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Imminent and severe market correction

My charts only go back four years... is this the channell that it is bouncing off??
Cheers
...........Kauri

Yep, that's about it. (The INO charts wont copy I'm afraid) I see 73 the top and 70.5 the bottom as at this time and a drop to 69.5 due soon. A drop in the Fed rate will certainly push that along.

Money is losing purchasing power by the day now. Oil price will hit pockets hard but is just one of many basics compounding the calamity exponentially.
 
Well, the Boe has finally cut... 25bp.

Looks like the ECB is gonna hold... until the Fed cuts again? They will have to cut eventually though, won't they?


I think I predicted big Wal would hold it's own... actually might out perform a bit.

Those tight inventory controls!

See... even the weather and timing of easter affect the economy. It's not all 'sub primes' fault! :

 
I think I predicted big Wal would hold it's own... actually might out perform a bit.

Those tight inventory controls!

See... even the weather and timing of easter affect the economy. It's not all 'sub primes' fault! :

I think that Big Wally is amongst the 20% that have managed not to dissapoint of the chains that have reported so far.. meanwhile to add to the 80% that have come up short, Gap"s 18% decline in March and the fall in Nordstrom of 9.1% for same store sales as consumer demand continues to collapse. Target sales fell 4.4%, much more than the market expected.
Cheers
.........Kauri
 
Well, the Boe has finally cut... 25bp.

What is now evident is that the intention of the BoE MPC is diametrically opposed to their official remit of targeting inflation. The MPC is now directly targeting house prices. A 180% rise is quite OK, but a 2.5% drop is totally unacceptable.

Savers screwed again.
 

Yeah, wasn't surprised with Target. They're not as 'hungry' and adaptive to market conditions as big Wal. Luxury brands also not surprising.

Be interesting to see the market shares of the 20% and 80%. Probably give a better picture of the state of chain retail sales.
 

Maybe they read (and believe what they read) the papers..
Cheers
...........Kauri

http://business.timesonline.co.uk/tol/business/
 

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These Chain store sales comps are mostly pretty nasty.

Saks..................-2.9% vs +3.5% expected
JC Penney........ -12.3% vs -11.7% expected
Nordstrom.......... -9.1% vs -8.0% expected
American Eagle.. -12.0% vs -8.9% expected
Target...............-4.4% vs -2.7% expected

Even Wal-mart disappointed +0.7% vs +1.0% expected

On the positve side:

Costco.......... +7.0% vs +5.9% expected
Aeropostale... +2.5% vs +0.6% expected
 
Maybe they read (and believe what they read) the papers..
Cheers
...........Kauri

http://business.timesonline.co.uk/tol/business/
I don't have a lot of time for Anatole Kaletski, even though he has now joined the bear camp... he's a t0sser of the first order.

This clown, up until about six weeks ago was an uberbull, treating bears as heretics, tin foil hatters and doom-mongers. He has only jumped the fence in the face of looking like the jerk he truly is.

Note how he hedges himself in the article with the old "small island, and limited supply" nonsense.

Should give the livestock a bit of a start though.
 

Couldn't agree more, most of the media could pull off a U-Turn on the M3 in rush hour without breaking wind, .....butt... inthe modern age the media shapes our perceptions a lot more than peeple realise.. and as such, I sit, and observe... and wait.. and.. aaahh, my glass is empty, I can see the de bouton.
Cheers
............from me.. and hymn..
 
Hi,

Nothing but doom and gloom in the headlines, billions lost in banking, housing and consumer sales, the world as we know it is coming to an end. It is as clear as the nose on my face....

But the SPoos go up...... hmm. ( at present anyway)

bye

brty
 
Yep agree there. That's why I still read him. There are able analysts who I like to read as food for thought.. and then there are the sentiment markers. Sometimes it's hard to tell the difference.... sometimes not. :

I reckon Jeremy Clarkeson has a better idea than Anatole... and is amusing to boot.
 

Eat, drink, be merry and... uhh, buy stocks; for tomorrow we die.
 

unless you drive a volvo... :knightrid
 
Hi,

The media is telling us one thing, the market is saying another. Which one is usually correct??

bye

brty
 
Hi,

The media is telling us one thing, the market is saying another. Which one is usually correct??

bye

brty
Never fight the tape... just don't nail the scrip to the bottom drawer.
 
Hi,

The media is telling us one thing, the market is saying another. Which one is usually correct??

bye

brty

BofA has come out and said that big fella's bottom is in and has recomended .. in their words.. overweight...

and GS has also come out (closet??) and said that the crisis is in the 3rd or even 4th Qtr.. and that they can see the light at the end of the tunnell.. (the last time I saw a light at the end of the tunnell it made quite an impression, there was a 6000horse English Electric sitting right behind it!!).
So don't think... just buy, buy. bye, bye.
Cheers
............Frontiersman
 


Would it be fair to say Wal has the cheaper products over all....
 
Looks like Merrill Lynch is topping up the cash kitty.

Geez, I'm glad I didn't get involved in margin lending!

 

Well, they are supposed to be tightening their belts to keep up with debt repayments, aren't they!

The lesser of two evils I think. Got to be better than maintaining consumer spending and perpetuating more loan defaults.

The results, the weakest March showing in 13 years...

Hmmm. Probably more like easing back to moderation after years of excess eh!
 
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