- Joined
- 30 June 2008
- Posts
- 15,663
- Reactions
- 7,514
A new announcement has been released for LNC
Summary: LNC Acquires Oil Producing Asset in Wyoming, USA
Announcement number: 229507
Release time: 2/25/2011 12:58:00 PM
Price sensitive: Yes
Agreed their with valuations Basilio, but seriously an understatement with the good bit !!!! , I rated it at fenomanoly Mega , but hey i hold lincThis deal was noted a couple of weeks ago and it's certainly great to see the details.
It will be interesting see what the financial projections are for this deal. My initial (back of the envelope) estimates are around $200m a year. If oil is bringing $100 a barrel and EOR costs are $40 a barrel (I believe Bond suggested around $30 previously) then a 10,000 barrel a day project should deliver $600k a day or $210m over a 350 day year.
The LNC report suggests a 10,000-20,000 barrel a day production target with final extractable reserves of 100m barrels.
This is seriously good. And the field cost $20m !
Some of the chemicals that farmers put on farms are deadly, it is about how they are used and in what concentration. It is not like fracking is new or not well understood, the oil industry have been doing it for many decades. I would have thought that if it is that bad they'd have been shut down long ago! Maybe it is evil, but no coherent argument was put forward. A long that line they presented no qualitative evidence that the ground water was in fact being impacted.
There where claims of a 10 meter drop in ground water levels but no more discussion about that, was it a local effect, was it across the basin, does it mean that the water has gone or is now just more inaccessible... etc etc... no real discussion of the issue in any detail.
Anyway... I'd have been happier to see some willingness to solve the issues, whatever they turn out to be in reality, rather than club the industry to death. We are staring down the barrel of another huge energy crunch and will will need to use everything we have in the short term if we are to have any hope of transitioning to an more sustainable future. Sad fact is that renewable energy ain't there yet!
This deal was noted a couple of weeks ago and it's certainly great to see the details.
It will be interesting see what the financial projections are for this deal. My initial (back of the envelope) estimates are around $200m a year. If oil is bringing $100 a barrel and EOR costs are $40 a barrel (I believe Bond suggested around $30 previously) then a 10,000 barrel a day project should deliver $600k a day or $210m over a 350 day year.
The LNC report suggests a 10,000-20,000 barrel a day production target with final extractable reserves of 100m barrels.
This is seriously good. And the field cost $20m !
Nice work Mickel. Excellent to hear a summary of the LNC presentation.
Just for interest was there any discussion on the AFC Fuel cell technology ? Was it on the radar as far as part of no carbon power plants in South Australia for example?
And was there any elaboration on the EOR program being proposed/developed in USA ?
Cheers
Yes! Thanks for sharing the info Mickel.
One question: Any idea how the comparison between the West Texas crude, and Linc's Diesel was worked out? Diesel being a refined product, and sold by the litre etc, while the former by the barrel?
Hi Doggy
PB mentioned that the diesel that comes out of the LNC demo plant at Chinchilla can be put straight into a car even though some wax can be extracted. While it would be a simple addition to add this function to the LNC plant, they have elected to have it refined off site at present. The resultant barrel of diesel (159 L by my calculations) would command a 15% premium to West Texas crude according to PB.
Been doing some research and reflection on current open positions (with a cold beer in hand) and was wondering to myself what is holding Linc back. I dont really know why, as all the news has been pretty damn positive especially the sale of the Galilee tenament last year. The $500 million in the bank, plus the ongoing royalties from Adani ensure future cash flow will not be a problem.
The acquisition of 122,000 acres of Alaskan oil and gas leases last year and the recent acquisition of a further 181,414 acres of Underground Coal Gasification (UCG) coal exploration licences in Alaska is also positive with the spudding of its first gas exploration well (LEA #1) located in the Cook Inlet Basin in Alaska last year coming on pretty quickly. The presence of high quality gas charged zones has been reported and in one of the announcements PB said that Linc Energy is aiming to have the Flow Test Rig on site in late March 2011.
With the recent acquisition of the 27,856 acres of producing oil fields in the Powder River Basin in Wyoming from Rancher Energy Corp (for $20 million, Rancher paid $70 million) with a current oil production of approximately 190 barrels per day across three fields and the potential to increase oil production from EOR (CO2 Flooding) to 10,000 barrels/day to 20,000 barrels/day range with total recoverable oil from these fields being approximately 100 million barrels, this transaction is pretty significant also.
The twofold increase in syngas flows from the Chinchilla production plant last year shows Linc are leading the field in the UCG area and the potential sale of the Theresa tenament down the road are even more reasons for this share price to be racing ahead.
Even as I write this, I am thinking I need to buy some more shares on any dips in the future as there is just far too many reasons why this company is going places.
I look forward to reading any further details about Linc and hope that other holders can shed some light as to why Linc is not racing along, or if I have missed something in my research or misquoted PB.
Mickel, as a long term holder and supporter of Linc can you add anymore dialogue or correct my interpretation of the companies current state?
I guess in time the sp will appreciate and there are a few hurdles to cross with the closing of the Theresa sale, the realisation of the increase in flow rates from Wyoming fields using CO2 flooding and the testing and commercialisation of Lea 1 in Alaska. But from where I sit alot of these facts have not been taken into account in the sp yet.
Good luck to all holders
IT'S 40 degrees on a windless day in a shimmering dry field of brigalow scrub in western Queensland, but for Peter Bond, this is a field of dreams where he can produce petrol that will power him to the other side of the continent for 20c a litre.
Bond, the head of coal miner Linc Energy, will set out this morning from Brisbane to Sydney, then Canberra, Adelaide and Perth, in a Volkswagen Golf powered by diesel petrol (???) produced by the controversial method of underground coal gasification.
Really interesting find Jonathan on the 2 South African positions. That is the first time we have heard about LNC's interest in that part of the world.
________________________________________________________________
With regarded to employment LNC currently has 36 positions advertised on it's website in Brisbane and the US. Certainly looks like they are in full commercialisation mode. And isn't it great that they have so much cash in the bank to pay wages and development costs..
__________________________________________________________________
I just saw the first story in The Australian on Peter Bonds dash across Australia on UCG sourced diesel. Not that confident about how the message is getting across.
http://www.theaustralian.com.au/bus...ces-cheap-diesel/story-e6frg8zx-1226016134384
I just don't think that LNC will be selling diesel for 20c a litre and I'm trying to work out how a reporter can manage to totally confuse "diesel" and "petrol". Needs some chemistry lessons I think!
We use cookies and similar technologies for the following purposes:
Do you accept cookies and these technologies?
We use cookies and similar technologies for the following purposes:
Do you accept cookies and these technologies?