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The Gillard Government

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drsmith said:
On Essential Media's latest poll, Labor's re-election prospects are still broken at 54/46 2PP in favour of the Coalition.
http://essentialvision.com.au/category/essentialreport
That's no change on last week.
Click to expand...
Increasingly, questions must be asked about the relationship between the Govt and Newspoll.

Because we've had yet another iteration - the big headline splash '..polls closer, Labor back in the race..', then sure enough, other pollsters saying '..ahem, our results aren't quite that pronounced..'
 
It's a bit odd that Newspoll is conducted exclusively for "The Australian" as I understand it.
And Essential Media has strong connections to Labor.
 
Was driving this morning (in Sydney) and I heard them (Ray Hadley) talk about an article in todays newspaper about the 'cost of benefits' governments have been paying out over the last decade.

I didn't catch all of it (you know how AM is, in the car, with a busted antenna, LOL!), but it sounded like 'When Howard was in power, Government paid out some $60 BILLION per year in benefits. It's now up to over $107 BILLION per year'.

Lets encourage people to - cheat, lie, become lazy dole bludgers, expect hand outs, take the easy path.....
While we're at it, lets let more people into this country who come here expecting everything to be placed on a silver platter.

Talk about people who have no idea how to manage money. Seriously. Stop acting like a little brat trying to get votes, and do the job you were elected to do.

107 Billion - NBN right there - many times over
107 Billion - $6 billion per year wasted on illegal immigrants


It's like a school kid in a candy shop throwing money away like confetti.
 
Mark the Ballot does poll aggregation for the Australian polls, with the most recent post showing poll movements and error margins relative to other polls.

Shorter post, coalition still on track to win.

Julia said:
It's a bit odd that Newspoll is conducted exclusively for "The Australian" as I understand it.
And Essential Media has strong connections to Labor.
Click to expand...

I can't find the analysis now but some has been done to highlight statistical bias, not necessarily political bias though interpretation is obviously open to the individual, in the various polls. If I can find it, I will post.

Edit: Found the most current for Poll Bludger. The table is weighting according to historical polling results.

Code: 
			Weight	F/N	ALP	L-NP	GRN
Newspoll		1.00		+1.0	+0.3	-1.0
Morgan phone	        0.95		+0.2	+0.8	-1.2
Galaxy			0.93		+0.9	+0.3	-1.4
Nielsen			0.74		+2.1	-1.3	-0.6
Essential		0.83	0.70	-2.0	-1.9	+1.0
Morgan F2F		0.47	0.39	-3.6	+1.0	-0.4
 
Julia said:
It's a bit odd that Newspoll is conducted exclusively for "The Australian" as I understand it.
And Essential Media has strong connections to Labor.
Click to expand...

I think there will be a big call for voters to be aware when allocating prefernces.
 
Hi Everyone , Just out of interest has anyone else received a personally addressed letter from their local Labor member or office in the last few days ? I would be interested to know , as I feel that most of you guys are correct in saying Gillard will call an election sooner than later. I would assume these mass mail outs will confirm this.

Also today this..

http://www.abc.net.au/news/2013-01-22/gillard-picks-nova-peris-to-run-for-senate/4478528

Where there is smoke there is fire I say.
 
Not a surprise to see Nova Peris parachuted into the NT Senate seat.

It seems crystal clear that indigenous voters are moving to CLP candidates who happen to be indigenous. The Liberal Party member Ken Wyatt appears to a particularly effective representative for aborigines. To be in the race the Labour Party had to respond with a similarly effective candidate.

Cynical perhaps. Practical absolutely....
 
What an absolute joke.

What does Nova bring to this apart from being Aboriginal?

Apparently she's been a treaty ambassador for a defunct commission. Good work.

And, she's clearly a master of the metaphor.

When asked why Labor had lost the support of indigenous voters in NT, Ms Peris said she believed that Labor "took their eye off the mark".
Click to expand...
 
dutchie said:
Lets see now..

1. Not a member of the Labor Party.
2. No experience.
3. NT ALP not consulted.
4. Existing member of 15 years not consulted other than "stand down"
5. Ignores pre-selection process.


Nice.
Click to expand...

Classic Labor move.lol

Wasn't Johny Farnham available?
 
I think this could backfire in a big way. Already in her first interview Peris was blubbing and seemed way out of her comfort zone, which highlights that she was chosen because she ticks a couple of politically correct boxes (indigenous, female) rather than being someone who really has something to offer and the skills to carry it through. She's not a member of the Labor party yet either.
 
The sitting senator isn't happy that the PM has raided the knife block and snuck up behind her in the dead of night.


http://www.ntnews.com.au/article/2013/01/22/316874_ntnews.html#comment
 
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