I think the surprise factor is taken out of this stock. It's like the boy who cried wolf, and PB has cried sale for the last year or so.
Maybe the institutions will accumulate when more certaintly is made public to the market and not just some quote from the Newspaper.
I like to compare Linc with other companies in the market. Two come to mind. maybe others here can think of some other sales
NHC which sold itls New Saraji coal assets for 2.45B. It's sp went from $1.50 or so to $5. It has 800m shares listed.
AJL whcih sold its Gloucester basin CSG assets from 370M. It's shares went from $3-$5. It only has 66M shares listed.
LNC after its capital raising has 65M in cash. It has 460M shares listed.
Assuming the sale generates 1B-1.5B I see it being capped to below $3, because it still is essentially a producer of a non mainstream product. Its UGC technology has not won it any big contracts hence it does not have stable earnings. Long term I don't know what the price would be. That depends on the popularity of UCG.
My plan is to accumulate in bits and pieces under $2 then pounce when the sale is final. Maybe then exit with a profit and leave a core holding for the future in case it goes beyond $3.
Market is skeptical about the news in Sep 17 because it disppointed them for several times. PB has said it will upon 5 weeks that annoncement of coal sale will released. There is two weeks left and I am just waiting .Short selling over the last couple of days has pushed the price down to 1.60 and as a result triggered off many stops. Over a million shares were traded in a single sale after 4.30pm yesterday...
http://www.asx.com.au/data/Shortsell.txt
9.30pm this Thursday
Peter Bond will be on Channel 9's new show "The Secret Millionaire" :
Article in The Australian today states in part-Hi SUNYA2006
How do you know he said 5 weeks?
I am hopiong to catch the tv interview tommorrow night to see if there are any more clues...
Hi SUNYA2006
How do you know he said 5 weeks?
I am hopiong to catch the tv interview tommorrow night to see if there are any more clues...
Article in The Australian today states in part-
Mr Bond told The Australian yesterday the sale was a two-tier process, which included the bidder's statement before moving into detailed negotiations.
"We are just concluding the first bidder's statement, where we have had a number of good bids on the coal assets, and we are moving into the second phase, where we get into the detailed negotiations," he said.
And again-
Mr Bond said news flow around the sale of the assets had always been a strong catalyst for the stock and the company.
"We are aware of that and that is why we are working hard to fulfil the outcome," he said, adding it was likely to be up to five weeks before an announcement was made.
"I can't help what happened with the global financial crisis and I can't help what happened with China. I know what is happening in reality and I know (the asset sale) is going to happen."
The chief executive said he was happy to let the UBS process run.
"It's a good strong process and I'm content to see it roll out over the next few weeks.
"It was always going to be a three to four-month process and it is headed in the right direction."
Link- http://www.theaustralian.news.com.au...005200,00.html
Shell commercialising gas to liquids is a rather different situation from what Linc is hoping to do with coal to liquids.Story on GTL Jet fuel. LNC's losing the race to commercialisation.
For anyone who gives a f.....Peter Bond is on The Secret Millionaire tonight....don't expect an interview this is a TV show.....
Not complaining, because i hold, but does anyone know why this stock has gone up so much today?
nearly 8% at time of writing, i can't find any news
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