IFocus
You are arguing with a Galah
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One would imagine there would be an impact on the project's economics as a result,
http://www.smh.com.au/it-pro/govern...ew-instructions-to-nbn-co-20130924-hv1so.html
What we do know is that the project is increasingly not deliverable within the present rollout schedule parameters. One would imagine there would be an impact on the project's economics as a result, but Malcolm was tight lipped on this today when he was asked about the current rollout cost per premise. Public information on this I suspect will have to wait for the outcome of the strategic review.
Meaningful comparisons between FTTP and FTTN will be easier to make after the strategic review is completed. Malcolm Turnbull described himself as a technology agnostic at his presser today, so I wouldn't necessarily be ruling out changes to aspects of the Coalition's model either.
http://www.smh.com.au/it-pro/govern...ew-instructions-to-nbn-co-20130924-hv1so.html
Wishful thinking bearing in mind the rollout delays.I really feel for MT. I think he's basically a very decent moderate political person. But I get a sense that he has had to move from his natural position and swallow quite a bit more humble pie than he ought, to toe the company line including on the NBN.
While Telstra are responsible for the physical remediation of their pits and ducts, the problems should have been foreseen by NBNCo and the government.Sounds like Labor has had to wear a lot of the blame for issues that have been caused by Telstra.
The asbestos issues are not going to magically disappear under the FTTN, though might not be quite as bad if an area doesn't need too much copper remediation.
Lets hope MT has a road to Damascus style convestion in terms of not repealling Labors anti cherry picking laws otherwise the gold rush claims for profitable MDUs will destroy any economics for the NBN in whatever form it takes.
While Telstra are responsible for the physical remediation of their pits and ducts, the problems should have been foreseen by NBNCo and the government.
Asbestos issues obviously won't be as bad under FTTN unless all the copper is replaced.
Perhaps the cherry picking issue illustrates the underlying economics of the NBN. Regardless of whether the return on the government's network is reduced by allowing wholesale competition or NBNCo charges more as a monopoly, the taxpayer/user still ultimately pays.
For many of the issues surrounding the NBN, it's now a wait for the strategic review.
If MT removes the ability of NBNCo to do the subsidising of regional areas, then that leaves further pressure on the budget.
It may not be easily foreseeable but the directors and senior executives get the big dollars to see and do what is not easy as do the politicians.Wth very large and complex projects a lot of issues are not easily forseeable.
It's the same with electricity, roads and many other things. Services in the country are subsidised by city residents. The wealth of the cities largely originates in the country. So it works both ways - each propping up the other in some way.Without the socialisation, the city subsidising the country...the NBN just doesn't work.
While Telstra are responsible for the physical remediation of their pits and ducts, the problems should have been foreseen by NBNCo and the government.
Asbestos issues obviously won't be as bad under FTTN unless all the copper is replaced.
Perhaps the cherry picking issue illustrates the underlying economics of the NBN. Regardless of whether the return on the government's network is reduced by allowing wholesale competition or NBNCo charges more as a monopoly, the taxpayer/user still ultimately pays.
For many of the issues surrounding the NBN, it's now a wait for the strategic review.
So it seems since the MT press conference that NBN co has leaked the draft plan.
"FTTP Access Network cost per premises passed has decreased from an average of $5,000 for the
Tasmanian Pre-Release sites to an Estimate at Completion (EAC) average cost of between $1,100
and $1,400 per premises passed for FSAMs currently under construction for which DDDs are
available."
Interesting they still believe they're inline for a 2021 completion date. Maybe MT's report wont read so bad.
http://mynbn.info/assets/draftcorpplan-2013.pdf
The trend from their corporate plan updates is one of ongoing and continual decline in their forecasts.The asbestos issue was foreseen, and was mentioned long ago. The issue was that Telstra subcontracted their remediation work, and didn't train the subbies (or verify that they were trained).
Then when it all blew up, they had to pause to sort it out.
LEIGH SALES: We've heard a lot about targets and deadlines slipping with the NBN. Were the targets unrealistic all along, or were the targets realistic and the NBN Co management just not up to meeting them?
MALCOLM TURNBULL: I think the targets were essentially political. I don't think they were ever realistic, to be frank with you. You can take two views, I suppose. You can say they were always unrealistic or some people thought they were, with the benefit of hindsight, naively or over optimistically thought they were realistic. But the fact is they've slipped enormously. I mean if you look at the forecast for premises passed by fibre as at June 2014, the end of June 2010 they said there would be 2.7 million premises, in August 2012 they said 1.3 million and then in June they said it would only be 981,000. A figure that Anthony Albanese kept secret. This was in the draft corporate plan that he refused to release, you might remember. And then in their latest forecasts, which is just this month, they've said it will be 729,000. So in the space of a few years the forecast has dropped by nearly 75 per cent.
The trend from their corporate plan updates is one of ongoing and continual decline in their forecasts.
http://www.abc.net.au/news/2013-09-24/malcolm-turnbull-outlines-nbn-review-and-supports/4978948
My bolds.
If the fox hadn't stopped to crap and had four extra legs, it would have caught the hare.As you know, by far the biggest delay was because of the Telstra agreement. They started 9 months late, hence the initial halving of forecasts.
There's no reason why the target can't be met now however, so long as the contractors employ a suitable number of people. It's well within the speed of similar rollouts here and overseas, even allowing for the delays to date:
That draft is the one Albo sat on during the election campaign and has already been superseded.So it seems since the MT press conference that NBN co has leaked the draft plan.
"FTTP Access Network cost per premises passed has decreased from an average of $5,000 for the
Tasmanian Pre-Release sites to an Estimate at Completion (EAC) average cost of between $1,100
and $1,400 per premises passed for FSAMs currently under construction for which DDDs are
available."
Interesting they still believe they're inline for a 2021 completion date. Maybe MT's report wont read so bad.
http://mynbn.info/assets/draftcorpplan-2013.pdf
In another sign of risks to the project, the government has uncovered a $600 million blowout in the cost of the billing and other information systems at the heart of the network, taking computer-system costs to $2.2 billion.
It has confirmed a backlog of 66,000 premises - including schools and apartment buildings - with "service class zero" because they have fibre cable within reach but cannot use the network.
The Australian can reveal that, earlier this year, the NBN Co received a letter from its then shareholder ministers - former communications minister Stephen Conroy and finance ministers Penny Wong - with the instruction to have started work in all electorates by mid-2016.
It will complete work on connections to 300,000 premises that are already contracted, continue to work on connecting 645,000 premises where plans are advanced, and look for ways to link 66,000 premises including apartment blocks that have been passed by fibre, but not connected.
Work on connecting another 900,000 premises is to be suspended until the strategic review is completed, and the government decides what shape its revised network will take.
Was the NBN ultimately Labor's biggest ever pork barrel ?
You've got a point there.Though far more useful than the Adelaid Darwin rail link
Though far more useful than the Adelaid Darwin rail link
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