Next big crash?

[tech/a]

Evidently they have also predicted or maybe not predicted An Ice age
An Asteroid strike along with melting Ice caps.

 

[satanoperca]

Evidently they have also predicted or maybe not predicted An Ice age
An Asteroid strike along with melting Ice caps.

Glad to see you understood my point.

 

[SirRumpole]

Will one Chinese bank failure create another GFC ?

https://www.abc.net.au/news/2019-06...ts-lending-threatens-chinese-economy/11252022

 

[SirRumpole]

Experts warn the government of stock market decline.

A good time to get out for a while ?

https://www.abc.net.au/news/2019-07-09/brokers-warn-of-imminent-market-correction/11289728

 

[tech/a]

So take precautions to mitigate risk.
But some of this stuff just fills Tabloids.

 

[SirRumpole]

What precautions will you be taking ?

 

[Garpal Gumnut]

Evidently they have also predicted or maybe not predicted An Ice age
An Asteroid strike along with melting Ice caps.

Three Rules @tech/a .

1. Pray you always wake up erect.
2. Never waste same.
3. Be prepared for any eventuality in stock or money markets.

gg

 

[tech/a]

(1) Hell Id be permanently happy
(2) The missus would be Permanently happy.
(3) Well there are Two eventualities Risk and Opportunity.
Takes care of 1 and 2!

 

[Mr Z]

Will one Chinese bank failure create another GFC ?

https://www.abc.net.au/news/2019-06...ts-lending-threatens-chinese-economy/11252022

According to Kyle Bass the Chinese system has 42 trillion in debt, 22T odd of which is non preforming all sitting on 2T in reserves. What could possibly go wrong? LOL.

 

[Mr Z]

Evidently they have also predicted or maybe not predicted An Ice age
An Asteroid strike along with melting Ice caps.

Mini Nova... 2046, October. Supposed to trip off an ice age, not a worry though, I most probably will not survive the nova! LOL.

 

[lusk]

Experts warn the government of stock market decline.

A good time to get out for a while ?

https://www.abc.net.au/news/2019-07-09/brokers-warn-of-imminent-market-correction/11289728

Reserve Bank governor Philip Lowe admitted in June he did not understand why the bond market was pointing to a recession while the stock market was screaming boom times ahead.

Generally, stock markets improve with the economy, so a rise in the stock market normally coincides with rising interest rates.
Right now, the exact opposite is true.

Every expert is looking in the rear view mirror and making the call that a recession MUST occur because yields are inverted without considering that it may have occurred before without a recession.

When everyone faces one direction expect the market to do the opposite.

 

[SirRumpole]

Global debt threatens the Australian economy.

https://www.abc.net.au/news/2019-09-12/debt-bomb-fallout-threatens-australian-economy/11505248

 

[Value Collector]

To me, interest rates look far to low to be worried about a stock market crash in the absence of some big event.

 

[SirRumpole]

To me, interest rates look far to low to be worried about a stock market crash in the absence of some big event.

I hope you are right.

All it will take I think is another Lehmann, and there are probably a few out there lurking.

 

[Klogg]

I hope you are right.

All it will take I think is another Lehmann, and there are probably a few out there lurking.

Not really. Every reserve bank has learnt the playbook now. Go early, go hard.

The Fed allowed Lehmann to collapse. If a similar situation occured, they'd prop it up any which way they can... Convince a larger insto to buy it out at a discount, or start buying equity themselves.

They'll expand their balance sheet at any cost, basically.

 

[PZ99]

Yep, kick the can even further down the road.

 

[HelloU]

Money is a synthetic human construct. No reason for money to follow any "laws or rules".
Trade the trade.

 

[Garpal Gumnut]

Money is a synthetic human construct. No reason for money to follow any "laws or rules".
Trade the trade.

Never a truer word said.

gg

 

[sptrawler]

Yep, kick the can even further down the road.

It will only get kicked down the road, untill they can come up with a way of balancing the books, to me the answer looks like negative interest rates and digital currency.
Time will tell.
What helloU said sums it up, money is only numbers on a spreadsheet, some Countries 'printed' money to stimulate their economies, the only problem is there isn't an instrument to devalue their currency and or their reserves accordingly.
That is the only missing part of the jigsaw.
When that gets sorted, it will work out, some might not be happy.
Just my opinion.

 

[Klogg]

It will only get kicked down the road, untill they can come up with a way of balancing the books, to me it looks like negative interest rates and digital currency.
Time will tell

The books are always balanced. The reserve bank creates a liability and buys the asset