Australian (ASX) Stock Market Forum

PDN - Paladin Energy

Re: PDN - Paladin Resources

Kauri said:
It produces gold :confused: ..

Sorry, feeling in a silly mood today... :silly:

haha, pretty much gold...Produces Uranium. Some think lower oil prices equals lower Uranium stock price.....
 
Re: PDN - Paladin Resources

well, i say oil price drop is the reason because lower oil prices makes oil seem a more attractive energy source than uranium. Obviously does not translate directly into practice but in terms of sentiment maybe.. :2twocents
 
Re: PDN - Paladin Resources

fma007 said:
well, i say oil price drop is the reason because lower oil prices makes oil seem a more attractive energy source than uranium. Obviously does not translate directly into practice but in terms of sentiment maybe.. :2twocents

I do understand that, but what about the other near term U producers that went up yesterday and today? I would guess the whole sector would be down a lot if it were due to oil.
 
Re: PDN - Paladin Resources

lancer said:
I do understand that, but what about the other near term U producers that went up yesterday and today? I would guess the whole sector would be down a lot if it were due to oil.


ERA is only off 1.8% and hardly off at all at 11:00 when PDN had dropped 5%,
interestingly. This might be a pull back from "Hot Money Traders" as the charts are getting pretty steep. (See attachment for analysis).

Is this a pull-back buy oportunity, or the start of an overheated correcion? I would be interested in your opinion

Cheers
 

Attachments

  • ERA & PDN Tech.doc
    11 KB · Views: 28
  • ERA Chart 1-07.jpg
    ERA Chart 1-07.jpg
    39 KB · Views: 152
  • PDN Chart 1-07.jpg
    PDN Chart 1-07.jpg
    40 KB · Views: 162
Re: PDN - Paladin Resources

Thats a good question, I would venture to guess its a small pullback, but if I wasnt currently holding I dont think I would buy yet...There has been a lot of good news out so far, the only thing I can think to boost it short term would be either:
Spot price increase or
Good news in the spring from the government (which I think more peole are already counting on)

Still a great stock that I am holding long term regardless of what it does now
 
Re: PDN - Paladin Resources

BT, thanks for the attached article.

"$10 next month should be regarded a done deal" - wow, that's confidence!!
 
Re: PDN - Paladin Resources

scsl said:
BT, thanks for the attached article.

"$10 next month should be regarded a done deal" - wow, that's confidence!!
Although I hold PDN, I don't think it's good value at present prices.
If I were looking to buy into the stock, my target price would be $7.40 tho I would have 2 shots at it: First entry at $7.50 (to make sure I "got" some) and the remainder at $7.35 or less if a selldown was in the wind.
I don't think $10 is close-by and think April is a chance.
But as Lancer notes, a spot price hike could do wonders.
I think the real take off point will be when PDN has posted its first quarter results and we know what we are dealing with.
 
Re: PDN - Paladin Resources

rederob said:
Although I hold PDN, I don't think it's good value at present prices.
If I were looking to buy into the stock, my target price would be $7.40 tho I would have 2 shots at it: First entry at $7.50 (to make sure I "got" some) and the remainder at $7.35 or less if a selldown was in the wind.
I don't think $10 is close-by and think April is a chance.
But as Lancer notes, a spot price hike could do wonders.
I think the real take off point will be when PDN has posted its first quarter results and we know what we are dealing with.
I don't think there's many a time that I think PDN is not overpriced (if that makes sense). Yet I still go ahead with short term trades - for fear of missing out on the next big jump and/or going with the trend. So do you think the sub $7.50 level will come hand in hand with the next market correction? Or will it come off with other uranium stocks? PDN is such a favourite in the market that I'm always reluctant to take a short position in it.
 
Re: PDN - Paladin Resources

scsl said:
I don't think there's many a time that I think PDN is not overpriced (if that makes sense). Yet I still go ahead with short term trades - for fear of missing out on the next big jump and/or going with the trend. So do you think the sub $7.50 level will come hand in hand with the next market correction? Or will it come off with other uranium stocks? PDN is such a favourite in the market that I'm always reluctant to take a short position in it.
PDN will keep going up as long as the U price keeps rising. An important date is Feb 6 when Cameco the largest U producer will give an update on the flooding of its U mine and how long will be the delay in Prod. This could give another boost or burst to U stocks. So I am not too worry until this date and the alp meeting on mine policy in April will be an important one too. I hold some PDN warrant as I don't want to indeed miss the next jump in price as PDN typically moves by waves.
 
Re: PDN - Paladin Resources

scsl said:
I don't think there's many a time that I think PDN is not overpriced (if that makes sense). Yet I still go ahead with short term trades - for fear of missing out on the next big jump and/or going with the trend. So do you think the sub $7.50 level will come hand in hand with the next market correction? Or will it come off with other uranium stocks? PDN is such a favourite in the market that I'm always reluctant to take a short position in it.
Between last April and June PDN dipped over $2.00 from peak to trough - ie around $5.50 to intraday under $3.50.
If PDN repeated that movement it woud be possible to pick it up for about $7 within the month.
I do not suggest that PDN "will" get that low - but being alert to the possibility gives one a chance to either add at better value, or buy in with a degree less downside than there is to the stock today.
 
Re: PDN - Paladin Resources

I am supposed to get next weeks U spot price soon. Usually comes out in the next hour and I will Post it as soon as I know it. Hopefully this will help, I think we are due for a little jump. Trade tech was forecasting between 72 and 75 last week we will see if its true
 
Re: PDN - Paladin Resources

lancer said:
I am supposed to get next weeks U spot price soon. Usually comes out in the next hour and I will Post it as soon as I know it. Hopefully this will help, I think we are due for a little jump. Trade tech was forecasting between 72 and 75 last week we will see if its true
That will be great.
 
Re: PDN - Paladin Resources

This coming weeks U spot price will stay the same Unfortunately. Still at $72. I guess its better than dropping, I just think we are due for a little rise...
 
Re: PDN - Paladin Resources

lancer said:
This coming weeks U spot price will stay the same Unfortunately. Still at $72. I guess its better than dropping, I just think we are due for a little rise...
Thanks. I was thinking that indeed a little rise would have been good to maybe get PDN to the $10 mark.
 
Re: PDN - Paladin Resources

Just my opinion, but I cannot see a rise in the price of uranium till there is an update from Cameco regarding Cigar Lake . . remember Cigar Lake was expected to produce up to 18 million pounds a year between 2008 and 2010....with grades up to 20%U3O8 :eek:
News is due on Feb 6th I think and hopefully its bad . . which is good for :aus:
cheers
 
Re: PDN - Paladin Resources

spooly74 said:
Just my opinion, but I cannot see a rise in the price of uranium till there is an update from Cameco regarding Cigar Lake . . remember Cigar Lake was expected to produce up to 18 million pounds a year between 2008 and 2010....with grades up to 20%U3O8 :eek:
News is due on Feb 6th I think and hopefully its bad . . which is good for :aus:
cheers
Maybe spooly, but the uranium price really just depends on how much people are willing to pay for it at auction, from my understanding.

Also, everyone seems to assuming that the Comenco update will bring bad news on Cigar Lake. What if they say it's ahead of schedule to be fixed? I actually don't think this will occur, but it could. Just a thought. Not downramping here, just trying to give another take on things. I do hold a few uranium stocks myself...
 
Re: PDN - Paladin Resources

kennas said:
Maybe spooly, but the uranium price really just depends on how much people are willing to pay for it at auction, from my understanding.

Also, everyone seems to assuming that the Comenco update will bring bad news on Cigar Lake. What if they say it's ahead of schedule to be fixed? I actually don't think this will occur, but it could. Just a thought. Not downramping here, just trying to give another take on things. I do hold a few uranium stocks myself...

I think it`s a given that they are going to be delayed but by how long? Initial estimates are for 1 year but it could be longer.
I just think that if I was a potential buyer for U and in 3 weeks a potential producer of 300+ million pounds (19%average) of uranium will have news on delays?? then I would stay put for the moment and see what happens . .
I personally dont think the price will drop even if the news is great from Cameco because there is still a strong demand for U.
Over 450 nuclear reactors globally at the moment and the Chinese are planning 2 a year till 2020 (some of them 1000 Megawatt plants which will need 50000t of typical uranium each year to run)
I hold a couple of U stocks too and I think the spot price has a bit to go.
Remember the demand for uranium in the 70s was for weapons . . this time its for energy.
:2twocents
cheers
 
Top