PDN - Paladin Energy

[Fab]

Re: PDN - Paladin Resources

Here is the reason. It is likely to run higher I would think.

The spot price of uranium edged closer to the $US100 per pound mark overnight with the move driving up the share price of Australia's yellowcake brigade.

The spot price surged to its highest peak since the 70s and hit $US95.00 a pound overnight.

Uranium miners Energy Resources of Australia Ltd and Paladin Resources Ltd followed the price jump, gaining 7.17 per cent and 2.03 per cent by 1253 AEDT, respectively.

Of the advanced explorers, Energy Metals Ltd moved 10.78 per cent higher to $5.65 by 1254 AEDT, Nova Energy Ltd gained 11.43 per cent to $3.90 and Toro Energy Ltd added 7.77 per cent to $1.04.

The drivers for nuclear energy growth are well documented and include increasing global electricity demand and global warming concerns, pointing towards an increasing demand for nuclear energy and therefore uranium.

The demand for uranium is also expected to be driven by the proposed construction of 178 new nuclear reactors, a 40 per cent increase on the current global fleet of 441.

The uranium price has almost doubled since July when it was fetching about $US48.00 per pound on the spot market.

The increase in price is also spurning an increase in corporate activity in the sector with takeovers and the spin-out of new uranium focused companies on the rise.

"There is an increasing amount of corporate activity occurring in the Australian uranium sector as the long awaited rationalisation and consolidation phase commences," analysts from StockResource said in a March 7 client note.

These include Paladin's $1 billion bid for Summit Resources Ltd and Hong Kong-based investment bank Crosby Capital Partners' $206 million bid for Marathon Resources Ltd.

© 2007 AAP

 

[Fab]

Re: PDN - Paladin Resources

Actually PDN priced edged higher overnight on the TSX 2.27% up in good volume over 2,000,000 whereas Wall Street went down almost 100 pts. In the last few days the ASX seems to have followed the TSX with regards to PDN so I am hoping for a strong showing today in an overall down market.
Any thoughts on that?

 

[It's Snake Pliskin]

Re: PDN - Paladin Resources

Actually PDN priced edged higher overnight on the TSX 2.27% up in good volume over 2,000,000 whereas Wall Street went down almost 100 pts. In the last few days the ASX seems to have followed the TSX with regards to PDN so I am hoping for a strong showing today in an overall down market.
Any thoughts on that?

So that would present a conundrum. Down, up, down or up?
If your perspective is next year don't worry about it. If it's not......

 

[Fab]

Re: PDN - Paladin Resources

Here is what Macquarie says about PDN

Trading Pick of the Day


04 April 2007
PDN – What is the Short Term Direction?

Paladin Resources (PDN) has fallen over 8.8% from all time highs of $10.75 in February after the board of Summit Resources rejected its takeover offer. If you have a positive long term view of the stock, but believe a short term correction is possible, through a Hi-Note with an Opening Level of 95% you can earn 30.48%pa* over the next 90 days, while you wait to invest.

In 90 days time of PDN is above your Opening Level (95%) you will receive $3,757.98 income for a $50,000 investment.

PDN is currently at $9.80, at Maturity if the stock has fallen by more than 5% you will effectively purchase stock at your reference price $9.31

In both cases you will receive your agreed rate of interest (currently 30.48%*pa).
Macquarie Research Equities (MRE) Analysis of Paladin Resources

* Paladin is a focused uranium mining, development and exploration company with key development projects in both Africa and Australia. The company’s flagship project, the Langer Heinrich mine in Namibia, entered into commercial uranium production at the end of 2006.

* Over the past five years the uranium spot price has surged from around US$10/lb to US$91/lb, its highest nominal level on record.

* In the short term, the market is expected to remain tight, and reactors are expected to continue to struggle to secure sufficient primary supply in the face of waning secondary supplies.

* The lion’s share of forecast growth in output comes from a small number of mines – any disruption to production at any of these mines is likely to have a major upward impact on spot prices.

* Paladin has a solid asset suite, strong growth profile and significant leverage to a booming uranium price.

Sounds to me like a very good U play. Note that I have held this stock for the last 2 years and plan on keeping it

 

[eMark]

Re: PDN - Paladin Resources

Morning all.

Why the big drop in PDN today?

Cheers

eMark

 

[nizar]

Re: PDN - Paladin Resources

Morning all.

Why the big drop in PDN today?

Cheers

eMark

Its come a fair way from $7.50...
Its only giving back part of yesterdays rise... No dramas here...
In my opinion.

 

[Prospector]

Re: PDN - Paladin Resources

Well, PDN's hostile takeover target (SMM)is in a trading halt pending the announcement of a third party alternative.

 

[eMark]

Re: PDN - Paladin Resources

Well, PDN's hostile takeover target (SMM)is in a trading halt pending the announcement of a third party alternative.

Thanks Nizar

Prospector.

With SMM being in a trading halt would probably account for the drop (uncertainty). Is an announcement expected today from a third party or SMM? The likelihood of PDN being successful seems slim at best? Then again I'm not that o-fay with hostile takeovers.

 

[nizar]

Re: PDN - Paladin Resources

Mark.
Less than 1% of SMM holders accepted PDNs offer.
(And if i held SMM, i would be one of them!)
Note than SMM also was in a trading halt yesterday.

 

[eMark]

Re: PDN - Paladin Resources

Mark.
Less than 1% of SMM holders accepted PDNs offer.
(And if i held SMM, i would be one of them!)
Note than SMM also was in a trading halt yesterday.

Thanks Nizar.

I see. I didn't note that SMM was in a trading halt yesterday. In that case it's hard to forsee the overall affect it will have on PDN's share price, whichever way it pans out.

Overall the metal stocks appear to be cautious today, regardless of last nights metals performance

 

[sleeper88]

Re: PDN - Paladin Resources

for all those legal experts out there, what are the odds that PDN will lose to SMM's legal proceedings over the Mt Isa jv?

 

[mmmmining]

Re: PDN - Paladin Resources

I guess it is logical for Areva to takeover PDN as well. I guess it is more a defensive act for it to invest in SMM, rather than finding value. Cannot figure it out what is in French's mind. Invest a lot of money in a state that might never allow to mine.

French vs QLD Government..

 

[nizar]

Re: PDN - Paladin Resources

I guess it is logical for Areva to takeover PDN as well. I guess it is more a defensive act for it to invest in SMM, rather than finding value. Cannot figure it out what is in French's mind. Invest a lot of money in a state that might never allow to mine.

French vs QLD Government..

Obviously those big people are much more in the know than us.
Why did Borshoff take over Vulhalla and then go for SMM?
For nothing? Based on probabilities?

Couple Borshoff's move with Areva now and its pretty clear that the big companies are confident QLD will allow mining. Or else they are opening up themselves to severe shareholder backlash and a plumetting share price.

 

[purple]

Re: PDN - Paladin Resources

Obviously those big people are much more in the know than us.

Yep. CEOs move around in higher circles. Not insinuating any insider trading, but hints, words, gossip tends to move around.

 

[motion]

Re: PDN - Paladin Resources

hey guys,

Bought this as my first trade today seems like an interesting stock to watch at the moment.

not sure if I got in to high or not but a good learning point.

Rise PDN

 

[Robbo1970]

Re: PDN - Paladin Resources

what options for pdn if they dont get sumitt? will they look for a nearby site like URL?

 

[Sean K]

Re: PDN - Paladin Resources

what options for pdn if they dont get sumitt? will they look for a nearby site like URL?

I'm not sure if they'll go for anything without a more advanced resource, at least close to JORC. They seem to want an Australian operation, and to be honest, I was surprised they pursued SMM after Beattie made his policy clear. Perhaps they are thinking much more strategic than me. The Mt Isa region could be one gigantic U mine in a few years. Other than SMM, where will they turn? I can't see why they would initially go anywhere but NT and SA in the short term. Pick the best independant resources there for potential takeover options...

 

[Robbo1970]

Re: PDN - Paladin Resources

thanks kennas. yes will keep looking for options. seems that if sumitt doesnt come off they will still be looking for something. you are right i suppose rann in south australia looks like the best option for one of the labour states and if the labour conference in a couple of weeks gives uranium the go ahead it might be the best state for them.

still hard to blv that a struggling stock 3 years ago is making such major plays. but anyway!

 

[motion]

Re: PDN - Paladin Resources

Morning,

I see PDN has been placed into a trading halt. Would anyone know why this would happen ?

Thanks

 

[Prospector]

Re: PDN - Paladin Resources

Summit are in one too. So maybe Court result, revised (again) takeover bid? Who knows....