clear how many missile launchers will be sent but a typical Patriot battery includes a radar set that detects and tracks targets, computers, power generating equipment, an engagement control station and up to eight launchers, each holding four ready to fire missiles.

Once the plans are finalized, the Patriots are expected to ship quickly in the coming days and Ukrainians will be trained to use them at a US Army base in Grafenwoehr, Germany, officials said.
 
If patriot surface to air missile batteries are deployed and If Russia is running low on munitions, one would expect high strike rate against older style Russian cruise missiles.
Interesting times.

 
Zelensky is a given ?
A US intelligence puppet and crook but probably deserves a 1rst place.
As pointed above,man of the year does not have to be positive even if i somehow guess it will be a glowing positive story?
 
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