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Imminent and severe market correction

I understand you chops - chart projection values based on prior - got a few of those myself where zero on the Y axis bobs up before your line finishes - share tries hard to complete the line sometimes

Ah so it is a chart thingy.

In news just out, JP Morgan is purchasing Bear Stearns at $2 USD per share. No further details of the deal as yet. Talk about a firesale.

This should 'delay' BS dumping $40 odd billion mortgage backed securities on an already distressed market for these toxic products. Now that eventuality would have made things very interesting for no 4 on the list, Lehman Bros.

They keep shifting a bit here, stashing a bit there to keep the house of valuation cards teetering on the brink. Good watching this.
 
Fed has cut rate by 25 basis points efffective immediately.J P Morgan to buy bear stearns at $2 a share.
Futures go from -25 to plus +136 in 23 minutes in America.

But how long will the nervous *positive* knee-jerk sentiment last?

I guess the next Fed cut of .5%? in two days time will get another short-term reaction, then what?

Maybe the US needs to open up it's borders to a flood of new immigrants (rather than building the Great Wall of America) to help buy up all those empty houses and significantly boost internal demand for goods and services.....


AJ
 

I'm sure if you got a bit of dough to buy some up you would be most welcome. But I dont' think too many would want to go at the moment
 
I don't know much about hedge funds but was wondering if anyone would know...
Do they go in for FX much..if so the violent moves in the FX pairs today may have caused more damage to those caught on the wrong side??
Maybe even Banks trading rooms??...
Maybe even the %5...

after all the COT suggests there were quite a lotta longs on some of the most punished crosses...

Cheers
..........Kauri
 

Don't know myself Kauri, but you could have a look at the stats in Barclays hedge site for an idea (www.barclayhedge.com).......

Whatever the case, the FX markets are completely out of whack with absolutely huge moves across the board..... I mean, I thought we would see below 100 in USD:YEN, bu the swissy going past parity with the Dollar??? I don't think it has occurred in measured FX history....

Cheers
 
I don't know much about hedge funds but was wondering if anyone would know...

It depends on the funds. For a lot of funds, they would enter into forward contracts as a hedge against currency movements. However, there are quite a few funds that actively trade currencies as well. I don't know how many there are, but from my knowledge, I would guess that hedge funds have a substantial amount of involement in the fx market, although I'm only basing this on what I've seen from my work - which is not even the tip of the iceberg.
 
mmmmmm.. whats uo Doc... :bunny:

two members of the European Central Bank"s
Governing Council have canceled their prior speaking engagements. Axel Weber
will not be attending an event organized by the European Union Chamber of
Commerce while Christian Noyer has also canceled his attendance. Both the BdF
and the Bundesbank suggest personal reasons are behind the moves but speculation
has since mounted that various emergency meetings and talks are looming.
 

Bludy hell!

People were selling $5 puts at 10c. Even those writing puts at 5 for $2.40 are going to lose. **** me!

The trading was obviously concluding it was going to the ground... but I don't think even the most bearish people expected that catastrophic end.

Also... I don't think it was insider trading. Didn't you hear those geniuses in the senate enquiry saying it was just for retirement? Personally, I think it was money for an Angelo Mozilo fake tan fund. Must cost him a fortune.
 
Bush is set to make a statement on economy after meeting .... He is meeting his economic advisers this morning...

more eyes on the wheel and hands on the road stuff???
Cheers
..........Kauri
.......................Reuters
 

reackon that would be a strategy to shore up the US$ kauri which may have started already with today's move on $A
 
IV spikes are not often wrong on individual spots. It might not tell you the direction, but it give a strong clue to the magnitude.

Such is the case that Adam Warner often suggests that that sort of volatility should be bought, rather than sold. A dangerous game for sure, but often profitable.

As for me, unless I can get a minimal risk profile, I'll just stand aside.
 
I expect Aussie banks to get absolutely shellacked tomorrow, as their mortgage insurer looks like it will go broke within the year.

But thanks to IB, I couldn't short left right and centre like I had planned.

Anyone reading my blog would know the significance of this news:
 

Chops they can't borrow what is already 100% loaned
 
Chops they can't borrow what is already 100% loaned

It wasn't even coming up with the shortable at all light, on anything. Not one thing. Not even the allowed to be shorted if located light. It was on and off like that last week as well.

There are no longer any stocks allowed to be shorted on the Aus market through IB.

And they better not close the short I do have.
 
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