Australian (ASX) Stock Market Forum

Is lead the next hot commodity?

Hmmm, will have to look at PEM again.

LME hits a new high, and the outlook is for even greater gains
Daniel Magnowski, Associated Press


LONDON ”” Lead hit a new high in early business at the London Metal Exchange on Thursday, supported by a tight supply outlook combined with strong demand from battery makers, analysts said. The metal has outperformed other LME contracts, and indeed most other assets, with gains of 130 per cent since the start of the year.

By 10:30 (GMT), lead for delivery in three months traded up to $3,890 (U.S.) per tonne on electronic dealing system Select, surpassing its previous peak of $3,885, which it struck on Tuesday. Despite these high prices, users of the metal have little choice but to continue buying, analysts said.

“There is a fair way to go before they will even look at making a change,” BNP Paribas analyst David Thurtell said.
 
PEM apparantly is in top 8 lead producers in world, they are just ahead of ZFX. Looking good for exposure to lead prices.
 
PEM has a large exposure to lead, they are trading near their lows and market expects a rather large earnings upgrade very soon.

Yeah not bad but does it have short mine life?

Earnings and Dividends Forecast (cents per share)
2007 2008 2009 2010
EPS 43.1 66.0 73.5 52.6
DPS 11.0 17.0 16.0 12.3


zincleadproducershm8.jpg


thx

MS
 
Michael,
You have obviously been looking at the latest powerpoint presentation however I feel you may be interpreting the data incorrectly (although maybe I am?:confused:) If you look at the left side of "slide 11"- I interperet this to mean that the area that is currently being mined has five more years of rRESERVES. The right hand side of the slide shows areas that are being developed, presumably where reserves will be firmed in due course in hope of future mining in those new areas.
If you then look at the top right hand graph on "slide 16"- this seems to show that PEM aim to keep increasing proven reserves so that the "5 years to go" always stays near "5 years to go", even as time goes on.

I hold PEM so of course will be interested how others are interpreting current publicly available data
 
Guys, isnt too late to be bullish about Lead?
I have been talking about lead when it is trading at 3300.
Now asking customers to take profit at 3900.
 
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