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No argument there - I’ve simply looked at it in a very big picture sense.i think you have glossed over a few bits.
SA has ended up the actual world leader so far as is known.that is absolutely brilliant, S.A is a small grid taken in isolation, but it is a great test bed to prove and develop the concept.
The great thing is IMO, it is like having a scaled up version of a renewable community i.e Denham in W.A.SA has ended up the actual world leader so far as is known.
It's a pretty drastic change given that just 15 years ago, 2006, the generation mix was:
Gas = 47.7%
Coal = 35.7%
Net import from Victoria = 16.6%
Diesel = 0.02%
With all of that being in absolutely conventional "off the shelf" plant that's in no way special.
So completely unexciting 100% fossil fuels to two thirds renewable and a world leader in 15 years basically.
Yep and whilst the current project is now fully implemented, in due course it'll almost certainly go further.The great thing is IMO, it is like having a scaled up version of a renewable community i.e Denham in W.A.
The advantage with S.A is it scales it up to another level, where they have the luxury of a massive grid alongside to pick up the slack if it falls on its ar$e, but can push the boundaries.
This is engineering driving the science, absolutely magic, can't wait to see the dynamics when the NSW/SA interconnector, Snowy and the second Bass link is in, it will be amazing IMO.Yep and whilst the current project is now fully implemented, in due course it'll almost certainly go further.
Current (well, at this point it's now past tense) project:
*Install 4 synchronous condensers at two sites.
*Wind + Large scale solar generation limit under typical operating conditions raised from just under 1300 MW to 2500 MW subject to there being a use for it.
*Technical minimum gas-fired generation lowered from 250 MW to 80 MW under the most common scenario.
So quite a step forward and at that point the project is complete as such but there are certainly investigations as to what could be done next. At some point it probably will get to the point of running with zero conventional plant on at times but for now, a two thirds reduction when there's enough wind / sun to enable it is a huge leap forward.
Yes the problem is the point of inflection, where you are running with no synchronous generation, at that point the ties to either Tassie, Victoria, NSW have to be such, that a failure has to be able to be picked up ( what in half a cycle lol).So quite a step forward and at that point the project is complete as such but there are certainly investigations as to what could be done next. At some point it probably will get to the point of running with zero conventional plant on at times but for now, a two thirds reduction when there's enough wind / sun to enable it is a huge leap forward.
LOCATION: | GOLDEN PLAINS SHIRE, ROKEWOOD, VICTORIA |
---|---|
INSTALLED CAPACITY: | 800-1000 MW |
ENERGY PRODUCTION: | 3500 GWh ANNUALLY |
The proposal has been met by howls of protest by nearly everyone, including leading battery makers including Tesla and Fluence, big battery project developers such as Neoen and Iberdrola, pumped hydro storage owner CleanCo, and even the government owned generator Snowy Hydro, leading utilities AGL and EnergyAustralia, and the Australian Energy Market Operator.
This is a great analysis. Pulls together all the threads of the debate. As Rumpy notes it highlights most of Smurf's observations.Quite a detailed article on the future of power prices.
Reinforces a lot of what @Smurf1976 says.
Thanks to renewables, 'insanely cheap electricity' is coming. But when?
After years of increases, power prices are set to fall, thanks largely to cheap solar. So how cheap can solar get? And what does this mean for your electricity bill?www.abc.net.au
rubbish rubbish and rubbishWe've now gone the first 24 hours with just two synchronous generating units online in SA now that all four synchronous condensers are fully commissioned.
Only thermal plant on is 2 x 200 MW steam units, both idling along at 40 MW each. That's it apart from a gas turbine and a couple of internal combustion engines that were given a short run purely for testing purposes.
Past 24 hours as a % of SA consumption:
Wind = 74.7%
Solar = 31.4%
Gas = 5.6% (of which 5.5% was needed, 0.1% was an unrelated equipment test run)
Diesel = 0.005% (all of which was due to a machine test run)
From Victoria = 0.8%
Export to Victoria = 13.1%
Figures don't quite add due to rounding etc.
There are longer term thoughts of how to run without any synchronous plant on at all, which nobody anywhere is known to be doing at major grid scale, but for now 2 will be the lower limit down from 4 historically.
Practical implication = less gas, more renewables using existing infrastructure.
View attachment 133446
Green = wind. Yellow = solar. Orange = gas. Blue = battery discharge. Purple = from Victoria.
they have been saying this for years yet prices keep going upQuite a detailed article on the future of power prices.
Reinforces a lot of what @Smurf1976 says.
Thanks to renewables, 'insanely cheap electricity' is coming. But when?
After years of increases, power prices are set to fall, thanks largely to cheap solar. So how cheap can solar get? And what does this mean for your electricity bill?www.abc.net.au
The content of my post is easily verifiable using publicly available data from AEMO should anyone have any doubts.rubbish rubbish and rubbish
What is particularly interesting, IMV, is how non renewable energy is just so uncompetitive.
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