Australian (ASX) Stock Market Forum

PEN - Peninsula Energy

PEN chart showing a rectangle.
Measured move targets are either 1.3c or 4.3c depending on support or resistance failure.

View attachment 53024


Looks like the bounce from 2.1c is over.
Bearish Harami
http://www.investopedia.com/terms/b/bearishharami.asp
Price/RSI trend lines and RSI center line breaks will confirm...

big.chart.gif
 
New holder on the July 1 top 20 holders report:

16 MS ANNE LOUISE BROWN & MR ANTHONY LAMBERT BROWN 9,410,000 0.32%

came out of the woods, never seen before.



Plus another spike today. nice 40% profit on a smidgin of PENOC.:)
 
seems another nice lil PnD on Pen today? always reliable to get that every few months at very least - ~15% rise in a day that more often than not immediately retraces...

on the other hand, ERA and PDN did well today too.

Whats next for PEN to announce. I think they're a bit behind schedule... now... :p:
 
i'll continue to believe what i believe.

Good for you, by the way there is no climate crisis.
However, your beloved U is critically toxic, both to the environment and long term investors like yourself.

What happened to the spot price today???

Ouch...$38

cbotcis.png
 
What happened to the spot price today???

Ouch...$38

View attachment 53373


Dengo, A balance of views is always good, and although I don't hold with your negativity on the U sector longer term, I respect your prerogative to state it as you see it ...... however .......

It should be worth noting that even though the spot price on U may be hitting lows around the figure you state, it is also a fact that PDN today reported in their Quarterly ..........

Strong sales revenue of US$107.4M for the quarter, selling 2.325Mlb U3O8 at average price of
US$46.22/lb.

● Annual revenue of US$408.4M from sale of 8.253Mlb U3O8 (up 23% on FY12) at average price of
US$49.48/lb
U3O8.

The spot price of U does not parallel what is going on in the real market ...... Producers, and near Producers who have a cost effective production profile will be in a superior bargaining position regarding the price they receive for their U due to the number of smaller U Companies who may never get their product to market. Assuming PEN achieve their proposed objectives, their current market cap looks very conservative to me. I bought back in about a week ago based on the above ...... Just my :2twocents Cheers.
 
Good for you, by the way there is no climate crisis.
However, your beloved U is critically toxic, both to the environment and long term investors like yourself.

What happened to the spot price today???

Ouch...$38

View attachment 53373

potatoes / potartoes

my preferred indicator is up:
http://www.google.com/finance?q=Uraxpd

so you're just another anti-U crusader - good luck with that. you might have trouble convincing the 2 billion or so Chinese and 1 billion or so Indians that U is bad but i suppose posting on a forum is a start.
 
you might have trouble convincing the 2 billion or so Chinese and 1 billion or so Indians that U is bad

I might not...

"Chinese plans for $6bn nuclear plant blocked by protesters"

http://www.independent.co.uk/news/w...lear-plant-blocked-by-protesters-8707180.html

"Indians protesting against a planned nuclear power plant attacked a hospital and torched buses on Tuesday, resulting in at least 20 people being injured."

http://www.thenational.ae/news/worl...ed-in-protests-over-india-nuclear-power-plant
 
I might not...

"Chinese plans for $6bn nuclear plant blocked by protesters"

http://www.independent.co.uk/news/w...lear-plant-blocked-by-protesters-8707180.html

"Indians protesting against a planned nuclear power plant attacked a hospital and torched buses on Tuesday, resulting in at least 20 people being injured."

http://www.thenational.ae/news/worl...ed-in-protests-over-india-nuclear-power-plant

if you think the Chinese are going to bin a $6bn plant you've been smoking too much hooch.
one processing plan postponed, will most likely get moved to a new location.
no news about them stopping the 28+ nuclear power plants that are under construction.

as for the Indians - 1 protest - big deal. 20 plants operating, 7 under construction.

you spend far too much time on the PEN thread - isn't there some trees you should be hugging? don't hug them for too long though, you wouldn't want the word to spread that you're a dendraphiliac.
 
Brace yourself: uranium tipped for explosive rebound

July 17, 2013


MAYBE it was the heavy morning rain, or maybe it was the realisation that the market is doing more to damage the uranium sector than any number of marches through the streets of Fremantle could achieve.

Either way, the collection of anti-nuclear activists that usually gathers outside the annual Australian Uranium Conference were for the first time in the event's history a no-show.

For the dozens of uranium explorers, developers and miners gathered inside, being ignored has become routine. Investors have shown little to no love for uranium stocks for more than two years, since the Fukushima nuclear disaster in Japan triggered a series of events that left the price of uranium and shares in uranium companies wallowing.

The uranium price now sits below $US40 a pound, half the level required to get new uranium mines off the ground. For explorers, raising fresh equity to top up increasingly meagre bank balances is a near impossible prospect. Against that backdrop, however, is a strong conviction in the sector that their fortunes could be about to turn.

The supply and demand equation has been working against the uranium sector since Fukushima sparked an ongoing shutdown of almost all of Japan's nuclear power capacity.

But even as Japan continues to work out what role, if any, nuclear will play in their energy future, China continues with a wave of nuclear development that could dramatically increase global uranium demand.

For Julian Tapp, a former lieutenant to Andrew Forrest at iron ore miner Fortescue Metals Group and who now runs would-be uranium developer Energy and Minerals Australia, the uranium market is shaping up to become "iron ore on steroids".

The outlook for uranium today is similar to that facing iron ore in the early 2000s, he says, when a becalmed iron ore price overshadowed the early signs of the massive demand growth set to emerge from China.

Today, Tapp says, China is embarking on a "massive" rollout of new nuclear reactors that will drive a major surge in uranium demand.

"Not only is there a shortage coming, it seems there will be a sustained shortage. Even if all the current projects on the drawing board get up, it's difficult to see how there's going to be enough supply to keep up with demand," Mr Tapp told The Australian.

Compounding the issue, he says, is the looming end of an international program to recycle Cold War-era nuclear warheads into fuel for nuclear power plants.

Those supplies should be exhausted by the end of the year.

"When (the uranium market) turns, it's likely to go quite a long way," Tapp says. "My estimate is somewhere in the range of $US120-$US140 (per pound) for the spot price."

Until then, however, Tapp faces a real challenge in keeping EMA funded. It only has about $1 million in cash at present and needs to secure more -- a task Tapp admits will be difficult.

EMA's dwindling bank balance is a familiar story across the uranium sector, but it is also one that could help in the industry's stockmarket revival.

Argonaut Securities analyst Matthew Keane is tipping a big rise in mergers and acquisitions in the uranium space in the coming year, driven in part by cashed-up companies preying on those running out of funding. "Looking into 2014 we would expect to see a higher level of M&A within the sector itself," he says.

"We are now 2 1/2 years into a post-Fukushima decline in the uranium price, and a number of junior uranium companies are now really feeling the strain in terms of their balance sheet.

The average cash balance across the junior balance in around $2.1m.

"For those companies that do have cash, there is the opportunity for the cash-meets-project type acquisition."

Adam Myers, a corporate finance partner with BDO, told the conference that those few players with money should be looking to take advantage of the opportunities in a depressed market. "There's certainly opportunities to pick up good-quality projects because companies are really running out of cash," he said. "It's worth looking at the market and seeing if there is a strategic deposit you can pick up."

One player that says it is looking to buy unloved assets is Peninsula Energy. The company has seen its own share price plummet in recent years and is still trying to secure the $100m in debt funding it needs to develop its first uranium mine. Still, it wants to add another project to its portfolio.

Executive chairman Gus Simpson says he wants the company to acquire an early-stage project somewhere in Australia, to complement the company's other development projects in Wyoming and South Africa.

"There are some 345 operating nuclear power stations in the world," he says.

"As I speak there are 67 new nuclear power stations under construction; that's the most at any single time in history. And there are another 167 nuclear power stations that will be built over the next decade on top of those 65. That is a renaissance."

Should that play out, don't be surprised if the anti-nuclear protesters manage to find their voice once again.

http://www.theaustralian.com.au/bus...xplosive-rebound/story-fn91v9q3-1226680402321
 
My long term target is $20 so you can ramp any dead cat bounces...:p:

strange, no interest in uranium (nor pen) but follows an indicator and has set a target?

you may have missed the post about what PDN recently was selling stock for.

don't set yourself such a narrow minded focus of one indicator. the rest of the market doesn't seem too fazed but the spot price, most U stocks are up - explain that one bucko?
 
how many people have died as a result of fukushima ... i can't quite recall ... wasn't it zero?

You're kidding right? :confused:

Welcome to reality...

"Fukushima Radiation Has Already Killed 14,000 Americans"

And the future?

"We’re going to see an incredible increase in cancer, leukemia, and ”” down the time track ”” genetic disease. Not just in Japan but in the Northern Hemisphere, particularly North America."

http://www.infowars.com/study-fukushima-radiation-has-already-killed-14000-americans/
 
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