This is a mobile optimized page that loads fast, if you want to load the real page, click this text.

GCL - Gloucester Coal

It appears that GCL has recieved some good publicity lately - mentioned in Samrt Investor, and was there a positive report from UBS? Hadn't come across this stock until yesterday. Look promising?
 
Hi m_s, Yes! I have a certain way of putting it, a form of poetic code that makes you wonder if I did or not.

Hm good thing you did, it has gone crazy today alone!

Earnings and Dividends Forecast (cents per share)
2007 2008 2009 2010
EPS 22.8 28.3 153.7 153.6
DPS 14.0 15.0 68.0 75.0


thx

MS
 
It appears that GCL has recieved some good publicity lately - mentioned in Samrt Investor, and was there a positive report from UBS? Hadn't come across this stock until yesterday. Look promising?

Yep looks very positive

Gloucester Coal Shares Surge on UBS Recommendation (Update1)

By Jesse Riseborough

 
Still looking good are Gloucester coal and that's despite the tumble in the last week.
Like Felix Resources, there are major holders who can sit and make it very tough for any mining major to bid high enough - so, there's not that much chance of it happening at these heady prices that rely on the coal boom continuing.
I'm staying with them at present as they appear worth the gamble on coal prices staying high for the next 15 years, that's my opinion though, you may think otherwise.
 
Noble group have raised their stake in Gloucester Coal by 2% to approximately 21.7%. GCL remain weaker with the sector in the recent sell-off.
 
After recent declines and taking into account that Gloucester Coal is Merril Lynch's most favoured coal stock, in Australia. I've decided that increasing my holding was a reasonable bet. The semi-hard coking coal available at Gloucester is excellent for a relativaly small miner.
 

Nice, did you pick up any other coalies last week?

Earnings and Dividends Forecast (cents per share)
2007 2008 2009 2010
EPS 22.8 31.7 156.2 279.4
DPS 14.0 16.4 77.0 75.2




thx

MS
 
Nice, did you pick up any other coalies last week?
thx MS

This is the only coal stock I picked up last week, or added - some stocks look a bit uncertain. I'm staying with my usual five and praying for deliverance to the promised land of King Coal.
 
Added a few more shares on the back of the promising situation at Felix resources. The fall back in the share price may well have been overdone.
 
Added a few more shares on the back of the promising situation at Felix resources. The fall back in the share price may well have been overdone.
The price still continues to fall but I remain very confident in GCL. Added even more stock as the semi-hard coking coal agreement at US$300 per tonne should see profits rocket for 2009.
The bid situation has gone quiet and talk of a Gloucester Coal and Felix Resources tie up is all but dead in the water, and Xstrata who left the bid scene with their nose chewed off, are unlikely to show further interest.
 
Looking good are Gloucester Coal in this Australian Coal Summit report: http://www.asx.com.au/asxpdf/20080903/pdf/31c38rryxqprrf.pdf
http://www.gloucestercoal.com.au

Hi Noirua, thanks

Earnings and Dividends Forecast (cents per share)
2008 2009 2010 2011
EPS 28.7 166.3 256.0 273.6
DPS 21.0 76.1 110.9 128.1



thx

MS
 

Attachments

  • GCL.JPG
    93.5 KB · Views: 3
Hi m_s, The chart does tell a story as to the amount of aggregate being mixed into the ROM coal mined. Xstrata have now closed their open-cut mine at Ulan and now have a longwall operation only. So the chart forward to 2009 will reduce the operation at Ulan by about 40%, unless they solve their dispute with Felix Resources.

GCL are looking good for 2009 and profits forward into 2010 should bounce to around EBITDA $250 million on 4mtpa. 2009 has a mixed development cost factor but should still reach $130 million.
GCL are good payers of dividends which should reach 50 cents in 2009 and $1 in 2010.
 

Yep still looks good

Earnings and Dividends Forecast (cents per share)
2008 2009 2010 2011
EPS 28.7 180.1 250.7 284.3
DPS 21.0 76.0 140.5 123.0






thx

MS
 
Decided that I just had to buy a small amount of extra stock as soon as they went under $5.00. May be a gamble, but could not forgive myself if I failed to buy at this price.
Prospects are downgraded now in the light of financial events in America and Europe, but not this much, surely.
 
closed at $4.49 today forecast earnings of 76 and $1 plus for 2010 make this compelling research.
resisted several urges to dip my toe in the water and glad i have done so.Im only looking at stocks now that forecast returns above 20% !!!
 
closed at $4.49 today forecast earnings of 76 and $1 plus for 2010 make this compelling research.
resisted several urges to dip my toe in the water and glad i have done so.Im only looking at stocks now that forecast returns above 20% !!!
OK, yes, I bought more too soon, and resisted buying more yesterday. Will probably buy some more this morning or maybe not. The markets can be very confusing and it's is certainly difficult to buy more when the knife is falling.

No doubt buyers are going to ask for delays in coking coal deliveries, early price cuts, or even new contracts. That's what is happening with iron ore shipments.
These are binding agreements but bankrupt companies won't be paying for anything.

Aussie Dollar weakness leaves lots of leeway to drop prices
 
gee whiz $3.90 Im going yo have to buy a small amount and see if it drops lower.This market is presenting some wonderful opportunities for those who can hold their nerve. There is no logic for this other than people want their money out of shares.
 
gee whiz $3.90 Im going yo have to buy a small amount and see if it drops lower.This market is presenting some wonderful opportunities for those who can hold their nerve. There is no logic for this other than people want their money out of shares.

Hi yep its gone crazy all right

Earnings and Dividends Forecast (cents per share)
2008 2009 2010 2011
EPS 28.7 180.1 250.7 288.6
DPS 21.0 76.0 146.1 123.0


thx

MS
 
Cookies are required to use this site. You must accept them to continue using the site. Learn more...