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My trading strategy blows goats... should I change?

Well done Ivan. You may have a bit of my money there which I have given to IG over the year.

Because no one knows what the market is going to do tomorrow.


George Soros says he knows. He was interviewed on tech ticker and he said I know exactly which way the USD is going to go, but he wouldn't elaborate.
 
Hello Ivant,

I've gone overnight many times on the SPI without any stops , only slept well when pi**ed , sometimes there was a nice surprise the next morning & some horror shows
Lucky it's balanced out in my favor so far ..
Just like to know how you handled that sort of pressure ?

 
What I'd like to see Ivant do is to put $398,700 in to the bank/buy gold bullion/whatever and start again. If you get to $400k again, then its time crack open the Dom Perignon.

i think that sounds great, but i wont take that challenge on. i want to improve as a trader and not repeat luck.


haha. i wish my trading plan was more mechanical. there is a lot of thinking and a lot of work that it requires. i want to reduce risk because risking more than i have is insane. however having the capital to let me live on is great. you will do great if you just stick in there. ive been killed and told to stop by many many people, inclusive of my parents.


sorry for stealing your money soros does know. lol. but im not soros! i wish i could be. maybe one day..


interesting point. i usually go to bed at 3-5 am so i get a good understanding of what is happening. then i have an alarm going off by the hour if its important. i love to be in the know. i usually miss the open unless i need to do something. at the moment (since around july) we have been more active at night then in the day. i dont know when that will stop, but at the moment i just stay though the night. i theoretically trade the FTSE and DOW too, because overnight prices move on their moves. usually they are pretty well correlated though.
 

You are a smart man Cartman. Good detective work there
 

Golden post here. But then again Ivan, don't doubt yourself either. If you can do what you can do then maybe you're gifted in some way that most people are not.

But TH post is great because at least you can prove to yourself a few times just to make sure and at the same time have enough to risk a bit less.

Also Ivan I note you mentioned that things will get a bit more difficult as size grows anyway.

Anyway well done Ivan
 
You are a smart man Cartman. Good detective work there

Lol --- for craps sake dont tell anyone that A/L --- you'll ruin my reputation

Hats off to Ivan ---- he is the smart one ---- believing in his ability enuff to keep putting the cash on the line ----

Both him and TH are rare commodities !!

Ballzy --- Brilliant --- Brazen ---

I had some of those qualities once but then i added another B word --- "Boofhead" and lost the lot lol ----

Inspirational stuff Ivan ---- cant stop smiling for ya
 

haha Cartman was one of the first to be on the ball. That actually was a great pickup! I was surprised. I was a little stumped at first haha. Haha you are a great man Cartman. Although I think TH is the rare commodity, I'm just blowing in the wind. Thank you nevertheless.
 
Ivant, I must admit I have enjoyed reading this entire thread and like most other here are quite impressed with your returns....congrats!

I have wondered though why don't you try out Direct Market Access (DMA) on Igmarkets (referred to as PureDMA)? The key thing here is that you won't be struggling against a Market Maker, hence your spreads will be those set by the actual buyers/sellers in the market. I also have an IG account and am looking to upgrade soon. If you've already tried DMA out I'd be keen to hear what you think of it? Otherwise give it a shot and see if it helps with slippage problems.

Anyone else use DMA? If so, what your thoughts...


thanks.

cheers
Sag
 

Ha Ha ! Now I know how you did it

And as for that DOW correlation at night , I do agree ,.
Notice it turned up quick tonight , I had some shorts on but escaped just before , the DOW Futs didn't give the warning but gut feel said close them now
 

Correct me if I am wrong, but isn't DMA for stocks only? In any case, I'll be moving to futures sometime soon. Probably in the upcoming weeks. I am swing trading though, and I am pretty confident they cover my positions in the underlying market.


Lol you are on to something my friend. By not being a real person I am an alien . I closed my shorts out yesterday (as I mentioned a few posts ago, a few hundred posts ago lol), I thought we got a little short-term oversold. I have a small position riding long. I am a little unsure at the moment, this movement isnt very convincing to any direction IMO. Probably more to retest the highs then to the lows. Nevertheless, will be interesting to see. If there will be some confirmation of a continued fall (i am very very bearish still), i will reenter. Good gut feel though so far!! Well done
 


Oh and thanks for the congratulations Sag
 


That gut feel indicator has to be one of the most used on the planet.Perhaps there should be a thread for "Trading Mavericks".
My analysis tells me they wont be posting in 6-12 mths.
Seen plenty come and plenty go.
 

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well fug me...

i owe you an apology ivan..

i absolutely thought some very well spoken hoax was happening, and i was extremely amused and intrigued by this thread..

your certainly have achieved some tremendous gains, and what i like about you is your openness to wanting to discuss what didnt work also.


keep on posting away. i am sure plenty here will be extremely interested in your input..

i am off to blow some goats now
 

Why put yourself into such a silly state
 
Hi,

Ballsy, Gutsy, Brazen....

Don't do this at home etc... are what everyone seems to be implying. Yet what is the downside?? $1300 and time (and not much of that).

Perhaps this is the way we all should be trading. Take a small starting account, pony it up with huge risk, and stop at a predetermined time, withdraw 95% of balance, and do the same again.

If you blow up So What??? it is only small starting amount and "market money".
If it works, rinse, repeat.

This thread is making me think about my entire trading philosophy, and I've only been doing it on and off for 29 years.

brty
 

Don't forget if you are risking more than your account size the broker ain't gonna write off your margin call
 

It maybe a suprise to some buy I actually agree with this.

Its an important discussion topic one I will start soon on the beginners thread.
 
Most talk about having risks of .5% or 1% or 2% max. Perhaps the 20%, 30% or even 50% risk of account size is/could be appropriate for set period trading of a certain style.

For Ivant it has worked by being short and aggressive at the right time. Of course market conditions change, and such an approach won't work in all conditions. An aggressive range trading strategy will only/could only work in the appropriate market conditions. Same for long strategies.

brty
 
If you blow up So What??? it is only small starting amount and "market money".
If it works, rinse, repeat.

I can see what your saying but the key to me is IF it works. I tried doing the same thing when i first started and quickly blew up a CFD account.

So at what point do you stop 'throwing good money after bad'? As long as people understand that its not actually easy to do and are willing to take high risks then its ok. But to me it just become gambling if they are always just chasing the next 'big win' constantly topping up their account with other cash
 
Ivan, well done. I followed this thread with interest. I didn't disbelieve your claims because I know what can be achieved. But it can be blown just as easy with a losing streak fed by revenge trading and panic responses.

Maybe you're the next Soros. But like others have said. Put aside the bulk of your money and try it again. If you can rinse and repeat several times, then you'll know it wasn't just a statistical fluke. Good luck.
 
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