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- 12 November 2007
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I think I've answered this in a few threads.
But
Trading ---Yes but only when in a bull market (Stocks and did exceptionally
in my book 2002-2007 ) or when I can get on a trend regularly
I have found the DAX best for this and provides enough when I trade it to be worth the effort.
So my brains are coupled to bullish conditions. So to I might add are the successes of many.
Business
Long hard slog but if you can become an expert people will beat a path to your door.
Once you get past $1.5mill T/O and about 6 staff you can start making more than a wage.
Your aim should be that your not self employed---but making far more than a decent wage.
This is a great opportunity to compound success. Plus you have the benefit of working for as
long as you want and as often as you want.
Property
Where I made most. Started in 95 and still develop to this day. Right place right time.
Sure it was luck but I also saw in 95 that buying a 4 bedroomed house for $95K with no cash down and
immediate positive gearing when I rented it out---that this was definitely---rinse and repeat.
Development stopped and buy and hold using equity was the theme.
Started selling off in 2003 and only hold 3 freehold now including my Business premises.
Looking for property for development now.
Id suggest over time you get to know all 3.
Yes, I have done pretty well trading the ASX over the last several years, excluding a rough patch over the GFC period. Developed a new system after the GFC and am now getting better results than ever. Have averaged around 62% pa over the last 3 years (using up to approx. 2x leverage). Last financial year made 88%. I made very close to double the income from my day job last financial year, so hopefully I may be able to give up my day job in the not too distant future.
Sam
All three are simply about numbers.
Less in more out. It's your job to be creative and to crunch those numbers
Then to put your plan in play and bank the profits from your numbers.
Best of all I'm a dumb ass----- repeated year 11 no tertiary education.
If I can do it ANYONE can.
More when we catch up Wednesday.
Sam wrong question I reckon. Its about what opportunity and path you can see.
For 10 years after I left school I was in the food industry. I started as a dishwasher/onion cutter/gopher and with a bit of luck and a lot of promises and enthusiasm I was part owner in the same place a few months later (it was a tiny broke sh!thole in the country). From there I spent 2 and a bit years working 7 days a week 14 hours every day for close to no money. Really it was more like slavery than a business owner on his way to great wealth. But it didn't matter. I could see a path to something much bigger in the future and as naive as I was and as tired as I was every morning at 4 am when the alarm went off I got up at hit the day with all I had because the opportunity I could see fills you with energy.
After that 2 and a bit years I sold the place and pretty much the next day moved to the big smoke and started to set up something much bigger, again with not much more than promises and enthusiasm. There was some massive obstacles to get started and then keep going but again it was the opportunities I could see that enabled me to keep going through the crap and make it work somehow. It worked after another few years I had a business that was shipping food all over the country and employed more than 30 staff. As it turned out the opportunities were greater than what I could see at the start. Probably too big for me. It turned out that I wasn't invincible and it blew up after 4 years and left me in a deep hole. After a bit of down time and rest I could again see what was my way out so started again. Long story short after a few years and a lot of build it - flip it I was back well above water but something funny happened.
As I went from day to day talking to customers and suppliers as I had for the previous 8-10 years I realised I could no longer see expanding opportunity. I was sitting in my office thinking where is this going to go? I realised nowhere! I was fighting just to stay above water. The landscape and my view of it had changed - dramatically!! That day I decided to get out completely.
That lead me to trading. And it was the same thing. I could see that there were great, no massive opportunities. The more I look the greater they seemed. That has kept me going for the last 10 years as a trader, stuck in his own little room in his house day in day out fighting the drawdowns and bad days/weeks/months. That sh!tty sick feeling as you put on the next trade that you don't want to but know you have to. Kept me fighting the bad moods at the end of the day after being shown by the market how dumb ar$e I am.... again. Fighting the nervousness of having a good month then stepping up size knowing that a bad week could give that good month straight back. The struggle of having to change markets and styles as movement and opportunity that matches slip away. The 10 years of "embracing uncertainty" has asked for a big price to be paid. But each day the screens get turned on with enthusiasm because I can just see a path that has great opportunity...... still!
The day I don't see it I know will be the day I walk away and get a "real job" and I know I won't look back because there is too much out there to waste time on something that doesn't reward you in some way.
So on to that bit about reward. I reckon most things that people excel at should start out as a hobby. Move to a investigation into the possibilities then if positive a full on assault into a quest for mastery. Once you start the last stage there is no question about "how is that working for others". It has already sucked you in and has hold of you. You can already see the path.
There is nothing wrong with having trading as a hobby for a long long time while you figure out your path. After all I think 99% of the people here are in that category. It is a problem though if its an excuse for not going out in the real world and searching for other more rewarding opportunities.
At some point though the "having another go at it" becomes more a stop loss move just so it doesn't get hit rather than a show of determination or a fight against bad luck.
You cannot walk down a path you cannot see.
The profits one can make from this outweighs most things(which is why it's hard to pursue something else and why it always comes back to "I really should nail trading, I owe it to myself with the effort from the time I've already put in and it trumps everything else".
There is a lot going for a business of trading.
There is a lot going for winning Wimbledon too but at some point you have to be honest with yourself and say my progress is just not up to scratch to achieve what I hoped for. Onto the next thing (job/hobby/or stuff it I like it but I'm just a spectator).
There is a newish concept in sports that is pushing the 10,000 hours to be an expert out the window. Its all about training response. How much does one individual respond in fitness (strenght, Vo2Max, speed etc) to a certain training load. Basically there are fast , average and slow responders. Not guys that train harder but guys that get fitter faster off the same load. Below is a chart of 15 people and the gain in watts per kg of body weight when cycling from the same training load.
View attachment 63552
As you can see over 100 hrs of training (4-6 weeks) some people respond more than twice as well as others and 50% better than the average. Imagine the difference after 5 years!
I’ve had some outstanding years trading, but also had some dogs, it’s a bit like that for many I think, and consistency and trading don’t really go hand in hand, so giving up the day job dream should stay as just that as the majority of us wont make it, mind you trading doesn’t have to take all day, im done in 5 mins each day and with smart phones and trading platforms I can set my orders and get on with other things, email alerts will tell me when I need to be checking orders have filled, stops are active etc
Tried Futures, stocks, commodities, forex, Options, CFD,s, you name it I have tried to trade it, the only one I have done well is Futures, simple, easy to understand and exchange traded.
These days I only trade Index futures, which is what I first started trading around 2000, should never have strayed elsewhere in hindsight, it’s the hand that fits the glove and im comfortable and relaxed about trading these instruments even though they are highly leveraged.
So I suppose eventually it worked out but it was a hell of a ride………
Good stuff Pager, thanks for sharing
What index do you trade and what style if you don't mind me asking? Good to hear about the different ways people go about it too
Purely mechanical and all positions (if still open) are closed when the exchange closes, so nothing held overnight, I trade 5 Index markets, Australia, 2 in Asia, 1 in Europe and the USA.
Most of the time I stumble along up a bit down a bit but every so often, hit a huge trade which makes up for all the others, usually comes when least expected, can be long waits between drinks though.
Excellentby mechanical you mean automated? What platform/system is that through? Sounds like you pretty much have the world covered!
Cheers for clarifying
Great stuff AlterEgo, was this actively trading shares or more of a research then sticking with one good one, more investing style? Or something else? Nice results
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