Tipping Competition for Full CY 2021

[peter2]

CY 2021 Yearly Competition - End of March update: XAO +2.4% ytd

Same leader, minor shuffle of placings. More losses than gains this month.

Leader: @Miner +106%

2nd: @Muchado +79%

3rd: @access +53%

Best Monthly gains:
@Cam019 +15%
@Miner +14%
@IrishPride +13%
@investtrader +11%

# Competitors beating the XAO: 39/66 = 59%
# Competitors above ZERO: 41/66 = 62%

 

[peter2]

@systematic I haven't adjusted the AYS data for the off market takeover. Conditions were complex and included choices.


For ease of calculation and ongoing monitoring I'm considering the offer of WAM shares.

 

[peter2]

CY 2021 Yearly Competition - End of April update: XAO +6.4% ytd

New leader but let's not make much ado about it.

Leader: @Muchado +120%

2nd: @Miner +90%

3rd: @oilleak +65%

Best Monthly gains: (>20%)
@Muchado +40% (ADO)
@investtrader +28% (ALC, NMT), @leeroy +26% (IHL)
@Garpal Gumnut +24% (VUL), @oilleak +23% (IOU, GRV),
@aus_trader +22%, @So_Cynical +21%, @kenny +21%, @bux2000 +20%

# Competitors beating the XAO: 36/66 = 55% (slightly lower than last month)
# Competitors above ZERO: 40/66 = 62% (same)

 

[peter2]

Early end of May update as I won't have time at the end of May (31st).

Huge moves this month, most of them down. Leader loses 30% but still leads!

New place holders gain 50% in May. The pack is closing in on the leader. There's only 2% in the top 3.

 

[peter2]

CY 2021 Yearly Competition - End of May update: XAO +8.4% ytd


Leader: @Muchado +88%

2nd: @leeroy +85%

3rd: @kenny +85%

Best Monthly gains: (>20%)
@kenny +57% (IMU)
@leeroy +34% (MEY)
@PZ99 +27% (BPM)

# Competitors beating the XAO: 29/66 = 44% (less than last month)
# Competitors above ZERO: 37/66 = 56% (fewer)

New format that puts all the winners and the losers on their own page.



No grumbles about the new format because I'm on the second page with you. Grr.

 

[peter2]

IMU - biotech is a waiting game and IMU is a controversial choice but I'm playing the odds that the trials will reveal positive outcomes during 2021 for the Lung Cancer (Phase 1; PD-1 Vaxx) and gastric cancer (Phase 2; HER-Vaxx).

This months massive mover IMU +140% May, +355% YTD was selected by only one person. Nice @kenny

 

[peter2]

It's raining, I'm locked down and tonight's tennis is cancelled. Quelle horreur!

The end of the month is almost upon us, so I thought I'd take a look at the CY21 leaders.

I can't believe what I'm seeing. The leaders have stumbled and there's a Bentley Arnage with Qld plates racing to the lead!

I haven't looked at the rest of the competitors and things may change tomorrow but prepare ourselves for a surprise tomorrow evening.

 

[Dona Ferentes]

New format that puts all the winners and the losers on their own page.

How timesaving is that!!

 

[peter2]

Y 2021 Yearly Competition - End of June update: XAO +10.7% ytd

Leader: @Garpal Gumnut +88%

2nd: @leeroy +74%

3rd: @PZ99 +71%

Best Monthly gains: (>20%)
@Garpal Gumnut +30% (LTR)
@johnsy800 +26% (LTR)
@PZ99 +24% (LTR)
@Padowan +20% (LTR)

# Competitors above ZERO: 35/66 = 53% (fewer each month)
# Competitors beating the XAO: 25/66 = 38% (less than last month)

Competitors above Zero:



Competitors below Zero:

 

[Gunnerguy]

Y 2021 Yearly Competition - End of June update: XAO +10.7% ytd

Leader: @Garpal Gumnut +88%

2nd: @leeroy +74%

3rd: @PZ99 +71%

Best Monthly gains: (>20%)
@Garpal Gumnut +30% (LTR)
@johnsy800 +26% (LTR)
@PZ99 +24% (LTR)
@Padowan +20% (LTR)

# Competitors above ZERO: 35/66 = 53% (fewer each month)
# Competitors beating the XAO: 25/66 = 38% (less than last month)

Competitors above Zero:

View attachment 126872

Competitors below Zero:

View attachment 126873

I wasn’t around (actively) when this started a year ago but it’s very interesting.
I know this will garner a groan from some in the community, but I’ll say it anyway (quietly) .......
...... only 38% beat the benchmark. I know it’s just for a bit of fun, however it still keeps with my thoughts that it’s very hard to ‘beat the market’.
Hope you all had a good FY 21.
Gunnerguy

 

[So_Cynical]

14th with a respectable 32% - I'm doing much better this year. surprised there are more below 0 than above as its been a good year really.

 

[peter2]

CY 2021 Yearly Competition - End of July update: XAO +11.9% ytd

The leading margin increases and the place holders change.

Leader: @Garpal Gumnut +115%

2nd: @PZ99 +84%

3rd: @bux2000 +78%

Best Monthly gains: (>20%)
@bux2000 +28%
@brerwallabi +28% (VUL, XF1)
@Garpal Gumnut +27% (VUL, LTR)
@Craton +24% (AXE)
@aus_trader +20% (NMT)

# Competitors above ZERO: 36/66 = 54%
# Competitors beating the XAO: 24/66 = 36% (less than last month)

Competitors above Zero:



Competitors below zero.

 

[investtrader]

Peter, Thanks for a great job tracking this comp

 

[peter2]

Middle of August 21 sees @Garpal Gumnut powering further ahead thanks to VUL.
@brerwallabi also making up ground thanks to VUL. These two were the only ones to select VUL (+426% so far).

 

[peter2]

What this? From further down the order comes @Craton who's the only one holding AXE (+356% so far).

This gets him from 13th to 6th.

 

[Craton]

Thanks for the mention and your work on this Peter. Nice to have a flyer in the mix but, overall, still a long ways to go.

 

[peter2]

Almost the end of August and this marks the 3/4 stage. How have the leaders fared this month?
Has VUL, LKE AXE gone higher or have they drifted down?

Has there been a huge move in another stock? Is there a surprise hidden in the pack following the leaders.

All will be revealed after the close (and my dinner) tonight.

 

[peter2]

CY 2021 Yearly Competition - End of August update: XAO +14.2% ytd

Our peerless leader consolidates his lead. (Ross Creek Hotel patrons are continuing to benefit from GG's largesse).

Leader: @Garpal Gumnut +160%

2nd: @leeroy +113%

3rd: @PZ99 +107%

Best Monthly gains: (>30%)
@Garpal Gumnut +45% (VUL, LTR)
@leeroy +42% (IHL,EL8)
@brerwallabi +37% (VUL)
@kenny +36% (IMU)
@So_Cynical +33% (CXL)

# Competitors above ZERO: 35/66 = 53%
# Competitors beating the XAO: 29/66 = 44% (more than last month)

Competitors above Zero:



Competitors below Zero:

 

[bux2000]

Good on Yah Mate
bux

 

[peter2]

This chart shows the progress of the current top 10 throughout the year so far.


Check out the journey of @So_Cynical . There can't be much left in the tank.

The most consistent has been @Garpal Gumnut .