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STORM’S STATEMENT OF ADVICE (Part 2) Continued
Security
3. Risk
It occurs to me that I should also include ‘risk’ in my comments on “Security’’ before proceeding with Part 3 of this exercise. The ‘high-risk” nature of Storm’s plan has been been debated on this forum at length so I feel that it is worth mentioning at this point.
The SOA was, I believe, designed in part to ease the fears of those investors that may have had concerns about any risks that might be involved.
You will note that the following statements were made by Storm in its SOA to play down the risks associated with this scheme. In so doing, Storm made "all the right noise"s but then ignored its own advice:
“Page 10 of the SOA
“Safety depends on information. Our models and engineering is to give this information clearly. Proper testing is done on all aspects of a recommended plan to ensure informed decisions can be made.”
"Page 37 of the SOA
By ensuring that your funds are spread across many companies, your portfolio is at once exposed to the low-risk, medium-risk, and high-risk companies that will do very well, and to the low-risk, medium-risk, and high-risk companies that will do poorly, and some will inevitably collapse. By diversifying across all of the companies in the market, your exposure to each of these companies is indexed to ensure that default risk represents a negligible danger for your portfolio. Share selection risk and default risk will be explained further in the section entitled The Index Approach.
Page 42 of the SOA
Recommended Debt Levels
The ratio of liabilities to total assets gives us a measure of the extent to which the portfolio is geared. We recommend that this ratio be above 40% so that sufficient leverage can be used to speed the wealth creation process. However it is important that the level of borrowings is low enough to maintain safety; we suggest that no more than 60% of the asset base is represented by borrowed funds. The liability ratio that is suggested in your individual circumstances will take into account your stage of life and the stage you are at in your investment process.
Liabilities that exceed 70% of the value of assets are very difficult to manage, and leave no margin for error. The volatility that we must accept in markets would have the potential to cause a situation of negative equity i.e. falling asset values may mean that you have borrowed more than the value of assets. This situation is dangerous to the viability of the investment program, and may leave the investor worse off than before they invested. It also induces anxiety in investors and this tends to cloud decision-making. This level of debt should be avoided.
The optimal liability to asset ratio is between 40% and 60%. These levels give sufficient leverage into a growing asset to increase returns while maintaining safety and guarding against the effects of volatility in asset prices. Recall that a debt incurred to buy high quality liquid assets can be repaid at any time, and this reduces its significance. Providing the debt is used to buy such assets and the level of cash reserves is sufficient, we consider the range of liability to asset ratios to be prudent when used as a part of this overall plan, including the safety parameters upon which it has been based.
In his book Scams & Swindlers: Investment disasters and how to avoid them, True stories from ASIC, Bruce Brown gives us some very useful advice.
For most investors, particularly if you have an average income, it is wise to only borrow a limited percentage of the price of 'the shares or units if you want to gear into the market. Although this means the number of shares or units you can buy will be less, so the value of the potential profits and tax breaks will be less, it also means there is less chance you will suffer a margin.
We have used strict guidelines on the amount of those borrowings, and have related them to the size of your asset base. As has been explained within this document, should you implement these Recommendations in full your overall debt ratio would be 48%, which is made up of liabilities of 80% of the value of your home and other Property assets, and 49.17% of the value of your Share*based assets.
These debt levels are well within our guidelines as being prudent. Adequate arrangements have been made to handle market volatility and the associated potential for margin call - these have been fully described and explained in the section of this document entitled Your Post-Plan Position.
Page 76 of the SOA
Successful negative gearing has 3 essential elements:
1. A careful selection of the asset to be purchased to try to ensure maximum capital gain
2. A borrowing plan tailored to minimise risk 'Fail safe' strategies in case things go wrong
3. Negative gearing is usually undertaken to buy property and shares, and we can expect the values of both to rise in the long term, but this may not occur in the short term. Negative gearing should produce good results over the long term, but anybody going into negative gearing must ensure they can accommodate the risks involved; primarily the risk in negative gearing into shares is that the asset values vary by large amounts over the short term."
When I first evaluated the SOA Storm had provided for us, I found these statements reassuring, as I’m sure many others did. For one, these statement implied that Storm were mindful of our desire not to invest in anything that carried a high degree of risk. Indeed, we had stressed this on more than one occasion, as indeed, I am sure many others did! I assumed (a dangerous thing to do, I know, in any business venture) that Storm would act on their own advice, and in so doing adequately insure our investments against rises and falls in the share markets by monitoring our portfolio and advise us appropriately when action was deemed necessary
Storm, to my mind, by making these statements were mindful of our wishes in this respect and had confirmed that it had the necessary systems in place to ensure that our investments would be adequately protected and any risks would be minimized. Therefore, for some on this forum to state that we had an overwhelming desire to gamble with our money by entering into a high risk strategy with Storm is completely false.
How did one member put it, “But once Frank walked into that Storm office and they dangled those dollar signs in front of his eyes, the astute and capable man became reckless and imprudent, and his capacity for clear thinking abandoned him.” Anyone that knows me well enough will tell you that I am circumspect by nature so short of having a complete mental aberration, the last thing on my mind when employing Storm as my financial adviser was to give them “carte blanche” with the money Helen and I had taken a life-time to acquire. I think I can speak for most ‘Stormies’ when I say this!
Incidentally, I can see nowhere in Storm's SOA that this was a "high risk scheme" that we had agreed to adopt. Storm's SOA suggests just the opposite!
Unfortunately, we now know that Storm “talked the talk but didn’t walk the walk!”
Security
3. Risk
It occurs to me that I should also include ‘risk’ in my comments on “Security’’ before proceeding with Part 3 of this exercise. The ‘high-risk” nature of Storm’s plan has been been debated on this forum at length so I feel that it is worth mentioning at this point.
The SOA was, I believe, designed in part to ease the fears of those investors that may have had concerns about any risks that might be involved.
You will note that the following statements were made by Storm in its SOA to play down the risks associated with this scheme. In so doing, Storm made "all the right noise"s but then ignored its own advice:
“Page 10 of the SOA
“Safety depends on information. Our models and engineering is to give this information clearly. Proper testing is done on all aspects of a recommended plan to ensure informed decisions can be made.”
"Page 37 of the SOA
By ensuring that your funds are spread across many companies, your portfolio is at once exposed to the low-risk, medium-risk, and high-risk companies that will do very well, and to the low-risk, medium-risk, and high-risk companies that will do poorly, and some will inevitably collapse. By diversifying across all of the companies in the market, your exposure to each of these companies is indexed to ensure that default risk represents a negligible danger for your portfolio. Share selection risk and default risk will be explained further in the section entitled The Index Approach.
Page 42 of the SOA
Recommended Debt Levels
The ratio of liabilities to total assets gives us a measure of the extent to which the portfolio is geared. We recommend that this ratio be above 40% so that sufficient leverage can be used to speed the wealth creation process. However it is important that the level of borrowings is low enough to maintain safety; we suggest that no more than 60% of the asset base is represented by borrowed funds. The liability ratio that is suggested in your individual circumstances will take into account your stage of life and the stage you are at in your investment process.
Liabilities that exceed 70% of the value of assets are very difficult to manage, and leave no margin for error. The volatility that we must accept in markets would have the potential to cause a situation of negative equity i.e. falling asset values may mean that you have borrowed more than the value of assets. This situation is dangerous to the viability of the investment program, and may leave the investor worse off than before they invested. It also induces anxiety in investors and this tends to cloud decision-making. This level of debt should be avoided.
The optimal liability to asset ratio is between 40% and 60%. These levels give sufficient leverage into a growing asset to increase returns while maintaining safety and guarding against the effects of volatility in asset prices. Recall that a debt incurred to buy high quality liquid assets can be repaid at any time, and this reduces its significance. Providing the debt is used to buy such assets and the level of cash reserves is sufficient, we consider the range of liability to asset ratios to be prudent when used as a part of this overall plan, including the safety parameters upon which it has been based.
In his book Scams & Swindlers: Investment disasters and how to avoid them, True stories from ASIC, Bruce Brown gives us some very useful advice.
For most investors, particularly if you have an average income, it is wise to only borrow a limited percentage of the price of 'the shares or units if you want to gear into the market. Although this means the number of shares or units you can buy will be less, so the value of the potential profits and tax breaks will be less, it also means there is less chance you will suffer a margin.
We have used strict guidelines on the amount of those borrowings, and have related them to the size of your asset base. As has been explained within this document, should you implement these Recommendations in full your overall debt ratio would be 48%, which is made up of liabilities of 80% of the value of your home and other Property assets, and 49.17% of the value of your Share*based assets.
These debt levels are well within our guidelines as being prudent. Adequate arrangements have been made to handle market volatility and the associated potential for margin call - these have been fully described and explained in the section of this document entitled Your Post-Plan Position.
Page 76 of the SOA
Successful negative gearing has 3 essential elements:
1. A careful selection of the asset to be purchased to try to ensure maximum capital gain
2. A borrowing plan tailored to minimise risk 'Fail safe' strategies in case things go wrong
3. Negative gearing is usually undertaken to buy property and shares, and we can expect the values of both to rise in the long term, but this may not occur in the short term. Negative gearing should produce good results over the long term, but anybody going into negative gearing must ensure they can accommodate the risks involved; primarily the risk in negative gearing into shares is that the asset values vary by large amounts over the short term."
When I first evaluated the SOA Storm had provided for us, I found these statements reassuring, as I’m sure many others did. For one, these statement implied that Storm were mindful of our desire not to invest in anything that carried a high degree of risk. Indeed, we had stressed this on more than one occasion, as indeed, I am sure many others did! I assumed (a dangerous thing to do, I know, in any business venture) that Storm would act on their own advice, and in so doing adequately insure our investments against rises and falls in the share markets by monitoring our portfolio and advise us appropriately when action was deemed necessary
Storm, to my mind, by making these statements were mindful of our wishes in this respect and had confirmed that it had the necessary systems in place to ensure that our investments would be adequately protected and any risks would be minimized. Therefore, for some on this forum to state that we had an overwhelming desire to gamble with our money by entering into a high risk strategy with Storm is completely false.
How did one member put it, “But once Frank walked into that Storm office and they dangled those dollar signs in front of his eyes, the astute and capable man became reckless and imprudent, and his capacity for clear thinking abandoned him.” Anyone that knows me well enough will tell you that I am circumspect by nature so short of having a complete mental aberration, the last thing on my mind when employing Storm as my financial adviser was to give them “carte blanche” with the money Helen and I had taken a life-time to acquire. I think I can speak for most ‘Stormies’ when I say this!
Incidentally, I can see nowhere in Storm's SOA that this was a "high risk scheme" that we had agreed to adopt. Storm's SOA suggests just the opposite!
Unfortunately, we now know that Storm “talked the talk but didn’t walk the walk!”