This guy is a sensationalist, clearly making a living off dramatic claims that he can see a crisis coming. Ironically, most of his predications have been way off the mark. I guess, like any "good" economist, the more predictions you make, the more chance you have of finally getting that "big call" right that will immortalise you in economic folklore forever (much like the so-called miracle workers who predicted the GFC).It is merely comparing the crashes the US and Japan have had with our own current experience. If you have trouble comprehending that, it is no reason to smear the names of good economists like Steve Keen.
Yes, I knew that 1% figure is a dodgy figure used to sell investment products, that's why I asked.
How about throwing up some credible evidence of this.
Keen is correct...
Keen will only be correct if it happens.
DON"T PART QUOTE ME!
Keen is correct, it is all about the debt.
This guy is a sensationalist
, clearly making a living off dramatic claims that he can see a crisis coming.
Ironically, most of his predications have been way off the mark.
How?
Well actually no, he makes a living off being a professor at the university of western Sydney and his research.
Speaking of his research, he recently got a large sum of cash to develop his world-leading debt deflation models which are the epicentre of his research. A true pioneer economist - easily the best in Australia.
You mean like the GFC? That wasn't off the mark at all.
Are you old enough to remember 2008? He was all over the media - ACA, 7:30 report, 60 minutes, Lateline etc spruiking his doom and gloom, predicting his 40% crash in house prices etc. He even made a bet with then Macquarie Bank economist Rory Robertson about house prices that resulted in Keen having to walk from Canberra to Mt Kosciusko because he was so "hopelessly wrong on house prices"! LOL.
He sells books too, and raises money via his website - oh and he is only an "associate" professor by the way, at UWS - hardly the most prestigious position or the most prestigious institution for economic research around.....
Well he does some interesting work and his theories are worth having a think about, but he also get's a lot of stuff wrong
and is not seen as being all that great by most of his profession - mainly just by internet fan-boy's like yourself.
Well he kind of predicted some general aspects related to the GFC, but none of the specifics
but he was totally wrong about it with respect the Australian economy generally, and literally "hopelessly' wrong with respect to the GFC and Australian house prices.......he still has the T-shirt I think?
PS: For someone who claims to have researched a topic so well you make some pretty certain and outlandish statements!
Some of you guys (and girls?) really need to crack out some psychology books and research the term confirmation bias.
Don't part quote me either, I will believe it when I see it, until then it is business as usual.
I would definately have a plan B incase it didn't happen.
Inflation is a great leveler.
All bubbles pop buddy - there are no exceptions.
Mining doesn't directly benefit anyone, so I fail to see how or why it would save the bubble from popping.
By my reckoning, the bubble in house prices has dragged up wages reluctantly. If house prices are not rising (as they can't) - so there is no reason for wages to rise further. This is cemented by the fact that these wage rises have made us internationally uncompetitive which is causing us to lose jobs.
House prices fall and wages will fall in line with them.
By the way, do you think houses are expensive, or do you think houses that you would like to own are expensive?
Personally, and I do not lie, I would not like to own a home. Or at least at this stage - maybe in 10 years or so, if prices come down enough.
So to answer your question, I haven't really been looking. I just use the median prices for property and the median wages as a gauge to how overpriced property is - so I take the most general case.
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