>Apocalypto<
20.03.2012
- Joined
- 2 February 2007
- Posts
- 2,233
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- 2
What is a full on crash?
1929?
I reckon a prolonged bearmarket/sideways market is much worse than a crash.....
But i guess in any conditions there are always stocks that outperform....
Being....I was just making a point reece...
Being....
I'm talking market wide, you're talking individual stock
Chops,That P/E's can't/ shouldn't be the only method of valuation. Otherwise, companies would all trade at exactly the same P/E level.
In all time frames there will be undervalued and overvalued stocks, albeit in varying time frames they are harder to find.
What percentage of the market would have to be trading at these levels for you to go all in?
Very well said,
As I have posted before, value is only determined by what the market willing pay for it.
Speculation on value is very dangerous.
Price is what you pay. Value is what you get
As I have posted before, value is only determined by what the market willing pay for it.
One of the worst and and most amateur mistakes you can make is equating price with value.
"Stock Market Crash - End of the Bull!", Panic, panic!!
We're still here, we're still over 6000, guess we'll have to put up with all the doom & gloom again soon when the market has it's May correction. Maybe people will be a little more cautious about there bear predictions this time though, do you think so?
Naaa!
Definately good figures released. I am back into the market until the end of the year. Highly doubt we will see a rate rise next month. Though, the impact of last years rate rises is still largely to be seen in the upcoming indicators.
<H2>Legs left in our bull run: Oliver
31st May 2007, 10:15 WST
Some market experts are betting the equities market will run stronger for longer, with the Australian sharemarket potentially doubling over the next 12 months.
AMP chief economist Shane Oliver said yesterday that the current fouryear bull market was both shorter in duration and smaller in magnitude than the average cyclical bull market since 1950. And it was steadier and more modest than the boom between 1982 and1987.
However, he said if the market were to mimic 1987 and start to rise exponentially it could more than double over a space of a year.
Hopefully history won’t repeat so precisely, Dr Oliver said.
But the point is, the bull market could still have a fair way to run in terms of magnitude and duration if past extremes are any guide.
Nomura Australia equity markets strategist Eric Betts said that if the sharemarket was well supported by earnings growth, it was likely to return between 10 and 20 per cent over the next 12 months.
From a bottom-up perspective the banks are in good health and looking at around 10 per cent growth over the next year and in the mining sector commodity prices are high and we are still seeing upgrades come through, he said.
You have big rounds of tax cuts coming through in the next fiscal year, which should sustain the consumer, and the global economy is OK.
But Mr Betts warned that the market still could see a 1987 bubble if investors pushed share prices higher in the expectation of more takeovers.
Bell Potter Securities director of research Peter Quinton said he expected the stockmarket to return 12 per cent in 2007, despite describing it as fairly valued. The S&P-ASX 200 is up 10 per cent since January.
TRACEY COOK
Totally agree with you Nizar,
Long term side ways markets with very tight ranges are a thing in my nightmares!
Hell just sell calls.
As of posting, the Aussie Dollar continues to tank against the British Pound and Greenback, A$2.5499 and A$1.2904 respectively.
The UK FTSE 100 started up over 80 points but has just reversed to be 20 points down after the 4.1% fall yesterday.
Gold morning fix at $662.25
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