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Storm at Sea

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Ahoy Brave and Loyal Crew---

Is the Captain a Good Captain or Is the Captain Good?-------------NB : -Emojis' Only Please--
PS : Those Green with Envy pretend you did NOT see these Charts and IGNORE--

Sailing the BOE--------One WEEK at a Time-------&------One DAY at a Time-----( +12.23% atm )-----&-----------15 MINUTES at a Time--

Sailing the PDN--------One WEEK at a Time-------&-------One DAY at a Time----( +11.26 % atm )-------&----15 MINUTES at a Time--

Sailing the DYL--------One WEEK at a Time-----&-----One DAY at a Time----( +7.27 % atm )-----&-----------15 MINUTES at a Time--

Sailing the SLX--------One WEEK at a Time-------&----One DAY at a Time----( +7.01% atm )------&-----------15 MINUTES at a Time--

Sailing the BMN-------One WEEK at a Time------&----One DAY at a Time------( +3.42 % atm )--&-----------15 MINUTES at a Time--


Salute and Gods' Speed
 
Ahoy Brave and Loyal Crew---


All Hands at Dawn---

Wet Weather Gear is in Order---
HOLD on TIGHT to our URANIUM & TECH Classes and Check all other Safety Lines

US Industry ETFs---------Thu 23 Jan 25, 8:25am (AEDT)​


NameValue% Chg
Commodities
Uranium30.33+3.94%
Silver28.04-
Gold Miners37.535-0.20%
Lithium & Battery Tech41.59-1.45%
Steel60.51-1.56%
Strategic Metals41.8-1.72%
Copper Miners39.275-2.64%
Industrials
Agriculture27.21+1.08%
Construction82.83+0.22%
Aerospace & Defense155.62-0.56%
Global Jets26.49-1.19%
Healthcare
Biotechnology136.29+0.14%
NameValue% Chg
Cryptocurrency
Bitcoin25.325-1.88%
Renewables
Hydrogen22.49-1.96%
CleanTech6.785-2.51%
Solar32.59-3.21%
Technology
Semiconductor235.81+1.45%
Robotics & AI34.38+1.18%
Cybersecurity33.31+0.63%
FinTech32.61+0.22%
Sports Betting/Gaming19.66+0.12%
Video Games/eSports84.55-0.06%
Cloud Computing24.7-0.12%
E-commerce28.98-0.24%
Electric Vehicles23.89-0.62%

ASX TODAY​

  • Alcoa reports Q4 EPS of $1.04 vs. $0.95 consensus, NYSE-listed shares up around 2.2% in after hours, provides 2025 production outlook (AAI)
  • Lotus Resources advances Kayelekera Project, targeting first uranium production for September quarter 2025 (LOT)
  • Mount Gibson reports Q2 production report, holds A$431m cash (vs. $384m market cap), operations tracking in-line with FY25 guidance (MGX)
  • Regis Resources reports Q2 AISC of A$2,317/oz vs. A$2,495/oz a quarter ago, quarterly gold revenue of $482m, reaffirms FY guidance (RRL)
  • Rio Tinto expects Resolution copper mine in Arizona to be given green light under new Trump administration, previously delayed for 12 months over permits (FT)
  • Star Entertainment lenders discuss with advisors over how a voluntary administration might go (AFR)

WHAT TO WATCH TODAY​

  • Sector weakness: All US sectors (ex-Tech) finished lower. We're seeing big breadth reversal after a solid ~6 days of good breadth. On a side note, most of the above resource-related ETFs finished 1-3% lower after a decent run. Let's see how the dust settles.
  • Uranium: Another sizeable rally overnight for the Global X Uranium ETF (URA), up 4.0% but off session highs of 5.8%. It's now up 10.2% in the last two sessions. Most ASX-listed names like BOE, DYL and PDN opened 2-5% higher on Wednesday but finished up 7-14%. It appears that local names were front-running that overnight move, which could result in a rather choppy session today. Nevertheless, a big momentum thrust for the sector.


Salute and Stay Safe
 
Ahoy Brave and Loyal Crew--
Horrible Seas & Weather Conditions Into the close of the ASX -----Chart data is real-time, as of 23 01 2025 03:54pm AEDT


"Just When I Thought We Were Out"
Sailing for LITHIUM----One WEEK at a Time----&----------------One DAY at a Time---------------------&-----------15 MINUTES at a Time--



Salute ans Stay Well
 
Ahoy Brave and Loyal Crew---

Looks like a Nice day for Fishing NOT Sailing today ---
Simply Stay the Course and Keep a Vigilant Eye on the Skippers coming out of China

The Captain will be down below watching LANDNAN on Paramount if Needed

US Industry ETFs-------Fri 24 Jan 25, 8:23am (AEDT)

NameValue% Chg
Commodities
Uranium30.95+1.98%
Steel60.8881+0.82%
Copper Miners39.49+0.71%
Gold Miners37.51-0.05%
Strategic Metals41.74-0.10%
Lithium & Battery Tech41.36-0.53%
Silver27.7606-1.03%
Industrials
Aerospace & Defense158.54+1.90%
Agriculture27.27+0.18%
Construction82.4114-0.41%
Global Jets26.275-0.77%
Healthcare
Biotechnology138.25+1.44%
NameValue% Chg
Cryptocurrency
Bitcoin25.08-0.95%
Renewables
Solar33.5199+2.92%
CleanTech6.92+2.37%
Hydrogen22.8982+2.13%
Technology
FinTech32.85+0.74%
Cloud Computing24.85+0.61%
Electric Vehicles24.02+0.54%
Robotics & AI34.53+0.44%
Cybersecurity33.335+0.08%
E-commerce29.0009+0.07%
Sports Betting/Gaming19.61-0.05%
Video Games/eSports84.4224-0.15%
Semiconductor235.37-0.19%

ASX TODAY​

  • Earlypay aware that 21.4% shareholder COG Financial Services intends to sell its stake, hires corporate adviser to seek bids for the entire company (AFR)
  • KMD Brands reports 2.5% drop in Group sales for the first five months of FY25, expects 1H25 EBITDA between $1-3m vs. $15.1m a year ago (KMD)
  • Michael Hill guides to 1H25 comparable EBIT of $22.5-24m vs. $31.3m a year ago and $31.9m consensus, gross margin of 61-61.5% vs. 61.5% a year ago (MHJ)

The Sea -Wall Held Firm in the Last 30 min into the Close in NY----The HEALTHCARE Class Found Nice Wind



Salute and Stay Safe
 
Ahoy and Brave Crew--------

Here They Come! -------------All Hands on Deck -----------------Hold onto your Hats --------------- + 1.56% in the First Hour ------

Sailing the Hang Seng---One WEEK at a Time-&-------------One DAY at a Time------------------------&--------15 MINUTES at a Time-

and Here Comes Dr COPPER ------------ + 0.95% in the First Hour
Sailing for COPPER---One WEEK at a Time------&-------------One DAY at a Time------------------------&--------15 MINUTES at a Time-

Salute and Gods' Speed
 
Ahoy Brave and Loyal Crew---

No rest for the Wicked on WEEKENDS and For Better or Worse LONG WEEKENDS!
This is what I call REAL PRESSURE! ass we have no choice but to HOLD On Tight to our Crypto ETF's

Sailing for BITCOINS---One WEEK at a Time------&-------------One DAY at a Time------------------------&--------15 MINUTES at a Time-

Introducing the TRUMP coin and EXTREME Sailing for TRUMP$
----------One WEEK at a Time---------&-------------One DAY at a Time----------------&--------15 MINUTES at a Time-


Salute and Stay Well
 
Ahoy Brave and Loyal Crew---

I have fine-tuned our Secret Keel on our Good Ship over this Week-End---

NB: The TREND is Your FRIEND Until She is NOT---
and
NB: GREEN is GOOD and RED is NOT!

Sailing for BITCOINS---One WEEK at a Time----&-------------One DAY at a Time------------------------&--------15 MINUTES at a Time-

Sailing the VBTC ETF----One WEEK at a Time---&-------------One DAY at a Time------------------------&--------15 MINUTES at a Time-

As you can See ------So far, So Good

Salute and Stay Well
 
Just wondering if Capt Chaza aka The Mad Cap't aka Cap't C Weed has finally sailed off into the wide blue yonder.
No posts for some time or is it just that he has blocked the whole of the ASF membership, so that he can then have no criticism of his salty views.
 
You are a stirer, farmer.
 
Att. farmer: For trying to Climb Out of your Bucket of Friends and back onto my ship again You have been Sentenced with another One LIFETIME Banishment
And, because "Any Friend of My Enemy is My Enemy" 3 of your Friends who have NEVER acknowledged this Capt with an Emoji will be banished for One Year

Au Revoir
 
Ahoy Brave and Loyal Crew--

Seems we might be in for a Major Sea- Change tonight--

The US 10 yr US Interest Rate threatens to Go SOUTH and with it in Sympathy and in anticipation ----Risk Is Taken off the Table

Sailing the 10 YR Interest Rate----One WEEK at a Time---&-------------One DAY at a Time------------------------&--------15 MINUTES at a Time-

Sailing for Spot GOLD----One WEEK at a Time---&-------------One DAY at a Time------------------------&--------15 MINUTES at a Time-

Sailing for Bitcoins-----One WEEK at a Time---&-------------One DAY at a Time------------------------&--------15 MINUTES at a Time-

Strap yourselves into your Bunks as It Could get a bit Rough Night

Salute and Stay Well
 
Ahoy Brave and Loyal Crew--

Unfortunately as you can see in the Charts the Storm struck about 10.00am -11.30am this morning while I was putting a Lose Crab into the barrel --------- Crabs and Debating Societies have NO Place on any Seas of the Global Exchange

These Bad Sea & Weather Conditions Seems to be Breeding into Really Bad Sea & Weather Conditions in pre-dawn readings

Sailing the NASDAQ---One WEEK at a Time---&-------------One DAY at a Time------------------------&--------15 MINUTES at a Time-

Sailing the SOXL ( Semiconductors)---One WEEK at a Time---&--One DAY at a Time--------------&--------15 MINUTES at a Time-

NB: How the Pre-Dawn Price in Orange is down to 27.64 ~ 6.5%

That's a Brave Move Capt P2! I would Expect Nothing Less!
We all Wish you a Bon Voyage
 
Ahoy Brave and Loyal Crew---


The BAD went from BADDER to BADEST overnight to a point where our Stop Losses will be Severely GAPPED
Nowhere for us to Hide today-

US Industry ETFs----Tue 28 Jan 25, 8:34am (AEDT)​

NameValue% Chg
Commodities
Strategic Metals41.47-0.60%
Steel61.02-0.65%
Lithium & Battery Tech40.985-1.22%
Gold Miners37.38-1.50%
Silver27.45-1.65%
Copper Miners39.09-2.13%
Uranium27.09-11.27%
Industrials
Global Jets26.48+0.88%
Agriculture27.295-0.24%
Aerospace & Defense155.03-1.08%
Construction77.085-5.89%
Healthcare
Biotechnology138.37+0.78%
NameValue% Chg
Cryptocurrency
Bitcoin24.6-3.30%
Renewables
Solar33.33-0.95%
CleanTech6.64-4.60%
Hydrogen20.83-9.04%
Technology
Cloud Computing25.32+0.76%
Sports Betting/Gaming19.8+0.03%
E-commerce29.589-0.07%
Cybersecurity33.26-0.18%
Video Games/eSports84.1723-1.39%
FinTech32.38-1.70%
Electric Vehicles23.31-2.79%
Robotics & AI33.01-4.29%
Semiconductor212.55-7.84%


 
Ahoy Brave and Loyal Crew--

At least our Bitcoins and Our OLD Economy Classes of Sail Survived the Wrath of the Storm

Into the Close on the Treacherous ASX --------Chart data is real-time, as of 28 01 2025 03:54pm AEDT


Salute and Stay Safe
 
Ahoy Brave and Loyal Crew--

As you all know by now Some days are BETTER than OTHERS ---
Unfortunately, This was NOT one of those BETTER Days -
Our URANIUM decks were Swamped on the Open and we took Heavy Losses of some very nice Winnings

Surprisingly, in all this horror the " Trend is Still Our Friend"

As My Mother Used to Say
" It's Better to have Loved and Lost than to have Never Loved at all"

Sailing the DYL--------One WEEK at a Time------&----One DAY at a Time---( -15.08 % Today )----&--------15 MINUTES at a Time-

Sailing the BMN--------One WEEK at a Time------&----One DAY at a Time---( -14.88 % Today )----&--------15 MINUTES at a Time-

Sailing the BOE--------One WEEK at a Time------&----One DAY at a Time---( -10.68 % Today )----&--------15 MINUTES at a Time-

Sailing the PDN--------One WEEK at a Time------&----One DAY at a Time---( -10.62 % Today )----&--------15 MINUTES at a Time-

Sailing the SLX--------One WEEK at a Time------&----One DAY at a Time---( -9.78 % Today )-------&--------15 MINUTES at a Time-

Sailing the I88--------One WEEK at a Time------&----One DAY at a Time---( -8.89 % Today )----&--------15 MINUTES at a Time-

NB: and Remember always "Dips are for Drongos"

Salute and Stay Well

 
Ahoy Brave and Loyal Crew---

Batten Down the Hatches --Secure Safety Lines ---We are RUNNING for SHELTER in Quick Time without Hesitation---
I fear there will be Nowhere to hide--

If you thought Yesterday was BAD Today promises to be HORRIBLE as DR COPPER Rules the Direction of our Winds Down Under

US Industry ETFs-----Wed 29 Jan 25, 8:20am (AEDT)​

NameValue% Chg
Commodities
Uranium27.55+1.66%
Gold Miners37.69+0.91%
Silver27.62+0.58%
Steel61.031+0.03%
Lithium & Battery Tech40.66-0.85%
Strategic Metals40.88-1.42%
Copper Miners37.94-2.97%
Industrials
Agriculture27.56+0.88%
Aerospace & Defense154.92-0.06%
Construction77.05-0.19%
Global Jets26.04-1.66%
Healthcare
Biotechnology138.16-0.15%
NameValue% Chg
Cryptocurrency
Bitcoin24.55-
Renewables
Hydrogen20.959+0.62%
CleanTech6.5408-1.35%
Solar32.63-2.07%
Technology
Cloud Computing26.34+4.03%
Cybersecurity34.55+3.88%
E-commerce30.18+2.55%
Robotics & AI33.78+2.33%
Video Games/eSports86.17+2.16%
FinTech32.82+1.36%
Sports Betting/Gaming20.081+1.29%
Semiconductor213.5+0.45%
Electric Vehicles23.26-0.21%

ASX TODAY​

  • Accent Group guides 1H25 EBIT of $80m vs. Citi ests of $74m (22-Nov-24) but gross margins down 100 bps due to ongoing promotional trading environment (AX1)
  • Boss Energy reports Q2 uranium production of 137,084 lbs, on track to meet FY25 production guidance (BOE)
  • Perseus Mining reports Q2 gold production of 132.4koz vs. 121.3koz a quarter ago, production for 1H25 and CY24 was towards the upper end of guidance ranges in each case while AISC were below the bottom end (PRU)
  • Pilbara Minerals reports Q2 spodumene production of 188.2kdmt or 1.5% ahead of 185.3kdmt consensus, 204.1kdmt shipments or 9.3% beat and US$700/dmt realised price vs. $673.1/dmt consensus (PLS)
  • Star Entertainment to divest The Star Sydney Event Centre and other additional spaces within The Star Sydney complex to Foundation Theaters for A$60m (SGR)
  • Vault Minerals reports Q2 gold production, tweaks FY gold sales guidance down to 390-410koz from 390-430koz (VAU)

WHAT TO WATCH TODAY​

  • Lots of quarterlies and preliminary earnings: At a glance, Accent looks like a mixed bag as solid EBIT is offset by a much larger-than-expected deterioration in margins, Perseus looks solid on strong production and cost control, Pilbara continues to crush expectations (operationally speaking) and Vault might see some pressure on the slight guidance downgrade
  • Tech bounce: Local tech stocks experienced a selective bounce on Wednesday (e.g. Xero opened -1.4%, closed +1.7%). While data centre names like NextDC finished 7.2% lower, up from session lows of -9.2% but off highs of -5.1%.
  • Gold strength: Gold has recouped almost the entirety of Wednesday's 1.1% selloff. The strength of the US dollar (DXY +0.43% overnight) has pushed Aussie gold prices up 1.4% overnight to a record $4,420 an ounce.
  • Copper weakness: Not too much movement in copper prices overnight but heavy selling across most major copper mines like Lundin (-4.1%), Antofagasta (-2.2%) and First Quantum (-2.2%). This dragged the Global X Copper Miners ETF down to near one year low.



Salute and Gods' Speed
 
Ahoy Brave and Loyal Crew---


Phew! Looks like Our Great Copper Miners are Recovering from their Sailors Shock in NY Overnight--

Sailing the BHP--------One WEEK at a Time------&----------------One DAY at a Time---------------------&--------15 MINUTES at a Time-

Sailing the RIO --------One WEEK at a Time------&----------------One DAY at a Time---------------------&--------15 MINUTES at a Time-

BTW It was Great to see Our Uranium's Gap Up Strongly on the Open ~ +8%

Salute and Stay Safe
 
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