explod
explod
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any comment where is silver heading next week?
Resistance of silver?
It's only guesswork, but I expect it to consolidate in a tight range 34 - 35.any comment where is silver heading next week?
"JP Morgan Increases Registered Silver Inventories 500% OVERNIGHT
Posted by The Doc on April 27, 2012 05:05
Something BIG is going down. First Blythe appeared on CNBC 2 weeks ago claiming that JP Morgan holds its metals positions on behalf of clients, then the CFTC moved 1 step closer to finally implementing position limits last week with their meeting discussing swaps, and today we have the kicker:
JP Morgan adjusted 5 million ounces of silver into dealer (registered) vaults Thursday, increasing their registered inventories 500% OVERNIGHT!!!"
Picked this up on the GATA site
http://www.gotgoldreport.com/2012/07/comex-silver-futures-skewed-short-potentially-explosive.html
Before the stock panic, silver’s correlation with gold was very tight both visually and statistically. Silver had a pre-panic r-square with gold of 94.7%. This means nearly 95% of silver’s daily price action was statistically explainable by gold’s own! Silver was truly a leveraged secondary play on the gold price, rallying when gold was strong and selling off when gold was weak. Gold overwhelmingly drove silver.
But the stock panic’s extreme fear radically disrupted this historical relationship. While gold plunged 27% between July and November 2008, silver plummeted 53%! This dragged silver to a 34-month low, while gold only hit a 14-month low. Silver was simply too low relative to gold, creating an incredible buying opportunity as I discussed just after the panic. Silver would have to soar to reestablish this relationship.
Interestingly during the panic, silver’s r-square with gold plunged to 52.5%. Only half of its daily price action was statistically explainable by gold’s own. This brings up a second important point for silver traders to understand. While gold is silver’s primary driver, the stock markets sometimes usurp it. Major stock-market down days generate so much fear that it spills into silver and taints this hyper-speculative metal’s sentiment.
The bottom line is silver is now quite undervalued relative to gold. It has been losing ground compared to its primary driver for over a year now following a massive mini-mania spike. But the selling in recent months has been excessive, driving silver too low relative to prevailing gold prices. So silver is likely to outperform gold in this year’s upcoming strong season for the precious metals, which is due to start soon.
London's Financial Times dispatched some stunning news to silver investors awaiting the conclusion of a four-year investigation into allegations of silver price manipulation.
The article, entitled "Four-Year Silver Probe Set to be Dropped," reported that the investigation "looks increasingly likely to be dropped after US regulators failed to find enough evidence to support a legal case."
Beatthemarket you charge for that work?
And what is "Aussie Silver"?
And what is "Aussie Silver"?
At a time when hedge funds are the least bullish on silver in almost four years, investors’ holdings are near a record, siding with the analysts predicting a rally as central banks move to bolster growth.
Speculators cut bets on higher prices by 72 percent since the end of February, mirroring changes in their copper wagers, which turned bearish in May, U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission data show. Silver held in exchange-traded products climbed for three months and is now valued at $16.2 billion, according to data compiled by Bloomberg. Prices will average $33.02 an ounce in the fourth quarter, 18 percent more than now, the median of 13 analyst estimates compiled by Bloomberg show.
More Bullish
Hedge funds may be getting more bullish, more than doubling their net-long position, or bet on higher prices, to 9,323 futures and options in the two weeks to Aug. 7, CFTC data show. That’s still 58 percent below the five-year average. Wagers fell to 2,888 contracts on June 26, the lowest since October 2008.
Options traders are divided.........
I think silver could be poised for an explosive move higher.
This is happening at a time when, according to a Bloomberg story, U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission data show that “Speculators cut bets on higher prices by 72% since the end of February, mirroring changes in their copper wagers, which turned bearish in May.”
But do you know what else is happening? The holdings in silver Exchange-Traded Funds are climbing higher and higher.
Specifically, according to recent reports, investors bought 797 metric tons of silver through silver-backed exchange-traded products this year and now hold 18,093 tons, equal to more than eight months of global mine output.
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