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Agree totally with you dovetree. The fields of using fundementals and traditional TA have been thoroughly plowed for many years by many competent people. It is highly unlikely that any significant improvements is acheivable on this well-trampled ground. If significant progess is to be made in beating the the market and to succesfully "trade the traders who trade the market" then a new and unconventional approach to what the masses are using is required.dovetree said:The only thing I have learned that I believe is 100% correct is that if everyone is doing one thing in the markets I will make dam sure that I am not doing the same also.... that is the way to make a consistent living out of trading.
tech/a said:Take advantage of what the Market gives you when it gives it to you.
tech/a said:I'll second that.
Take advantage of what the Market gives you when it gives it to you.
Dont live/trade in fear.
Hello Wavepicker,wavepicker said:Agree totally with you dovetree. The fields of using fundementals and traditional TA have been thoroughly plowed for many years by many competent people. It is highly unlikely that any significant improvements is acheivable on this well-trampled ground. If significant progess is to be made in beating the the market and to succesfully "trade the traders who trade the market" then a new and unconventional approach to what the masses are using is required.
For me that has meant abandonding methodologies that others are using and coming up with something completely different that I know is out of reach of most, both in terms of knowledge and application.
I know others will jump out and say that there have been many success stories in the last 3-4 years. That is indeed true. However these are not excactly "normal" market conditions. Markets in the main don't always behave this way and we are indeed very lucky to have such strongly trending markets in the last 3-4 years.The party can (in fact history has proven that it will) be over any time. One must have a methodology/plan that is robust enough to be successfully applied in any market conditions, that is trade the markets both up down and sideways. That's the bottom line if you want to trade for a living. Otherwise you will maybe hanging around for a very long time.
Cheers
wavepicker said:Who cares?
soultrader said:Excellent duc. It seems like all you did was find a market that worked with the MACD. You entirely missed the point of the thread.
dovetree, the TICK Delta is misleading. It should actually be labeled Volume Delta. What it does is it take the number of contracts at the bid vs the number of contracts at the ask and plots whatever the greater on top. A buddy of mine coded it up for me. If you use TS it is available.
and a more recent comment-soultrader said:As a professional futures trader, I have spent my early days of my career making every possible newbie mistake in trading. This involved relying on rookie indicators such as the stochastics and moving average crosses, from relying on candlestick patterns, and newbie chart patterns such as head-n-shoulders and triangles.
As a new trader I lost 2 trading accounts without cleary understanding the pure action of price. The day my trading career turned around was the day I took all my indicators off and relied soley on price action. I then studied market profile to understand price acceptance vs rejection; market balance vs market imbalance.
Now, my core methodology is based on market profile, pivots, and tape reading. Indicators in my opinion are useless. A new trader who relies on indicators will never learn the true art of trading. Market conditions change everyday and indicators and systems must be tweaked constantly. Yet, newbies look for indicators as the holy grail.
Hi James,soultrader said:I agree that indicators can help a trader in many ways. Whatever works for you great! But still indicators are a derivative of price.
I agree Duc.ducati916 said:Prof
If you look at the DIA chart, the price action displayed a picture perfect double bottom............the MACD [if you drew a trendline] was a higher low.
This sort of signal is where [potentially] indicators can be useful. You can place a tight stop on the price action, and try to catch the MACD trend.
To dismiss indicators out of hand is simply incorrect. If you don't *like* them that's fine, but they can have their uses if used correctly.
Incidentally it was dovetree who noted the MACD in the higher timeframe.
jog on
d998
Sorry nizar, that wasn't the intention of my post. I never meant to say it was accurate. I don't think it's any more accurate than any other indicator out there(personally, I prefer the RSI, but they basically do the same job).nizar said:Excellent discussion here.
I agree with what Prof said. I think MACD is quite an accurate indicator.
professor_frink said:Sorry nizar, that wasn't the intention of my post. I never meant to say it was accurate. I don't think it's any more accurate than any other indicator out there(personally, I prefer the RSI, but they basically do the same job).
Ok then.nizar said:Yeh i meant i agreed with your observation that MACD did not turn negative ie. give a short signal, in soultraders example.
Cheers
tech/a said:Indicators used in ISOLATION are pretty well USELESS.
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