Australian (ASX) Stock Market Forum

Mr. Trump (The Donald) To Win in 2024

now now boys, don't be arrogant in the winners circle.
There may yet be a late protest.
Mick
The weird way their system works it makes it very hard to call, but it is looks like Trump.

He can reach the magic number of 270 if he takes Georgia and Pennsylvania or by securing Georgia, Michigan and Wisconsin.
Looks to me he has both Georgia and Pennsylvania.
 
The weird way their system works it makes it very hard to call, but it is looks like Trump.

He can reach the magic number of 270 if he takes Georgia and Pennsylvania or by securing Georgia, Michigan and Wisconsin.
Looks to me he has both Georgia and Pennsylvania.
The problem is, most people thought the same thing last election, then a large chunk of postals came in that just happened to favour Biden by some margin, and the numbers switched.
Entirely possible it can happen again.
Would be better for all concerned if it was a decisive victory, as there would be less likelihood of the teenagers in charge crying foul.
Mick
 
The problem is, most people thought the same thing last election, then a large chunk of postals came in that just happened to favour Biden by some margin, and the numbers switched.
Entirely possible it can happen again.
Would be better for all concerned if it was a decisive victory, as there would be less likelihood of the teenagers in charge crying foul.
Mick
Just watching some analysis and it seems that there probably isn't enough juice in the system for a Democrat cheat.

It even looks possible that Trump could win the popular vote as well.

But who knows what they have up their sleeve?
 
The problem is, most people thought the same thing last election, then a large chunk of postals came in that just happened to favour Biden by some margin, and the numbers switched.
Entirely possible it can happen again.
Would be better for all concerned if it was a decisive victory, as there would be less likelihood of the teenagers in charge crying foul.
Mick
100%.
I sort of want Trump to win. I'm going to get out the popcorn and watch from the safe haven of Australia (it will be the best place to be on earth).

-Europe, and Mexico/Brazil will be fcked economically,
-There will be big tariffs that will hurt the world economy and especially the poor in the USA but maybe only in the short term.
-And Ukraine, Estonia, Taiwan etc. will be taken out.
-There will be the USA Army conducting raids and pulling illegal aliens out of basements like in a WW2 movie.

Make no mistake, this will be a turning point in world history, equal to when Eisenhower created the new world order.
It has been 80 years since WW2 and the USA no longer wants to be the world's policeman.
 
looking at these results so far, the leans are all towards Trump.
The important part is to look at the percentage counted.
With 95% of the vote counted in Georgia, trumop has two percentage point lead and it would take some sort of miracle tostop Trump getting those 16 votes.
In Georgia, Trump has a 6% margin, in excess of 200,000 Votes.
Although its only 58% counted, the counting map shows that the highly populated city areas which leaned Democrat, are all in the 80 to 90% counted. The laggards are in the republican controlled areas, so it is far moe likely trump will maintain that lead and collect the 15 votes in Michigan.
That brings trump to 261 votes, within spittin distance.
The others are still to close to call with any conviction.
Mick

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looking at the voting Map o0f Pennsylvannia highlights the vast gap between the cities and the rest.
Most of the 65 counties voted republican/trump.
Only 9 J out of the 65 counties had a Harris victory, all of them containing large cities like Philly, Pittsburgh and the Boss's favourite , Allentown.
But the rest were all trump.
looking at the percentages reported in each county, most of the Harris ones are above 95%, so the Harris numbers are no looking ggod.
I reckon they will call PA for trump, and that will be that.
Mick
1730872832311.png

Most of the
 
My contacts at MaraLago tell me that the Donald is heading over to Trump Campaign HQ to make a victory speech.

Foxnews has called the election for Trump barring some huge upset.

What a recovery for my mate the Donald.

gg
 
I was hoping Trump would win as I left a large Tesla position on. I've been sweating over that for a while.

I was expecting Harris to win as their ground campaign is one of the best. Along with their grey area election moves.
This election it seems like they paid as many people as they could, even what looked like blackmailing celebrities.

But Republicans came out in force on grassroot campaigns. Bringing every patriot to vote with them.
 
All I can say its a massive relief Trump has won, thank god, the pets of Springfield will be saved.... won't they?
 
We shouldn't celebrate as we are screwed in Australia. Trump isn't great for trade agreements and they shafted us last time.
Yes, it will depend entirely on who he choses for Defense, Dept of Justice, secretary of state and treasury.
I doubt that Musk will take up any sort of official role, though he seems to have the ear of Trum(the other one, not the one that was shot).
The one i would love to see taken up was his threat to put RJ Kennedy in charge of the FBI.
That would be fun.
I am going to spend my time looking up all the people who said they would leave the US if trump got elected.
However, one sobering thought is that in the last election when Biden beat trump, 81.2 million people voted for Biden and 74.2 million people voted for trump.
So far the total vote is some 10 million short of their combined totals.
It will rise over the next few days, but not by 10 mill.
So where did all the voters go?
Mick
 
We shouldn't celebrate as we are screwed in Australia. Trump isn't great for trade agreements and they shafted us last time.


Tarifs, inflation, etc will be interesting to see how much blowback comes in the iron ore sector and goods generally.

Its possible exports fall (from Oz) but in coming goods (Chinese vehicles) prices fall as well.

Defense and US movements (withdrawal) in the Pacific could leave us exposed big time.

Still Australia will have to...bend over here it comes.... at least for 4 years.
 
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