bunyip, I have had quite lengthy discussions with one Stormer about their understanding of the Storm strategy. What became very apparent to me was that they truly believed that they were not in a high risk strategy and that there were safeguards in place to cover any market corrections that happened. They explained to me that they believed that the Storm strategy had worked in previous market corrections.
They had confidence in the advice that the company was giving and the banks involved. They believed that the banks would not lend the money if the strategy was flawed, especially when housing loans, margin loans and Storm badged funds all fell under the umbrella of the one of the most respected banks in Australia.
Solly - I think it's pretty clear that Stormers went into a business they didn't understand, without doing sufficient research first.
If I employed a manager to run my business, I'd still make sure I knew something about the business myself, regardless of how competent I thought my manager was.
Knowing something about my business, it would be clear to me if the manager was doing a shoddy job, and I'd step in to save the situation. Under no circumstances would I sit back and do nothing while an incompetent manager allowed my business to go broke.
Stormers could have and should have done that too - stepped in and taken control from their clearly incompetent manager while their situations were still salvageable.
They explained to you that they believed the Storm strategy had worked in previous market corrections. Had they done their research properly and looked at the 1987 crash, they would have realised that the strategy would not cope with a similar market slump.
The fact that some of them believed they were not in a high risk strategy is further evidence of their lack of research and understanding of their business.
Large margin loans invested in the stockmarket is definitely a strategy that involves significant risk - particularly when neither they nor their manager took defensive action once the market turned bearish.
The banks lent the money because the strategy was OK while the market kept rising. If the market turned bearish, then the nature of margin loans meant that the banks pretty much had themselves protected.
I believe the bank's assessment was that the strategy wasn't flawed - they had themselves covered from all angles, so it was good lending business from their perspective.