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NBN Rollout Scrapped

Why would you encourage the NBN to replicate infrastructure when the FTTN trial rollout is at least 4 months behind schedule.
You haven't looked very closely at the data.

Individual suburb delays are up to 4 months as noted by the article author but the overall delay is 1 month.
 
You haven't looked very closely at the data.

Individual suburb delays are up to 4 months as noted by the article author but the overall delay is 1 month.

How do you get to an overall 1 month delay when half of the trial rollout is 2+ months late?

Jobs for the HFC rollout were still being advertised Leeds than 2 weeks ago which doesn't bode well for a sexy upgrade either.
 
sums things up pretty well



This morning the NBN company released its latest corporate plan. The document reveals up to 550,000 less Australian premises would receive the full Fibre to the Premises rollout than had been previously been planned under the Coalition’s Multi-Technology Mix, with the project’s funding requirement also blowing out by between $5 billion and $15 billion.

I love these little gems:

...quality of this network is not fully known as there has been limited opportunity to evaluate the physical infrastructure at significant scale.

However, it is known that there is significant work required to remove broadband blockers from the copper network,

Hands up anyone who'd buy a used car without fully understanding the condition it's in, but accepting all future liabilities with say asbestos clean up and any repairs required. Thoedy's userd car lot is doing a booming business.
 
Did you see the cost per premise for FTTP ?
 
Even the dowager leader, Malcolm couldn't help but blame Labor for the ridiculous bungling, under his watch, of the NBN in the outback, until Leigh rebuked him for wandering off subject.

Where's that broken record pic?
 
Coalition clowns MTM patchwork in disarray just as we predicted. Blowout just was we predicted. Unable to deliver 25mbps in 2016 just as we predicted. NBN management made up of incompetents. Corporate plan of little substance full of filler stock photos, 3 pages out of 94 used for management clown team alone. Only a few Turnbull apologists still in denial about the disaster we predicted. Most quite rightly hiding under rocks sucking their thumbs.

http://delimiter.com.au/2015/08/24/we-must-determine-how-the-15bn-nbn-cost-blow-out-occurred/

http://delimiter.com.au/2015/08/24/...se-to-blame-labor-says-on-nbn-cost-blow-outs/

http://delimiter.com.au/2015/08/24/nbn-co-delays-fttn-rollout-for-further-testing/

Pathetic.
 
If it was redacted, I wouldn't have seen it.

So how does one come up with a figure of $1600 for FTTN when NBN management admits that "...quality of this network is not fully known as there has been limited opportunity to evaluate the physical infrastructure at significant scale."

They also go on to say "However, it is known that there is significant work required to remove broadband blockers from the copper network,"

The assumptions they used to come up with their FTTN costs have been redacted so there's no way for anyone to actually see if the costs are based on reasonable assumptions or not.

I seem to remember that the Melton rollout trial also had the cost per premises down below $1600.

Even Paul Fletcher admits the Abbott Govt has been tricky with the truth surrounding FTTP

http://www.itwire.com/government-te...erestimate-labor’s-nbn-cost-admits-government


A lot of the forecasting by NBN also has a falling ARPU or at best increasing at roughly the rate of inflation.

Strategic Review Trajectory A (high case) ARPU was ~2.5% nominal
Strategic Review Trajectory B (low case) ARPU was ~0% nominal

Currently NBN is seeing over 8% YoY ARPU growth, all provided by the Labor NBN as there's no commercial services on any of the MTM components. We were constantly told that all the high speed plans were the early adopters, but for ARPU to continue to grow there must be a reasonable increase in customers willing to pay for the higher tiered plans, especially since CVC costs were dropped.
 
Well done Syd.

You found the page and would have noted the FTTP per premise capex in the same table on that page.

And if you have a look at the strategic report you'd notice that most of the information that would allow an understanding of how the various forecasts were made have been redacted.

Fletcher has already admitted the Govt has not been particularly honest with the figures they've used in the past, and with the lack of openness around the assumptions underlining the current corporate report, forgive me for being sceptical that they've not been massaged in a similar way to Chinese GDP figures.
 
Syd,

Look at LTD performance on the next page.

You'll note that's not a forecast.
 
Syd,

Look at LTD performance on the next page.

You'll note that's not a forecast.

Send a bit unfair when the FTTN COP had this caveat

(e) The CPP excludes the impact of initial trial arrangements, where costs are not in line with long term expectations (due to low volume, and bespoke commercial and delivery arrangements), and excludes contingency.

There's no transparency into how those CPP figures were calculated.
 
http://www.zdnet.com/article/nbn-october-map-update-extending-to-three-year-outlook/

Clown car pilot Bill Morrow explaining exactly when you'll get nothing, after the next election when it's politically convenient, you can see the election time adverts now "VOTE FOR US NOW OR YOU WONT GET THEM CRAP SPEEDS WE PROMISED. ALSO STOP THE BOATS!!!"
 

Another quote from Paul


And this guy was a supporter.
 
What FTTN may ultimately cost doesn't change what FTTP is costing.
 
What FTTN may ultimately cost doesn't change what FTTP is costing.

I questions those costs, because they're way out of whack to what project fox was delivering.

If NBN were releasing the cost of each FSAM it would give us some clarity on how the costs are going.

I don't think it's unreasonable to question that the current nbn management would be doing their bst to show FTTP as being as expensive as they can, while doing their best to present the FTTN and HFC costs as low as possible.

With the lack of transparency from the Govt there's no real way to know the truth. I can't see that there would be any commercial reason why they can't release relatively fine grained costs for the various technologies.
 
You need to remember Syd that on matters transparency, Stephen Conroy's own words spoke for themselves.

 
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