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OzFx System :)

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Hello Friends,

I would like to share with you a system that has consistently been successful for me, that I would like to call OzFx System.

What can You expect?
This system has a potential of banking 100-800+ pips per trade trading with Daily Chart.

Why Daily Chart?
As you could guess by now that this is not a 5 min scalping system. I believe in trading longer time frame simply because first of all rules of technical analysis hold true more often and second I don’t want to sit in front of pc all day long.

Think like this, most of us one day would like to be full time traders; however it doesn’t mean that we spend all that time in front of PC. I would rather go flying and playing golf. So I developed this system thinking of long term and hence it is based on Daily Chart.

See It For Yourself:
Let’s see if you can spot the correlation between the indicator and the price action.



I bet you were able to spot that short entry (300+ pips). Tell me that you noticed that every time AC changes color and crosses the 0 line it gives us an entry signal. Am I right or right?? :)

Did you see another short trade towards the left side of the chart?? That trade was worth 835 pips in 5 days.

No Clue So far:
I believe 90% of the people will be able to spot the correlation mentioned above. If you are one of the unlucky 10%, then I would recommend to try some other system and not to waste your time on this post.

The reason I say above is that we should trade using strategy that is intuitive and easy to follow. Technical analysis is not perfect science; I believe it is an ART, an ART to pick signals as they happen. I am terrible at spotting Flags, Triangles and Head & Shoulders. Hence I keep away from them and don’t want to spend years to master them.

A Bit Of History:
I started with Forex few years ago simply because I like the volatility and leverage. I’ve never traded stocks in my life and no plans to do so ever. The only stock I ever held was given to me by the IT company I worked for.

As most of us I tried systems provided on Forums and also commercial system. I tried News Trading, 5 min scalping and astrology (just kidding), but had no luck. I wasted a fair bit of money and precious time on several systems that were not worth their while.

However the learning that took from that was these systems were complex, had too many indicators (or none) and required a great deal of discretion. So I went and did my own research to see what indicators make sense, what setting works best and what time frame they should be used on.


So What Is The System?

Setup:
  • Open up a daily chart on EUR/JPY.
  • Apply Bill Willam’s Accelerator Oscillator (AC).
  • Apply Stochastic with setting 5,3,3 on top of AC. Use the template if don’t know how to.
  • Try and use demo MT4 from ODL securities. Every broker has different time when they start a new daily candle.
  • ODL seems to have the time that works best. I only use their demo account for charts and place my trades on totally different broker.
Short Entry: RED AC below 0 and Stot below 0
Long Entry: Green AC above 0 and Stot above 0
Exit: OppsiteBuy/Sell signal or as per Money Management.
Filter: Apply 200SMA. If price is below 200SMA then only take short trades. If Price is above 200SMA then only take long trades.

Money Management:
  • Trade with 5 Lots with Stop Loss 100 pips away
  • Take Profit on 1st Lot at 50 pips. Move Stop Loss to Break Even (BE).
  • Take Profit on 2nd Lot at 100 pips.
  • Take Profit on 3rd Lot at 150 pips.
  • Take Profit on 4th Lot at 200 pips.
  • Let the 5th Lot run until you see an opposite entry signal.
The Risk/Reward ratio turns out to be 1:1 or better depending on your 5th Lot. Since we trade on daily and would only take trades with high probability of success, 1:1 would work just fine.

If you choose to do back-testing then take special care for signals from late November to end of Dec. Low volume during this time of the year creates wild swings.

My Challenge To You:
Spend 2 mins every day to analyze 8-10 of your favorite pairs. Demo it for 2-3 weeks and post the screen shots of your trades for everyone to see and learn.

What’s In For Me?
It is time for me to Give Back. I learned a great deal from forums and thought there can’t be another way to share something that can make us all a lot of money. Plus I hope to learn from others on how to improve this system.

I’ll reveal more info about the system once I start to see more interest in this post from Forum members.



Happy Trading
OzFx
 
Hi,

couple of questions-

How long have you been trading this method for?
What kind of stats have you accumulated from your trading of this method, ie number of trades, win%, ratio av win/loss, max string of consecutive losers, etc.
Did you do any backtesting on this setup before trading it. It appears as though it would be fairly easy to code up and have run mechanically, had you considered doing that at all?

cheers
 
Haha, this very same thread was either removed or deleted earlier on today. I pressed refresh and it was gone!
 
Not the very same thread ;)

Subtle differences...
 
Hi,

couple of questions-

How long have you been trading this method for?
Over a year now.
What kind of stats have you accumulated from your trading of this method, ie number of trades, win%, ratio av win/loss, max string of consecutive losers, etc.
Please see attached file.
Did you do any backtesting on this setup before trading it. It appears as though it would be fairly easy to code up and have run mechanically, had you considered doing that at all?
A few people have tried creating EAs. I still do manual trading.

cheers
 

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  • OzFx.xls
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Haha, this very same thread was either removed or deleted earlier on today. I pressed refresh and it was gone!

Yeah you are right. I'd some links which were against the forum rules. It is all good now :)
 
wow that was probably the most overly complicated log of trades I've ever seen! Sure did look pretty but.

If you've been trading it for a year what kinds of stats does the method give you? That sheet was only for 2008 so far???

Why have people tried creating EA's, but not actually done it(I can only assume they haven't based on the way you worded it)??
 
wow that was probably the most overly complicated log of trades I've ever seen! Sure did look pretty but.

If you've been trading it for a year what kinds of stats does the method give you? That sheet was only for 2008 so far???

Why have people tried creating EA's, but not actually done it(I can only assume they haven't based on the way you worded it)??

That sheet is from the time I made the system public. All those traders are also posted on my blog.

There are EAs floating around but I personally haven't tested them so I can't recommend. I think there are more than 10 different version of EAs out there, some of them are actually doing good.
 
That sheet is from the time I made the system public. All those traders are also posted on my blog.

There are EAs floating around but I personally haven't tested them so I can't recommend. I think there are more than 10 different version of EAs out there, some of them are actually doing good.

ok cool:)

Have you compared results with any of the EA's that are out there? If you have, how have you stacked up by using your own discretion to filter the trades?

Would be good to see a few more examples of the setup if don't mind- especially a few signals you didn't take and why.

cheers
 
ok cool:)

Have you compared results with any of the EA's that are out there? If you have, how have you stacked up by using your own discretion to filter the trades?

Would be good to see a few more examples of the setup if don't mind- especially a few signals you didn't take and why.

cheers

I haven't tested any EAs as I still like doing things manually. :)

See the attached Sample trades file.

Cheers,
Oz
P.S. Is there anyway I can attach this file to first post?
 

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  • Sample Trades.pdf
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What can You expect?
This system has a potential of banking 100-800+ pips per trade trading with Daily Chart.
Looks interesting. Can you tell us why this set up works?
 
Looks interesting. Can you tell us why this set up works?

Tell you what..you are the first person to ask this question :) This system has been out there for months and no one so far asked this question.

This system basically combines the right indicators with the right Time Frame and using the Money Management suggested we can achieve outstanding results.
 
This system basically combines the right indicators with the right Time Frame and using the Money Management suggested we can achieve outstanding results.
But why does the indicator work?
 
Can't for the life of me see how you could get 835 bp in 5 days on the left of the chart.. in real time of course..??

Pondering
...............Kauri
 
Can't for the life of me see how you could get 835 bp in 5 days on the left of the chart.. in real time of course..??

Pondering
...............Kauri

Such trades happens once or twice a month. Last month we had few shorts like AUD/JPY 1000+ pips NZD/JPY 900+ and EUR/JPY 600+ pips. Month before last we had EUR/USD which went over 1000 pips.
 
Such trades happens once or twice a month. Last month we had few shorts like AUD/JPY 1000+ pips NZD/JPY 900+ and EUR/JPY 600+ pips. Month before last we had EUR/USD which went over 1000 pips.

What I was wondering about was... to catch the 835bp you had to enter at very near to the top of the bar... was your indicator really showing below the line then... ;) If I am not reading it correctly I apologise in advance..
Cheers
............Kauri
 

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Such trades happens once or twice a month. Last month we had few shorts like AUD/JPY 1000+ pips NZD/JPY 900+ and EUR/JPY 600+ pips. Month before last we had EUR/USD which went over 1000 pips.

Nice (if true). But fairly useless information unless put in the context of the number and scale of losers.
 
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