I am estimating a yearly dps of 24 cps as of this moment,.... you are calling 20 cps ?? TLS has NEVER PAID anything less than 28 cps yearly since FY2007 !TLS capital management review was worded alot like BHP in 2015 with emphasis on balance sheet over distributions.
BHP had a 30 year record of rising dividends then changed to a payout ratio which resulted in dividends 3 times less.
TLS won't be that extreme, but hypothetical payout ratio of 75% on forecast medium term EBITDA (-10% net NBN vs offset strategies) would cut dividends by about a third.
They said a decision would be due this year, under that scenario what do you pay for 2020 eps of 28c and dividend of 20c?
Telstra owned everything in 2007.I am estimating a yearly dps of 24 cps as of this moment,.... you are calling 20 cps ?? TLS has NEVER PAID anything less than 28 cps yearly since FY2007 !
A 30% drop in dividend, would in must circumstances result in a drop in share price, unless the company has a light at the end of the tunnel rhetoric and vision.TLS capital management review was worded alot like BHP in 2015 with emphasis on balance sheet over distributions.
BHP had a 30 year record of rising dividends then changed to a payout ratio which resulted in dividends 3 times less.
TLS won't be that extreme, but hypothetical payout ratio of 75% on forecast medium term EBITDA (-10% net NBN vs offset strategies) would cut dividends by about a third.
They said a decision would be due this year, under that scenario what do you pay for 2020 eps of 28c and dividend of 20c?
$4.80 is significant now on TLS, that will close the gap on the daily chart.
Still tending to think that another turn down may be a possibility, just my
If Telstra is able to secure something from the coming 4G spectrum auction in April, then, this would be the light at the end of the tunnel ???Telstra owned everything in 2007.
As time goes by they will become more of a reseller, with a rental component from the NBN, unless they can come up with a way to diversify.
Previous attempts, to break into Asia, have come to nought.
The Governments cross media ownership rules, stymie a lot of options to diversify into inter media content, so I personally can't see were the moneys going to come from.
I do hold Telstra.
If Telstra is able to secure something from the coming 4G spectrum auction in April, then, this would be the light at the end of the tunnel ???
It is sufficient if TLS can get a bigger chunk of the auction, and it's not necessary for her to catch everything, IMO,... then the ACCC will not, hopefully force access into ALL the rural areas. Just a small part of the rural area is okay.The other carriers will be bidding for some spectrum also, of greater concern is access to their rural network, if the ACCC forces access big problems. IMO
Boggo it might be worth going to a Telstra shop...
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