Australian (ASX) Stock Market Forum

PCL - Pancontinental Energy

Global firms eye growing oil and gas resources
Posted by: The People in Business November 7, 2013 0 38 Views

Four major international oil companies have shown interest in Kenya’s remaining oil exploration licences following the Turkana basin discovery, according to an economic update report. In its latest assessment of Kenya’s oil and gas potential, global analyst on economic matters, Oxford Business Group (OBG) says France’s Total, China National Offshore Oil Corporation, ExxonMobil and Chevron are also eyeing the huge exploration opportunities in the country.

“The Turkana discovery has led to major international interest in Kenya’s remaining oil exploration licences, including from France’s Total, China National Offshore Oil Corporation, ExxonMobil and Chevron, though no other companies have yet announced commercially viable discoveries,” says OBG in a statement. Kenya has 46 blocks, of which 44 are licensed to 23 exploration companies.

While the government plans to create and offer seven new blocks in the near future, OBG says the new interest has signaled that Kenya’s run of geologic luck continues. UK’s Tullow Oil and Canada’s Africa Oil have recently announced the fourth consecutive discovery of oil in Turkana, further indicating that interest will grow among international oil explorers.

Similarly, while activity in the natural gas sector is proceeding at a slower pace, following the recent departure of one explorer, the outlook for new finds is promising, OBG says in its report titled ‘Recent discoveries in Kenya highlight oil and gas potential. Tullow and Africa Oil, joint partners in the exploration of the East Africa Rift Basin, announced in late September that drilling revealed oil in the Auwerwer and Upper Lokone sandstone reservoirs, bringing their total discoveries in Kenya to an estimated 300 million barrels.

The companies had previously announced a major discovery in Turkana after beginning exploration in late 2012. The partners have exploration licences for 12 blocks and have identified 10 additional leads and prospects. They plan to drill 12 wells over the next year, the report further says. Meanwhile, there is continued activity around the existing licences.

The UK’s Premier Oil recently bought into an exploration project through a deal with Taipan Resources for Block 2B, which contains the Pearl prospect, with its potential for 100 million barrels. In the economic update, OBG says upstream investment in oil production already stands at an estimated Sh85 billion ($1billion) a year excluding exploration.

“It is expected to grow by 60 per cent per year through 2018,” notes OBG in the report. The sudden surge in interest has led Kenya to reconsider its regulatory regime for the award of licences. In July, the government announced it would adopt open tendering for exploration licences to replace the “first-come-first-served” process after recommendations by a World Bank consultant. The recommendation is anchored on the need for transparency in the tendering process and to attract competent contractors to the oil and gas sector.

“We recommend that Kenya adopts a public tendering regime for contract awards as more interest in the country’s exploration blocks yields competitive environment,” Hunton & Williams and Challenge Energy Consultants said in a final draft seeking to come up with a regulatory framework. The draft was made public at an energy forum in July attended by Energy and Petroleum Cabinet Secretary Davis Chirchir and World Bank officials.

Under the current regime, the Cabinet Secretary in charge of petroleum simply puts out a notice of available open blocks, paving way for interested contractors to submit applications for negotiations. However, the approach, based on first-come-first-served principle, has been criticised for handing mining rights to highly-connected speculators who make billions of shillings by selling them to real investors.

Following the Turkana discovery, the government also switched to a production sharing contract model for oil discoveries to replace its prior practice of collecting three per cent royalties on natural resources. OBG further says following the new government approach, oil production will also be subject to a 42 per cent corporate tax on net profits in addition to the PSC arrangement.

However, despite the significant discoveries, major production is still some distance away, the group observes. The IMF forecasts Kenya will begin producing oil in six to seven years. Tullow is more optimistic, predicting that Kenya could start exporting oil by 2016. - By GEORGE KEBASO

http://www.thepeople.co.ke/30629/global-firms-eye-growing-oil-and-gas-resources/
 
22 November 2013

CHAIRMAN’S ADDRESS TO AGM

Ladies and gentlemen, I am very pleased to welcome shareholders and friends to the 2013 Annual General Meeting of Pancontinental Oil and Gas NL.

The Company is planning for an active forthcoming year of 3D seismic and offshore drilling.

Based on extensive interpretation of recent 3D seismic data, we will start drilling early in 2014 in the L10A area offshore Kenya,operated by BG Group.

The L10A drill target is the very interesting Sunbird Miocene reef prospect. Miocene reefs like Sunbird are amongst the most prolific oil and gas fields around the world, and Sunbird is the first real test of this play type offshore Kenya. If Sunbird is successful we have numerous follow-up reef targets in our four Kenyan licenses.

The L10 Joint Ventures are also considering a second well later in 2014.

As part of Apache Corporation’s global project reduction strategy announced earlier in 2013, we have been advised of the withdrawal of Apache as the operating partner in our Kenyan L8 area.This is disappointing, however the Apache strategy is at odds with the enthusiasm that otherlarge companies have for East Africa, in general,and for Kenya, in particular.

Amongst the other large players offshore Kenya we count Anadarko, Total, BG Group, ENI and PTTEP. These are among the most impressive oil and gas companies on the world scene. To the south of us in East Africa we also have Shell, Petrobras, Ophir, and Statoil, to name a few.

The Apache withdrawal in no way affects the prospectivity of the area, and Australia’s own Origin Energy has taken up the reins as Operator in L8. Origin is Australia’s foremost electricity generation and distribution expert and we believe that this expertise will be very welcome in Kenya, which has only a nascent energy generation and distribution profile.

We are also happy to have been able to take a share of the Apache interest, doubling our equity in L8 to 30%, at very little cost to the Company.

We now count Pancontinental as the longest standing explorer amongst all of the international companies in Kenya.

One of the Company’s key achievements this year was our success in negotiating with Tullow Oil as the farminee to our EL 0037 license, offshore Namibia. Tullow is one of Africa’s best oil finders, and EL 0037 is Tullow’s first entry to exploration offshore Namibia. EL 0037 covers a very large area of 17,000 sq. km in the Walvis Basin, a position we regard as the prime area for oil versus gas in this very exciting new exploration province.

The Tullow farmin could involve as much as 130 million dollars expenditure on seismic and optional drilling, and this will be at zero cost to Pancontinental, as the Company retainsa 30% free carried interest through seismic and drilling, including any cost overruns.

The Tullow farmin comes after a hugely important first-ever oil recovery offshore Namibia, immediately to the south of the EL 0037 area, confirming Pancontinental’s model. This oil recovery bodes very well for future oil discovery, and Tullow is already preparing for 3D seismic over a number of major prospective leads.

Financially, Pancontinental retains a very healthy cash balance of approximately $32 million. We are expecting to
top this up by about $1 million through a cash recovery resulting from the Apache withdrawal from the L8 joint venture.

In the near to medium term, the Company will maintain its efforts to farm out from its Kenya L6 and L8 licenses
and continue evaluating a range of new opportunities, especially in and around Africa.

Overall, despite some recent interruptions, Pancontinental has increased its position in its range of worthwhile projects in key locations in Africa, and we are well funded to commence drilling early in 2014

PCL Share Price.jpg
 
November 22, 2013 10:08 am

Tullow strikes oil in northern Kenya
By John Aglionby in London

Tullow Oil, has found oil in one of its north Kenyan operations that have been disrupted by a dispute with local people.

The share price of the Africa-focused FTSE 100 explorer, which has fallen 35 per cent in the past year, rose 2.2 per cent in early London trading to 904p.

Tullow announced on Friday that its Agete-1 exploration well in Block 13T, close to the Ugandan border, has “discovered and sampled moveable oil”.

It marks the fifth such oil find in Tullow’s exploration across the region, following oil strikes in its Twiga South, Ekales and Ngamia fields. It has a 50 per cent stake in the well with Toronto-listed Africa Oil holding the rest.

Angus McCoss, Tullow’s exploration director, said the discovery “highlights the emerging world-class exploration and production potential within our rift basin acreage”.

He added that further appraisal would be conducted in 2014 and pioneering wells drilled in similar rift basins.

Tullow was forced temporarily to abandon operations at Block 13T and the nearby Block 10BB last month after demonstrations and a break-in at its drilling sites.

Local Turkana people were upset that the company was using too many outsiders and contractors.

Tullow acquired its 50 per cent stake in the two blocks in 2010 as part of a wider deal that secured stakes in five adjacent Kenyan licences and one Ethiopian block in the east African Rift Valley system.

Earlier this month Tullow said it expected to end the year with a record production level of 84,000 to 88,000 barrels of oil equivalent a day despite an exploration setback off the coast of French Guiana.

http://www.ft.com/intl/cms/s/0/1f567802-5355-11e3-b425-00144feabdc0.html#axzz2lPnLl6hC
 
Namibia to limit oil, gas exploration
Mon, 25 Nov 2013 2:23 PM

Namibia plans to stop oil and gas companies from carrying out off-shore exploration for part of the year, to protect the fishing industry, a senior official said Monday.

Amid concerns that seismic surveys may be disrupting the migratory routes of tuna, senior fisheries ministry official Anna Erastus told AFP such tests would now only take place from May to September.

"This arrangement is to be communicated to the companies that are issued with such licences by the ministry of mines," said Erastus.

Brazilian oil firms HRT and Petrobras, as well as Spain's Repsol have exploration licenses in Namibia.

Offshore exploration began in Namibia in the late 1960's and resulted in major gas finds, though little in the way of oil.

But technological advances mean there are now high hopes that Namibia can become a crude producer on a similar scale to neighbouring Angola, Africa's second-biggest producer after Nigeria.

A rush of companies are now carrying out seismic testing in the southern Atlantic, which involves bouncing sound waves off undersea rock formations to detect deposits.

But there are fears these activities may be responsible for a decline in the tuna haul, from 1800 tonnes last year to about 650 tonnes so far this year.

Output in 2011 was 4000 tonnes.

Namibia's fishing industry is worth around 5-billion rand ($500-million) a year.

Erastus said that as a first step the ministry has decided to delay a proposed seismic survey for oil and gas due to take place in the Orange River Basin in February.

She did not name the company involved.

Namibian officials are also in talks with neighbouring South Africa, which Windhoek wants to adopt similar restrictions.

"The issue is further complicated by the fact that the same company is also proposing to undertake a February survey in South African waters, just across the Namibia-South Africa border," Erastus said.

"This is in the direct path of tuna migrating from South African to Namibian waters."

Apart from the unspecified upcoming survey, there are about four wells that are expected to be drilled in 2014.

A task force has also recommended further research to establish the effects of noise pollution on the fish, explore alternative methods of conducting seismic surveys and satellite tagging of tuna to identify migratory routes.

Namibia's cabinet in September placed a 16-month moratorium on marine phosphate mining, pending an assessment on its impact for fishing.

http://business.iafrica.com/worldnews/888753.html
 
PCL's Share Price is not looking good at the moment

I can't see much improvement coming until drilling starts again. :1zhelp:
So when to take the gamble and top-up on a few more shares ?
Will we see 4.5 cents in the near future ? There are not many buyers out
there at the moment, so we can expect it to get worse before it gets better.:banghead:

PCL Chart 28th Nov.jpg

PCL Trade 28th Nov.jpg
 
Italy's ENI commits $28 bln to boost African output

Italy's ENI aims to drill 140 new wells over the next four years to 2016, part of an ambitious $28-billion programme the company hopes will boost production in African markets.

Heavily invested in the resource-rich continent, ENI last month cut its production targets to reflect shrinking volumes from Libya and Nigeria, saying it expected output to be lower than in 2012.

"We are targeting 3 billion barrels of equity resource in four years. If achieved this will give us access to new resources at an exploration cost of $1.2 a barrel," Luca Bertelli, ENI's executive vice president for exploration, told an African oil and gas conference on Thursday.

"With the results achieved so far in 2013 we are very confident that this target will be met," he said at the conference, organised by Global Pacific & Partners.

Bertelli said the Italian company aimed to spend an average of $7-billion a year to develop a variety of projects in deep-water Nigeria, Ghana and Mozambique.

A giant discovery in Mozambique's Rovuma basin is the group's biggest resource with an estimated 80 trillion cubic feet of gas.

"Production is expected to grow with an average production growth of 3.2% per year," Bertelli said.

Last month, the group saw its oil and gas production fall 3.8% in the third quarter to 1.653-million barrels of oil equivalent a day.

Edited by: Reuters

http://www.engineeringnews.co.za/ar...its-28-bln-to-boost-african-output-2013-11-28
 
Announcement 9 December 2013

SUNBIRD-1 DRILLING OFFSHORE KENYA PLANNED TO COMMENCE MID- JANUARY 2014

* Sunbird Prospect approved for the first exploration well by the Kenya L10A Joint Venture, led by BG Group

* Sunbird-1 drilling planned to commence mid-January 2014 using drillship Deepsea Metro-1

* Sunbird-1 will be a play-opening first-ever test of a Miocene Pinnacle Reef offshore East Africa

* Numerous other Prospects and Leads have been high-graded for a second L10A / L10B well, potentially mid-late 2014

Pancontinental Oil & Gas NL (“Pancontinental”) is pleased to announce that final preparations are under way for the Sunbird-1exploration well in licence area L10A offshore Kenya, with a best-estimate commencement date between 9 to 12 January 2014.

Sunbird-1 will be the first-evertest of a Miocene Pinnacle Reef offshore East Africa and the first-ever exploration well within L10A in the Lamu Basin offshore southern Kenya.

L10A operator BG Group intends to use the drillship Deepsea Metro 1 to drill Sunbird-1.
The drillship is on contract to BG Group and is currently drilling offshore Tanzania.

Barry Rushworth, CEO and Executive Director of Pancontinental commented -

“We are very pleased to have been allocated the Deepsea Metro 1 for drilling next month. The Sunbird Prospect is one of a number ofMiocene Reefs that have never before been properly tested offshore East Africa. Miocene Reefs globally have a high record of success for oil and gas and they are often highly productive, due to high porosity and permeability.

Commercial oil has not yet been discovered offshore East Africa, however oil shows in reservoir-quality sands (Kubwa-1), the discovery of gas from a possible mixed gas/oil source rock (Mbawa-1) offshore Kenya, the nearbyPemba Island oil seep and oil slicks on satellite imagery, all lead us to believe thatPancontinental and its partners are pursuing an important oil play offshore Kenya.

Pancontinental believes the inboard area of L10A is ‘oily’ and the Joint Venture is targeting a significant oil opportunity in Sunbird-1. The Joint Venture is looking to be the first group to make a first commercial oil discovery in a region that continues to have increasing attention from the industry majors.”

The Sunbird Prospect is a buried Miocene Pinnacle Reef build-up, straddling the western sector boundary of the L10A / L10B areas. The licence areas together cover 10,547 sq km in water depths from 200m to 1,800m offshore from the port of Mombasa.

The Sunbird well is planned to take 50 to 60 days to drill to 3,000m below sea level, with an option to extend to 3,700m. It is intended to plug and abandon the well regardless of the drilling outcome. Water depth is 721m.

The Sunbird Prospect is a “textbook” Miocene Reef, with a prominent central reef core and a detrital skirt of talus material. It is interpreted that the reef was “drowned” by rising sea levels and then buried and sealed by fine grained hemipelagic sediment.

In a number of regions around the globe buried Miocene Reefs host large oil and gas reserves, such as the extensive reefs of Southeast Asia and the pinnacle reefs of Libya.

Miocene Reefs are often relatively shallow (700 to 2,000m burial depth), and are noted for their high porosity, permeability, and high flow rates of oil and /or gas.

The Sunbird Prospect covers an area of 73 sq km, including the flanking areas, with vertical relief of approximately 700m.

While not all Miocene Reefs globally contain oil or gas and it will not be known if the Sunbird Prospect contains any oil or gas until drilling has been undertaken, some examples of successful discoveries in Miocene Reefs and related carbonate plays are-

* Intisar ‘D’ Oil Field, Libya, Area approx 13 sq km, 291m oil column, approximately 1.6 Billion Stock Tank Barrels Oil Initially In Place (STBOIIP)

* Nido Oil Field, Philippines, Area 1.5 sq km, Oil Column 200m, approximately 26.3 Million STBOIIP (3P)

* Central Luconia Field, Indonesia, Area 90.5 sq km approximately 7 Tcf Gas Initially In Place

Pancontinental holds licences over approximately 4/5ths of what it interprets to be the Miocene reef trend offshore Kenya. In the eventof a Sunbird-1 discovery, Pancontinental has access to approximately 20 other buried reefs and reef-like features it believes to be present over its four licence areas; a portion of these are in the L10 licence areas.
Considerable further seismic and mapping is required to verify and define these features.

Additional Drilling
The L10 Operator, BG Group, is continuing to map Prospects and Leads using the 4,800 sq km of 3D seismic data acquired in two surveys over the last two years.

A number of other Prospects have been mapped for possible drilling after Sunbird-1.
In the western sector the very large Crombec Lead continues to be mapped. Crombec is a large faulted anticline covering 550 sq km, with vertical relief of about 400m. It is one of number of Prospects and Leadsthat are being considered for drilling mid-late 2014.

Barry Rushworth, CEO and Executive Director of Pancontinental further commented -
“Through its four licences Pancontinental has access to approximately 4/5 ths of the Miocene Reef trend offshore southern Kenya.

In L10A and L10B, our inboard reefs are about 50km from the port of Mombasa and are in relatively shallow water. In the event of a discovery there are multiple follow-ups for drilling in both the L10 licences and our two other licences.

Elsewhere in the L10 areas the clastic channel and other sandstone prospects that are still being mapped form a spectrum of other opportunities for a second well that is tentatively planned for mid-late 2014”.

L10A Joint Venture
Premier Oil has elected not to participate in the Sunbird-1 well and has withdrawn from the L10A Joint Venture. Ministerial approval has been given for the withdrawal and the Premier interest has been taken up pro-rata by the other participants.

The Kenya L10A consortium now consists of –
BG Group (Operator) 50%
PTTEP 31.25%
Pancontinental 18.75%

About the Operator – BG Group
BG Group plc (LSE: BG.L) is a world leader in natural gas, with a broad portfolio of business interests focused on exploration and production and liquefied natural gas (LNG).
Active in more than twenty countries on five continents, BG Group combines a deep understanding of gas markets with a proven track record in finding and commercialising reserves.

BG Group is the twelfth-largest publicly listed company on the London Stock Exchange.

About Pancontinental
Pancontinental Oil & Gas NL isan independent oil and gas exploration company listed on the Australian Securities Exchange (ASX: PCL).

Pancontinental’s focus is on exploring for oil in new frontiers in Africa and surrounding regions and it currently holds interests in four licences,L6, L8, L10Aand L10B over 20,000 square kilometres in East Africa offshore Kenya, and the EL 0037 licence over 17,000 square kilometres offshore Namibia. EL 0037 was recently farmed-out to Tullow Oil.

Pancontinental is one of the few junior companies remaining amongst an increasing number of much larger companies offshore East Africa and Namibia.

Yours sincerely for and on behalf of
Pancontinental Oil & Gas NL



http://www.aspectfinancial.com.au/d...Jyb3JwYWdlcy9wZGZkZWxheWVkLmpzcA==&popup=true
 
December 9, 2013, 2:49 a.m.
Premier Oil Withdraws From Block L10A Offshore Kenya After Review

By Razak Musah Baba

LONDON--Independent exploration and production company Premier Oil PLC (PMO.LN), said Monday it has withdrawn from Block L10A, offshore Kenya, following an exploration review.

The company retains its 25% equity in the adjacent Block L10B and prospect maturation is ongoing, with a 'drill or drop' decision to be made by mid-2014, it said.

Premier Oil Chief Executive Simon Lockett said "whilst we remain committed to exploration in Kenya, we continue to focus our resources on projects that meet our internal corporate investment metrics and to high grade our exploration portfolio accordingly."

Premier Oil held a 20% equity stake in Block L10A.

Partners in Block L10B are BG Group PLC (BG.LN), with 45% and operator status; Premier with 25%; PTT Exploration and Production Public Company Ltd., or PTTEP, with 15%, and Pancontinental Oil & Gas with 15%.

Premier Oil shares closed Friday at 301 pence, valuing the company at GBP1.59 billion.

http://online.wsj.com/article/BT-CO-20131209-700366.html?mod=WSJ_qtoverview_wsjlatest
 
http://africanoilandgasnews.com/news/bg-group-preparing-to-drill-offshore-kenya-in-2014

BG Group preparing to drill offshore Kenya in 2014

Best-estimate commencement date between 9 to 12 January 2014

JV partner Pancontinental Oil & Gas has announced that final preparations are under way for the Sunbird-1 exploration well in licence area L10A offshore Kenya, with a best-estimate commencement date between 9 to 12 January 2014. Sunbird-1 will be the first-ever test of a Miocene Pinnacle Reef offshore East Africa and the first-ever exploration well within L10A in the Lamu Basin offshore southern Kenya.

L10A operator BG Group intends to use the drillship Deepsea Metro 1 to drill Sunbird-1. The drillship is on contract to BG Group and is currently drilling offshore Tanzania.

Barry Rushworth, CEO and Executive Director of Pancontinental commented – ‘We are very pleased to have been allocated the Deepsea Metro 1 for drilling next month. The Sunbird Prospect is one of a number of Miocene Reefs that have never before been properly tested offshore East Africa. Miocene Reefs globally have a high record of success for oil and gas and they are often highly productive, due to high porosity and permeability.

Commercial oil has not yet been discovered offshore East Africa, however oil shows in reservoir-quality sands (Kubwa-1), the discovery of gas from a possible mixed gas/oil source rock (Mbawa-1) offshore Kenya, the nearby Pemba Island oil seep and oil slicks on satellite imagery, all lead us to believe that Pancontinental and its partners are pursuing an important oil play offshore Kenya.

Pancontinental believes the inboard area of L10A is ‘oily’ and the Joint Venture is targeting a significant oil opportunity in Sunbird-1. The Joint Venture is looking to be the first group to make a first commercial oil discovery in a region that continues to have increasing attention from the industry majors.’

The Sunbird Prospect is a buried Miocene Pinnacle Reef build-up, straddling the western sector boundary of the L10A / L10B areas. The licence areas together cover 10,547 sq km in water depths from 200m to 1,800m offshore from the port of Mombasa.

The Sunbird well is planned to take 50 to 60 days to drill to 3,000m below sea level, with an option to extend to 3,700m. It is intended to plug and abandon the well regardless of the drilling outcome. Water depth is 721m. The Sunbird Prospect is a ‘textbook’ Miocene Reef, with a prominent central reef core and a detrital skirt of talus material. It is interpreted that the reef was ‘drowned’ by rising sea levels and then buried and sealed by fine grained hemipelagic sediment. In a number of regions around the globe buried Miocene Reefs host large oil and gas reserves, such as the extensive reefs of Southeast Asia and the pinnacle reefs of Libya.

Miocene Reefs are often relatively shallow (700 to 2,000m burial depth), and are noted for their high porosity, permeability, and high flow rates of oil and /or gas. The Sunbird Prospect covers an area of 73 sq km, including the flanking areas, with vertical relief of approximately 700m.
While not all Miocene Reefs globally contain oil or gas and it will not be known if the Sunbird Prospect contains any oil or gas until drilling has been undertaken, some examples of successful discoveries in Miocene Reefs and related carbonate plays are-

•Intisar ‘D’ Oil Field, Libya, Area approx 13 sq km, 291m oil column, approx. 1.6 Billion Stock Tank Barrels Oil Initially In Place (STBOIIP) (1)
•Nido Oil Field, Philippines, Area 1.5 sq km, Oil Column 200m, approx. 26.3 Million STBOIIP (3P) (2)
•Central Luconia Field, Indonesia, Area 90.5 sq km approx. 7 Tcf Gas Initially In Place (3)
Pancontinental holds licences over approx. 4/5ths of what it interprets to be the Miocene reef trend offshore Kenya. In the event of a Sunbird-1 discovery, Pancontinental has access to approx. 20 other buried reefs and reef-like features it believes to be present over its four licence areas; a portion of these are in the L10 licence areas. Considerable further seismic and mapping is required to verify and define these features.

Additional Drilling

The L10 Operator, BG Group, is continuing to map Prospects and Leads using the 4,800 sq km of 3D seismic data acquired in two surveys over the last two years. A number of other Prospects have been mapped for possible drilling after Sunbird-1. In the western sector the very large Crombec Lead continues to be mapped. Crombec is a large faulted anticline covering 550 sq km, with vertical relief of about 400m. It is one of number of Prospects and Leads that are being considered for drilling mid-late 2014.

Barry Rushworth, CEO and Executive Director of Pancontinental further commented – ‘Through its four licences Pancontinental has access to approximately 4/5 ths of the Miocene Reef trend offshore southern Kenya. In L10A and L10B, our inboard reefs are about 50km from the port of Mombasa and are in relatively shallow water. In the event of a discovery there are multiple follow-ups for drilling in both the L10 licences and our two other licences. Elsewhere in the L10 areas the clastic channel and other sandstone prospects that are still being mapped form a spectrum of other opportunities for a second well that is tentatively planned for mid-late 2014′.

L10A Joint Venture

Premier Oil has elected not to participate in the Sunbird-1 well and has withdrawn from the L10A Joint Venture. Ministerial approval has been given for the withdrawal and the Premier interest has been taken up pro-rata by the other participants. The Kenya L10A consortium now consists of –

BG Group (Operator) 50%
PTTEP 31.25%
Pancontinental 18.75%.
 
Hi piggybank,

Love your PCL SP timeline graphics.
I'm expecting a breakout to the up-side shortly due to the coming drilling activity. But something tells me that it will not be a huge spike as their last drill unless they actually hit pay dirt this time round. There has been a lot of news activity in the last couple of weeks as they try and drum up the support level.

I would love to see some more graph updates leading up to the drilling date which is expected around the 10th. of Jan.

*********************************

Gas find offshore Kenya could be commercially viable - Pancontinental

A map of Pancontinental Oil and Gas's block 10A and 10B off the coast of Kenya.
Pancontinental has said that it will start drilling for oil and gas on block 10A and 10B next year.

By David Mugwe - Posted Thursday, December 12 2013 at 17:12

The Australian based explorer on Thursday said that block L8, which it co-owns with American explorer Apache Corp, another Australian explorer Origin Energy and British explorer Tullow, had gas findings which if combined with other discoveries could be commercially viable (See graphic).

map l10a l10b.jpg

Two months ago, the Australian explorer’s partner on block L8, Apache Corp said that it would cede its stake on the block following the non-commercial gas finds but Pancontinental said that it would increase its stake if the American explorer relinquished its stake

Pancontinental and its partners this week also disclosed that that they spend between $300 and $400 million over the next one and a half years in exploration activities in Kenya and Namibia

Pancontinental plans $400m exploration, drilling starts January
Pancontinental may increase stake in L8 Block
Apache Corp cedes 50 pc stake on offshore block

Oil and gas explorer Pancontinental has said that gas found on block L8 off the coast of Kenya could be commercially viable if other wells planned for drilling yield results.

The Australian based explorer on Thursday said that block L8, which it co-owns with American explorer Apache Corp, another Australian explorer Origin Energy and British explorer Tullow, had gas findings which if combined with other discoveries could be commercially viable.

“The well did intersect 52 metres of gas. The well on its own may not currently be commercially viable, but could be when aggregated with other gas discoveries which may occur in the L8 or nearby blocks,” said Ernest Myers, finance director Pancontinental, in a statement.

Pancontinental early this week said that it expects to start drilling at the Sunbird exploration well which is on block 10A in the second week of January.

Two months ago, the Australian explorer’s partner on block L8, Apache Corp said that it would cede its stake on the block following the non-commercial gas finds but Pancontinental said that it would increase its stake if the American explorer relinquished its stake (See graphic).

Pancontinental and its partners this week also disclosed that that they spend between $300 and $400 million over the next one and a half years in exploration activities in Kenya and Namibia.

Some of the funds will be used to drill for oil and gas on block 10A off the coast of Kenya and on block 10B by the middle of the year (See graphic).

The rest of the funds will be used on exploration activities on block L6 where it has a 40 per cent interest, block L8 where it has 30 per cent and Namibia’s block EL 0037 where it has a 30 per cent interest.

dmugwe@ke.nationmedia.com

http://www.businessdailyafrica.com/...cially/-/539552/2109494/-/kbb1rd/-/index.html
 
ERHC Energy Reports Positive Results from Kenya Block 11A
November 27, 2013

ERHC Energy Inc. (OTCBB: ERHE), a publicly traded American company with oil and gas assets in Sub-Saharan Africa, on November 26 announced initial encouraging results from an airborne Full Tensor Gravity Gradiometry (FTG) survey. Bell Geospace, a world leader in gravity gradiometry, is flying the FTG on behalf of ERHC's wholly owned subsidiary, ERHC Energy Kenya Ltd. When completed in a few weeks, the survey will have covered up to 15,500 line kilometers.

An independent third party is bearing the cost of the FTG survey under the Company's previously announced financing initiatives.

"Preliminary results confirm the presence of the Lotikipi basin and it appears to have a larger extent than was indicated by gravity data acquired by previous operators of this area," said Gertjan van Mechelen, ERHC's exploration manager. "Obviously these results are very encouraging and we are looking forward to seeing the eventual final results upon completion of this survey. Those final results are bound to show in much more detail the internal structure of the Lotikipi rift basin and will allow us to identify the most prospective areas."

ERHC plans to pursue a rift margin play in Block 11A similar to those that led to recent major discoveries in neighboring Uganda and northwest Kenya. Block 11A is located to the north of the Lokichar Basin, which was the focus of international attention last week with an oil discovery at the Agete-1 exploratory well. This was the fifth significant discovery in the area, joining the Ekales-1, Etuko-1, Ngamia-1 and Twiga South-1 oil discoveries were drilled.

Source: ERHC Energy Press Office, 2013

http://www.oilandgaseurasia.com/en/news/erhc-energy-reports-positive-results-kenya-block-11a
 
http://www.pancon.com.au/investor-centre/asx/2013/reports/201213.pdf

Hartleys Report - 17th. Dec
PANCONTINENTAL OIL AND GAS NL (PCL)
East not being outdone by West


Not to be outdone by the drilling activity offshore West Africa in 2014, PCL has announced that its drilling campaign will start offshore Kenya in January 2014. PCL and its joint venture partners in the L10A block offshore Kenya have approved the Sunbird-1 well with drilling expected to commence in mid-January 2014. This is a significant catalyst for PCL’s share price and therefore investors should position themselves well before drilling begins. We maintain our Speculative Buy recommendation on the stock with a 12-month target price of 23c.

The Sunbird-1 target

PCL and its joint venture partners have not released an estimate of the prospective resource contained in the Sunbird-1 target however our rough calculation estimates gross un-risked oil in place of approximately 830m bbls. Put differently, a company with the production and reserve base of BG would not be testing this target if it did not think it had the potential to be a significant commercial discovery. Numerous examples exist around the world, especially in South-East Asia, of significant Miocene reef discoveries containing both oil and gas. The drill ship “Deepsea Metro” will drill the Sunbird-1 well after it completes its current assignment offshore Tanzania.

Well timing and cost

According to the announcement the well will be drilled to a depth of 3,000m below sea level in a water depth of 721m, with an option to drill to a depth of 3,700m. We assume a dry hole cost of US$80 -100m of which PCL will pay 18.75% (US$15-19m). It should be noted that PCL’s interest in the 10A block has increased to 18.75% because Premier Oil has withdrawn from the block. In our view the withdrawal is more to do with Premier conserving cash rather than being concerned with the geology because they have not withdrawn from L10B. A discovery in 10A would significantly de-risk many of the targets identified in L10B. It is worth noting the well will be “plugged and abandoned”, as per industry best practice, because the rig is not equipped for production testing, however PCL will receive full well log and sampling data.

Beyond Sunbird-1 – multiple other targets

Should the Sunbird-1 drilling confirm a working hydrocarbon system it opens up the potential of similar targets within the L10A block but also a play fairway running north into the Block L6 and L8. PCL and operator FAR are in the process of farming down their respective interests in L6.

Valuation and target price

In valuing PCL we place a significant discount on the risked prospective reserves valuation (75%) to derive our target price. We maintain our Speculative Buy recommendation. We increase our target price from 21c to 23c primarily because we have assumed a larger prospective resource for L10A. Other near term catalysts for the stock include a farm down of PCL’s 40% stake in the L6, possible farm down of L8 and a second well in L10B. We expect PCL to have approximately A$15m cash post Sunbird-1.

http://www.pancon.com.au/investor-centre/asx/2013/reports/201213.pdf
 
Rich suitors woo prospectors for piece of Kenya’s multimillion-dollar oil industry
Updated Monday, December 23rd 2013 at 19:09 GMT +3 : By MACHARIA KAMAU

KENYA:

Little known oil exploration and production companies that acquired land in Kenya’s oil blocks are finding themselves increasingly spoilt for choice on who to partner with.

Since Tullow Oil announced in March last year that it had found shows of oil in its Ngamia 1 well, as well as later discoveries, firms that took up exploration licences are being courted by major production and private equity firms.

At the Oil Council World Assembly in London in November, Susan Prior of PricewaterhouseCoopers noted that there was an increased flow of private capital into exploration activities as investors look for alternative opportunities.

“We are seeing more private money come into upstream deals, which is often the combination of high net worth individuals or people with access to private capital that want to start exploring oil exploitation opportunities,” she said.

“A combination of factors is triggering this, and one of them is the amount of capital that is out there that is looking for a productive home. There are also people that are realising that though upstream is a risky place to be, if you are sensible about it and you spread that risk, you can get good returns.”

Big leagues

Among the junior oil firms that seem positioned to hit the big leagues are Taipan Resources ”” a Canada-based oil firm that operates in Kenya as Lion Petroleum Corp.

The company on Thursday announced the completion of a Sh2.6 billion farm-out agreement with Premier Oil Investments. A farm-out deal is an arrangement where the holder of mineral rights gives a second party an agreed interest in its exploration activities in exchange for a sum of money.

In the deal, Premier acquired 55 per cent participating interest in Block 2B in North Eastern Kenya. Taipan retained 45 per cent interest and operatorship during the exploration phase of the block.

Premier will finance Taipan’s exploration to the tune of Sh2.5 billion and also pay Sh85.8 million in back costs, which will help Taipan recover some of the money spent on initial exploration.

“[Premier’s financing] will enable us do more surveys and also drill a well in the third quarter of next year that will go to a depth of 3,000 metres,” said Taipan Chief Executive Maxwell Birley.

Drilling and testing

“This includes the drilling and testing of a Pearl-1 prospect that is estimated to have gross resources of 200 million barrels of oil. The remaining inventory on Block 2B, in addition to Pearl-1, is capable of delivering in excess of 500 million barrels gross.”

The Pearl-1 site ”” on Block 2B ”” is along the same geological formation as Tullow Oil’s discoveries.

“The Anza Basin is one of the largest tertiary-age Rift basins of the East African Rift systems that together contain multi-billion barrel oil discoveries. We believe that the ‘sweet spot’ of the Anza Basin is located on Block 2B,” said Mr Birley.

The firm also expects to drill its first well in Block 2A towards the end of next year.

“We do not have people running around throwing money at us, people will only invest if they believe in the management team and the prospects,” said Birley.

“We have been able to convince a number of companies that we are on the right track and a number of companies have technically approved farm-ins to our licences.”

Simba Energy, another Canadian headquartered firm with exploration blocks in several African countries, including Kenya, said it is working with individual investors, private equity firms and major oil companies.

“We have seen that the most successful way is to bring in a private equity company or high net worth individuals who can invest between $2 million (Sh171.6million) and $10 million (Sh858 million) in specific exploration projects. It is a model that has worked for us in Kenya and Chad,” said Mr Oleg-Serguei Schkoda, vice president of exploration at Simba Energy.

Mr Schkoda, also speaking at the November Oil Council conference, noted that exploration firms have been having difficulties raising money from shareholders, necessitating the need to attract private equity and major exploration and production companies.

Raising money

“We are talking to larger companies on different projects, but it has been quite difficult to raise money from the capital markets. Our experience is that small companies should start exploration, show the potential and make it interesting for the independent companies to bring the exploration to the second stage,” he said.

Simba Energy’s chief executive of production, Mr Hassan Hassan, said the firm has been getting a lot of interest from global companies after it moved its block in the Anza Basin from the preliminary phase.

However, despite there being many suitors, not all are willing to part with the millions of dollars required for exploration, particularly with commercial viability yet to be established.

Simba Energy last week Wednesday announced the collapse of talks with American company Ajax Exploration. It was hoped the firm would finance Simba’s exploration with Sh3.1 billion in a farm-out deal that was to be firmed up before the end of this year.

The firm said in an update on December 18 that it is now in negotiations with an undisclosed company for a farm-out agreement that would push forward prospecting activities at its Block 2A site.

Another junior oil company that has been prospecting for oil in Kenya, specifically in Lamu, is Australian Far Limited.

The firm has previously carried out seismic surveys and estimates that its block might contain more than 300 million barrels of oil. It plans to start drilling in 12 to 18 months’ time.

Far is currently firming up financing deals with a number of companies that have expressed interest in its activities.

This article is relevant to PCL, as FAR is PCL's partner and operator of block L6 offshore Kenya (FAR 60%, PCL 40%).

http://www.standardmedia.co.ke/busi...a-s-multimillion-dollar-oil-industry?pageNo=1
 
ASX Companies Announcement Office

6 January 2014

Sunbird-1 Drilling Commences in Area L10A Offshore Kenya

Pancontinental Oil & Gas NL (ASX: PCL) is pleased to advise that the exploration well Sunbird-1 has commenced drilling in Licence area L10A offshore Kenya.

The well is managed by the L10A Joint Venture operator BG Group, using the drillship Deepsea Metro 1.

The Sunbird-1 well is planned to take 50 to 60 days to drill to 3,000m below sea level, with an option to extend to 3,700m.

Extensive wireline logging and both pressure and fluid sampling are planned. The Joint Venture intends to plug and abandon the well in accordance with normal good oilfield practice regardless of the drilling outcome, however it is planned to leave the well in a condition that would allow re-entry at a later date. Water depth is 721m.

Sunbird-1 is the first-ever test of a Miocene Pinnacle Reef offshore East Africa and the first-ever exploration well in L10A in the Lamu Basin offshore Kenya. An extensive trend of Miocene Reefs is evident in Pancontinental’s four licence areas offshore southern Kenya.

Sunbird-1 is regarded as a “tight hole” exploration well and results will be announced after completion of the drilling and assessment and integration of the gathered data.

Pancontinental’s ASX release dated 9 December 2013 providesadditional information on the Sunbird Prospect and the L10A and L10B licences (also see Figure 1 in Appendix 1).

The Kenya L10A consortium consists of –
BG Group (Operator) 50%
PTTEP 31.25%
Pancontinental 18.75%M

Yours sincerely for and on behalf of

Barry Rushworth, CEO and Director

http://www.pancon.com.au/investor-centre/asx/2014/reports/060114.pdf


Also see the 6 January 2014
GMP Securities Report - Pancontinental Oil and Gas NL

http://www.pancon.com.au/investor-centre/broker-reports/reports/060114.pdf
 
Kenya Delays Oil Law Revision
Thursday, January 9, 2014

The government of Kenya has pushed back the first draft of its revised laws on the petroleum sector for parliament’s approval until June; the law was supposed to have been presented to parliament in November of last year. The delay is to allow for the Ministry to continue its consultation with those active in Kenya’s petroleum industry. The Ministry is also expected to hold meetings with county governors and senators in February.

“So by the end of this (fiscal) year, that is by June, we expect to have put everything in place,” Energy and Petroleum Principal Secretary Joseph Njoroge said.

The new law is also expected to provide guidance on natural gas exploitation, not adequately covered by Kenya’s current law.

http://www.petroleumafrica.com/kenya-delays-oil-law-revision/
 
Tullow Oil Is Potential Acquisition Target For Statoil
Bloomberg LONDON (Alliance News) -

10 January, 2014 | 1:08PM

LONDON (Alliance News) - State-owned Norwegian oil and gas giant Statoil ASA is studying overseas acquisitions after the conservative Norwegian government announced the possible reduction of its 67% holding in the company, according to a Bloomberg report Thursday.

The financial news agency said that, according to people familiar with the matter, the company is examining takeover targets outside of Norway, as the government's USD51 billion shareholding is diluted.

Bloomberg said FTSE 100 major oil producer Tullow Oil is being eyed as one such possible acquisition by Statoil, which sold offshore fields in Norway for more than USD5 billion over the past two years to Centrica PLC, Wintershall AG and OMV AG.

Tullow Oil has major projects in Uganda's Lake Albert Rift Basin, offshore Ghana and in Kenya’s South Lokichar Rift Basin.

“It would be easier with smaller targets, for example companies specialized on Africa, which is getting higher and higher on Statoil’s agenda,” Carl Christian Bachke, an analyst with Nordea Markets told Bloomberg.

In addition to Tullow, Edinburgh-based Cairn Energy PLC, with operations in West Africa and Europe, could be such a target, Bachke said.

Cairn Energy declined to comment on prospects for a deal with Statoil Friday. Tullow was not immediately available for a response Friday, but declined to comment to Bloomberg on Thursday.

In the past Statoil has targeted deals with rivals such as EOG Resources Inc and BG Group PLC. However the insiders told Bloomberg that merging with such large companies means the company would struggle to keep its majority state ownership.

Tullow Oil shares were up 6.2% to 897.50 pence, putting them top of the FTSE 100 movers Friday.

By Tom McIvor; tommcivor@alliancenews.com; @TomMcIvor1

http://www.morningstar.co.uk/uk/new...quisition-target-for-statoil---bloomberg.aspx
 
15 Jan 2014
Operational Update - Kenya

Tullow Oil plc (“Tullow”) today announces oil discoveries at the Amosing-1 and Ewoi-1 exploration wells in Block 10BB onshore northern Kenya. As a result of these latest successes and recently reported discoveries at Ekales-1 and Agete-1, Tullow has updated its estimate of discovered resources in this basin to over 600 mmbo. Tullow believes that the overall potential for the basin, which will be fully assessed over the next two years through a significant programme of exploration and appraisal wells, is in excess of one billion barrels of oil.

Exploration well results

The Amosing-1 and Ewoi-1 discoveries in Block 10BB continue Tullow’s 100% success record in the basin with seven out of seven discoveries to date. Based on results of drilling, wireline logs and samples of reservoir fluid, the Amosing-1 well has intersected net oil pay of between 160 and 200 metres, significantly exceeding Tullow’s pre-drill expectations. The Ewoi-1 well has encountered net pay of 20 to 80 metres and has continued to de-risk the basin flank play opened up by the Etuko-1 well in 2013. Following completion of logging operations the wells will be suspended for future flow testing to confirm the net pay counts. The rigs will then move to drill the Emong-1 well, adjacent to the Ngamia field, and the Twiga South-2 appraisal well, both in Block 13T. The partnership has elected not to continue into the next exploration phase in Block 10A in Kenya.

Development and pipeline studies

Given the significant volumes discovered and the extensive exploration and appraisal programme planned to fully assess the upside potential of the basin, Tullow and partners have agreed with the Government of Kenya to commence development studies. In addition, the partnership is involved in a comprehensive pre-FEED study of the export pipeline. The current ambition of the Government of Kenya and the joint venture partnership is to reach project sanction for development, including an export pipeline, in the period 2015/2016.

Tullow operates both the Amosing-1 and Ewoi-1 wells with a 50% interest and Africa Oil has a 50% non-operated interest.

ANGUS McCOSS, EXPLORATION DIRECTOR, TULLOW OIL PLC, COMMENTED TODAY,

“Exploration results to date from the first basin, amongst a chain of basins, have proven that Tullow's onshore acreage in northern Kenya has the potential to become a significant new hydrocarbon province. The programme of over 20 wells we have planned across our licences over the next twenty four months should materially add to the 600 mmbo discovered to date through a combination of exploration and appraisal. With up to five other analogous basins being tested during this programme, Tullow has the opportunity to increase Kenya’s resources significantly beyond today’s estimates.”

http://www.tullowoil.com/index.asp?pageid=137&category=&year=Latest&month=&tags=&newsid=878
 
Hi piggybank,

Love your PCL SP timeline graphics.


Thanks for the kind words - they have been pretty rare of late!!

I'm expecting a breakout to the up-side shortly due to the coming drilling activity. But something tells me that it will not be a huge spike as their last drill unless they actually hit pay dirt this time round. There has been a lot of news activity in the last couple of weeks as they try and drum up the support level.

I would love to see some more graph updates leading up to the drilling date which is expected around the 10th. of Jan.


6th January - Sunbird-1 Well commences drilling in Kenya Block L10A Can be looked at by clicking on this link - http://stocknessmonster.com/news-item?S=PCL&E=ASX&N=663496

140116 - PCLs.gif

Sorry to be the bearer of bad news (smalltimer) in that the stock has gone down since I posted my last chart:(. As you can see if it goes below the most recent low (0.0475) then that will become the new resistance line (well on my chart anyway). However if it does bounce of that line, then there is some positiveness to look forward to in the short term.

Regards
PB
 
Hi Piggybank,

Thanks for the up-date. Going on the current share price trend, you would not think that we are
only weeks away from Drilling completion. The share price looks like that it is reflecting a duster already.

Hopefully we can get a kick soon, both on the well and the share price.

Good luck to all those that are still holding...

*********************************

17 January 2014

3D Seismic Survey Commences in EL 0037 Offshore Namibia

Pancontinental Oil & Gas NL (ASX: PCL) is pleased to advise that
a 3D seismic survey has commenced in Licence area EL 0037
offshore Namibia.

The 3D acquisition will be of approximately of 3,000 sq km and a
second acquisition phase will cover approximately 1,000 km of 2D data.
The total acquisition is expected take up to 120 days.

The survey is managed by the EL0037 Joint Venture operator Tullow Oil,
using the seismic acquisition vessel Polarcus Asima.

Tullow Oil farmed-in to EL 0037 in September 2013 and subsequently
identified a number of geological “Leads” to be covered by the 3D survey.
Pancontinental retains a 30% free-carried interest through the surveys and one
optional well to be drilled by Tullow.

The Namibia EL 0037 consortium consists of -

Tullow Kudu Limited (1)
(Operator) 65%

Pancontinental Namibia (Pty) Ltd (2)
30%

Paragon Oil & Gas (Pty) Ltd (3)
5%

(1) Tullow Kudu Limited is a wholly owned subsidiary of Tullow Oil plc
(2) Pancontinental Namibia (Pty) Ltd is a wholly owned subsidiary of
Pancontinental Oil & Gas NL
(3) Paragon Oil & Gas (Pty) Ltd is a wholly owned subsidiary of Paragon
Investment Holding’s (Pty) Ltd

http://www.pancon.com.au/investor-centre/asx/2014/reports/170114.pdf
 
Top