Timmy
white swans need love too
- Joined
- 30 September 2007
- Posts
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- 3
Do any of you guys have girlfriends or do you get you kicks from talking about which way a flipped coin will land all dayLOL
Markets are about the sentiment of all the players (psychological) and momentum. One lead sheep goes through the gate the others follow.
Gambling is about luck, I do play roulette with some success because I chart the dealers and look for a wheel bias. Been at it for many years and it is a tough one because time and patience is required, may as well work for it in a job. But I like it as a sport and have my set limits.
If you really want to look at all the fancy systems there is a US website called Gamblers Glen. But beware it too is out to catch the mugs and many new systems come from the industry , works for awhile sucks you in then it turns on you.
To play as I do there is a lot of work and best done by two, one charting the other making the plays. My partner is now in the Navy so looking for someone that may be interested once a fortnight. If anyone lives in Melbourne and is interested we could meet over a coffee sometime and discuss the idea. I do not take it too serious, onl;y gopt into it cause the missus just loves those flamin pockies.
Cheers explod
Do any of you guys have girlfriends or do you get you kicks from talking about which way a flipped coin will land all dayLOL
Do any of you guys have girlfriends or do you get you kicks from talking about which way a flipped coin will land all dayLOL
Gambling is about luck, I do play roulette with some success because I chart the dealers and look for a wheel bias. Been at it for many years and it is a tough one because time and patience is required, may as well work for it in a job. But I like it as a sport and have my set limits.
If a roulette wheel gave a sufficient bias to be profitable, it wouldn't be on the floor for very long. Do you think the casino is just going to let some dude clean them out? The casino knows the house edge of their games and if it significantly deviates from what they expect, they are going to investigate, and make it right again.Gambling is about luck, I do play roulette with some success because I chart the dealers and look for a wheel bias. Been at it for many years and it is a tough one because time and patience is required, may as well work for it in a job. But I like it as a sport and have my set limits.
If a roulette wheel gave a sufficient bias to be profitable, it wouldn't be on the floor for very long. Do you think the casino is just going to let some dude clean them out? The casino knows the house edge of their games and if it significantly deviates from what they expect, they are going to investigate, and make it right again.
You are being fooled by randomness.
I object to your suggestion that my comment is ignorant. You, with all your experience, supported my argument with this line.What an ignorant comment. I have been around roulette tables for 20 years and on top of that was tutored by a family member who was a croupier in Europe for 40 years.
Isn't that the same thing I said with this comment?and when you do well the house is quick to change things
The same comment you called ignorant, you are agreeing with?!if (the house edge) significantly deviates from what they expect, they are going to investigate, and make it right again.
ok can someone pick this pathetic system apart, if you can even call it a system.
One of my mates think you can beat the house at the casino in Baccarat whereby you keep doubling up your losses until the pendulum swings your way and you win a hand.
Basically.... the banker (house) charges you 5% for everytime you double-up.
For example.
- You bet $100
- You lose, so you have the option to lose the $100 or lose nothing and double it to $200.... you keep doubling until eventually you win.!!! yipee!
give me something smart to say so i can go tell my mate he's got rocks in his headI did tell him if you were to do this with stocks you'll be called stupid!!, the probablility of him winning a hand is so random that he can go for 10 games without a win!! , the drawdown on his account or should i say chips will be ridiculous!
May I suggest you take up study on chaos theory to understand that the idea of dealer bias is a dead end. It asserts that the initial conditions of a particular system greatly affect the final outcome (imagine placing a pencil on its end, a nanometer difference in orientation at the start, causes a big difference to what happens to the pencil).
A very slight difference in the way the croupier turns the wheel or rolls the ball makes a huge difference to the outcome.
Any dealer bias went out the window when they introduced low profile roulette wheels.
I object to your suggestion that my comment is ignorant. You, with all your experience, supported my argument with this line.
Isn't that the same thing I said with this comment?
The same comment you called ignorant, you are agreeing with?!
What I mean by randomness... try this little experiment. Flip a coin 1000times. It will almost definitely land on one side more often. Does this mean that the coin is bias to that side? No. Its just randomness.
But if you believe that "luck" is a factor, by all means go for it....after all, a casino couldn't run without a misinformed public feeding it.
Poker is -ev atm
Just lost half my b/r
Both times Flopping 2 pair with Ace+King and Ace+10
Both times someone comes over me with p7's & '5's hitting their set on the flop and shoving over my raise on the flop
Im so tilted right now.
Could my day get any worse?
SPEC,
there is 1 system I recommend for beginners to casinos in regards to baccarat,
find a winning player and bet with him, or find a losing player and bet against him.
If you find a run of player or banker get on it, don't bet the other way just because you think its time for a loss. There is nothing better than riding a run of banker all the way down the scorecard, pressing by a unit at each hand.
Furthermore never double up a loss, you will be guaranteed a short stay at the casino if you do.
Also never bet the table minimum every hand, you will lose regardless of the outcome of the hand due to house edge. You must vary your betting to "feel of the game" if a table is hot.
Remember a loss is a loss, take your medicine, suck it up you are after all gambling.
Mr J
I would be interested in where you think professional poker players get their edge. I noticed you said somewhere else you played online poker for a time. Is it realistic to believe you can achieve a sufficient edge to play poker for a living? I believe that the real edge in poker comes from an ability to read other people - something that is more difficult (yet definitely still possible) online.
My cousin plays poker for a living
It's possible and there are many ways to gain an edge
Also many tells online, ie; time it takes someone to make a decision, how many chips they buy in to a table with,
Poker isn't about cards at all. If it was there wouldn't be an edge
Mr J
I would be interested in where you think professional poker players get their edge. I noticed you said somewhere else you played online poker for a time. Is it realistic to believe you can achieve a sufficient edge to play poker for a living? I believe that the real edge in poker comes from an ability to read other people - something that is more difficult (yet definitely still possible) online.
Also many tells online, ie; time it takes someone to make a decision, how many chips they buy in to a table with,
Beamstas, I have heard that online poker houses skew their cards to generous hands and therefore can take a larger "rake" due to the fact that you have many players betting large on strong hands.
Those can be tells, but most will be gained from analysing betting patterns. And yes, poker is not about the cards, it's about the people.
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