Australian (ASX) Stock Market Forum

Tipping Competition for Full CY 2021

Picks for 2021 Comp

KCN (kingsgate Consolidated)
HRZ (Horizon Minerals)
BBOZ (strong bear ASX200 ETF)
BBUS (strong bear S&P500 ETF)

KCN is my top pick. I confidently expect a resolution of its litigation against the government of Thailand in 2021 and rumour is that it will be in February or even earlier if the Thai Gov settles before judgement. Optimistic about outcome.

HRZ to get a juniour goldie in. HRZ seems cheap for the resources it already has and for its tenements abutting town of Kalgoorlie. Holds a decent amount of cash and equivalents relative to its market cap and making a bit more from campaign mining and toll milling. Possibility of a deal done for its Nimbus silver project during the year - sale or jv? I like HRZ management so far.

BBOZ and BBUS would be well known inverse etfs to most that will make or break me in the 2021 comp. They being leveraged bear bets against the ASX200 and the S&P500. I have a tentative plan to buy these myself but only when I see a chart change, a luxury I don't have for the comp. I expect these to cost me early on but maybe come on hard from back of the field.
.

hows that porridge going @finicky , still warming up ?
taste test today ?
 
@Joules MM1
My selection poised for last Quarter sprint, it'll be like one of those tornado pictures where only one house stands mysteriously untouched.
haha, whirlwind bears are not roaming (yet) but local indexes need of a decent retrace/consolidation,
Scotty should be watching, decent enough pullback says "where the index goes the vote goes"
 
Picks for 2021 Comp
BBOZ and BBUS would be well known inverse etfs to most that will make or break me in the 2021 comp. They being leveraged bear bets against the ASX200 and the S&P500. I have a tentative plan to buy these myself but only when I see a chart change, a luxury I don't have for the comp. I expect these to cost me early on but maybe come on hard from back of the field.
.

suddenly, someone has an exclusive play .......
 
Last day of Sept which marks the end of the third qtr. There's only three months left. That's < 60 trading days.

The competition bear has raised his head a little but I anticipate he'll go back to sleep very soon. Night, night @finicky

Uranium companies are in midst of a pull-back as the short term profiteers sell. Lithium remains solid in demand.
Updated results later this evening.
 
CY 2021 Yearly Competition - End of September update: XAO +11.4% ytd

Uranium decayed a little at the EOM fueling the fossil to the lead once again. (Apologies to a youthful GG for my word play.)

Leader: @Garpal Gumnut +176%

2nd:
@PZ99 +146%

3rd:
@leeroy +135%

Best Monthly gains
: (>30%)

@Padowan +45% (LTR, AVZ)
@johnsy800 +40% (LTR, HAS)
@PZ99 +39% (CXO, LTR)
@UMike +37% (CAU, KCN)
@Dona Ferentes +31% (CXL)
@tech/a +30% (DYL, RHY, MLX)

# Competitors above ZERO: 41/66 = 62% (More than last month)
# Competitors beating the XAO: 29/66 = 44% (same)

Competitors above zero:

asfcy21septa.PNG

Competitors below zero:

asfcy21septb.PNG
 
CY 2021 Yearly Competition - End of October update: XAO ytd +11.5%

New leader as VUL fell on the last day of the month.

Leader: @PZ99 +210%

2nd: @Garpal Gumnut +204%

3rd:
@leeroy +163%

Best Monthly gains
: (>30%)
@PZ99 +64% (CXO, LTR)
@debtfree +37% (LOT,MNS)
@johnsy800 +37% (LTR,HAS)
@Padowan +34% (LTR, MGV)

# Competitors above ZERO: 40/66 = 61% (~ last month)
# Competitors beating the XAO: 33/66 = 50% (better)

Competitors above zero:

asfcy21octa.PNG


Competitors below zero:


asfcy21octb.PNG
 
Latest news update on the ASF CY21 Tipping Comp. Seven weeks to go.

Things are happening! The leaderboard has come to life with lots of changes. The year long rally in lithium has paused. Fairy tales (VUL) have been shorted. Uranium is rallying, off the wall tech (CXL, BRN) have sprouted. Assorted explorers are pumping.

I'll be providing weekly updates for the top 10 only. I will provide the regular EOM updates.

This is going to get very interesting (for those in the top 10, sigh).

New leader is @leeroy , 2nd is @PZ99 and 3rd is @debtfree .

Competitors rallying strongly: leeroy, debtfree, @investtrader , @So_Cynical , @bux2000 , @Dark1975

top107.PNG
 
Note: At the EOY if any of the prize money place holders are within 5% of each other I'll include any divs and capital returns that have been earned throughout the year. eg WES $2 + divs FCredits won't be included.
 
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