Australian (ASX) Stock Market Forum

I predict

I thought I would bump this thread as perhaps some have some new predictions for this year.

Mr Burns was pretty accurate in a lot of his calls way way back. Well done Burnsie.

I can't seem to find my post on here - but I'm still of the same opinion - interest default on sovereign debt, bond market collapse, currency collapses. That's about all. Nothing big.;)
 
I predict with 99% accuracey that 99% predictions in here will be wrong.....

so with my 1% accuracey I predict property in pockets of undersupply will rise, property in pockets of oversupply will fall, property with neutral supply demand will be stable.

Good shares will rise, bad ones will fall, but in general the market will with some volatility rise for the first 6 months and be neutral to slightly corrective in the second 6 months.....

Major corporate debt defaults and soveriegn debt scares will trigger shock waves of over reactions by the equity and commodity markets, followed by rapid volatile corrections.

The US will stabilize but the world will become concerned with its continued use of increasing debt and the same for most European countires... which will be punished in terms of currency and market sentiment....

The Us govt will be forced to unwind lose credit and place strict rules upon banks to restore public confidence and stop public backlash...

Gloab terrorism will continue and Iran , Palestine, Isreal, Nth Korea and China will take advantage of unrecedented US unpopularity and lack of global clout.....

The ETS will fail to get through the senate and Krudd will call an early double dissolution triggered election. Mr Monk will mount a serious challenge and be narrowly defeated on the grounds of coalition instability and big screeen plasma Tv adverts funded by the public purse.

But on the positive side VIL, AAM, IMA, ROL, TRf, JBH, WOW, and all the stock I own will go up massively and i will retire a trillionarre by years end........na the last bits possibly an exaggeration.....

Oh also Sydney FC will win the ALeague, Parramatta the NRL and who cares about the AFL or Rugby Union....
 
US dollar loses all credibility and a basket of currencies takes its place for global commodities.
 
I predict for 2010;

Mr Rudd will restore efficiency to the hospital system. Waiting lists will be abolished.

Mr Rudd will restore literacy to school leavers, so that when they enter Uni they will be able to, at least, read and write.

Mr Rudd will turn the illegal immigrants' boats around after they have been fast tracked to Australia.

Mr Rudd will give equal status to the indigenous people as to the boat people, especially in welfare and housing.

Mr Rudd will resolve the problems of the homeless (which he once described as a national obscenity) by apologising to them.

Mr Rudd will save the whales.

Mr Rudd with Gillard's help will restore the unions to their former dominance of the workplace.

Mr Rudd will win the next election simply be following his credo that working class family votes can be bought.
 
I sincerely would like to hear Weatherbill's predictions. If you are still with us WB could you please contribute.
 
I predict that Wayne Swann will bring in a new tax on coal. This will make him and Mr Rudd look greener, and as more coal is exported, bring in loads of extra cash. Thus making it possible to reduce taxation in time for the next election.
 
I predict for 2010;

Mr Rudd will restore efficiency to the hospital system. Waiting lists will be abolished.

Mr Rudd will restore literacy to school leavers, so that when they enter Uni they will be able to, at least, read and write.

Mr Rudd will turn the illegal immigrants' boats around after they have been fast tracked to Australia.

Mr Rudd will give equal status to the indigenous people as to the boat people, especially in welfare and housing.

Mr Rudd will resolve the problems of the homeless (which he once described as a national obscenity) by apologising to them.

Mr Rudd will save the whales.

Mr Rudd with Gillard's help will restore the unions to their former dominance of the workplace.

Mr Rudd will win the next election simply be following his credo that working class family votes can be bought.


Only after he has asked for a report on all these matters.
 
I predict:

a) A severe hangover tomorrow

b) The members of several forums will now hate me

:batman:

:D:D
 
I predict that bottle of shiraz will be finished by nights end :p:

Ha ha, I reckon the second bottle is just being opened now... :)

How about a tipping comp, for interest rates, the XAO, etc?

I am calling new bear starting March '10 lasting through till Jan '11, and cash rate to 4.5 by years end. But hell, I'll take whatever comes, I'm not fussy :)
 
I predict for 2010;

Mr Rudd will restore efficiency to the hospital system. Waiting lists will be abolished.

Mr Rudd will restore literacy to school leavers, so that when they enter Uni they will be able to, at least, read and write.

Mr Rudd will turn the illegal immigrants' boats around after they have been fast tracked to Australia.

Mr Rudd will give equal status to the indigenous people as to the boat people, especially in welfare and housing.

Mr Rudd will resolve the problems of the homeless (which he once described as a national obscenity) by apologising to them.

Mr Rudd will save the whales.

Mr Rudd with Gillard's help will restore the unions to their former dominance of the workplace.

Mr Rudd will win the next election simply be following his credo that working class family votes can be bought.
:D:D:D

Only after he has asked for a report on all these matters.
Plus a senate enquiry, and possibly a Royal Commission.
 
OK, I'll have a go at a few predictions for 2010.

1. Another significant international financial shock during 2010.

2. Oil price $100 (USD) at the end of 2010.

3. Labor wins Australian election with a reduced majority.

4. Tasmanian state election does not produce a majority for either Labor or Liberal.

5. Concern about urban water supplies in the major Australian cities generally declines although problems remain, particularly in Melbourne.

6. Concerns arise about electricity supply in NSW, kept largely secret from the public until a conditioning process starts later in the year in anticipation of problems in 2011. ;)

7. Gold price in AUD rises by the end of 2010.

8. Broad stock market indices rise but provide lower returns than the increase in the price of oil.
 
My predictions for 2010
  • Labor wins Australian election with a increased majority (both houses)
  • Joe Hockey will be the next Liberal leader after Abbott's election thumping
  • Gold will break 1450 USD and 1700 AUD
  • Oil above 120 USD
  • SLF will trade above $10
  • HDF will trade above $2
  • MDL will trade above $2
  • I will have a great time in Honkers :)
 
I predict that bottle of shiraz will be finished by nights end :p:

I predict:

a) A severe hangover tomorrow

b) The members of several forums will now hate me

:batman:

:D:D

Ha ha, I reckon the second bottle is just being opened now... :)

:)

I was right, shiraz was verry nice.
Dowdy was right, bottle was empty before bed time.
Wayne was wrong, no hangover
DaveMAac was wrong, only the one bottle.


So all in all we achieved 50%, none too shabby.
 
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