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FER - Fermiscan Limited

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Couldn't agree more. I'm holding onto these (even though I'm behind at present). If the patient trial finishes as expected, these shares will be as scarce as hens teeth. Top 20 hold 80% last annual report, and I only see buying from substancial holder. If someone can find a more updated top 20, I would be most grateful.
 
This one made it onto AFR's top 20 picks for 2008. A positive move today in a sea of red. Ended up in an otherwise bad day.....
 
it's painfull to see fer so deep
i realy did think that the 90c mark was the bottem after the japan ann
but hey we are back in the 70's....
not that it realy matters to me because nothing is beeing ann that fermiscan is not going to happen
they are still going ahead with the all their commercialising plans and today ann was again a confirmation


i m hanging in there till i know the end of the trails
/or big boys are starting dopping out

in the mean time i will pick up the bargain

dyor

good luck to all holder
ciao
 
fermiscan was yesterday named 'Innovator of the year' and today we see the reaction with a nice rise this morning
i believe this is ''as for many stocks'' a turnaround from the lows backed with
a nice ann
'm happy i pick up a small piece at 70c

i believe there is many valueble stock at there at the moment and people
probably prefer a zfx-rio -bhp--big cap companies and but
to me this one is a very nice risk/award stock

very happy to be in this exciting journy of the fermiscan story

all the best to the holders
cheers

DYOR!
 

Where did you find that info from? Not on ASX (or I can't find it). Thanks in advance!...........................................
 
Sorry, I did find it. Watched the interview on Fox business (or whatever it's called). Very good exposure! Should imagine this should get a few newspaper stories too!
 
i got one for you Grace...
how about federal funding .....
looks like the fermiscan mob is seeing it big
and fast
well they have my support

dyor
 
drasicjazz said:
looks like i forgot to include
the article i was talking about
here it is
http://www.thewest.com.au/default.aspx?MenuID=158&ContentID=56241
Click to expand...

Fermiscan is definitely getting some coverage now. Would be very nice for the Govt to treat Fermiscan similar to the mammogramme in relation to funding (ie under medicare). We have the mobile breast screening clinics come to our rural town every year. Fermiscan surely would be very cost effective, and can be used on women under 40! Only 1200 results to come through, and I see in your news report, only expect that to take a couple of months. More accurate than mammogramme so far!
I see mention on the Fox Business video that only 6 weeks of hair regrowth is required (ie they must only need about 1.5cm). In relation to the treated hair problem, 6 weeks is not that long if women need to wait to keep dying their hair. They should be able to work through this problem.
I continue to hold.
 
hey guys,
anyone have thoughts on the recent price see-sawing. seems like we're really locked in between the 80-90c range.
perhaps we are due for some ann. soon.
 
with the overall market beeing well...
not good (understatement ...here)
i think fer is holding well
people who bought in don't sell and people on the siteline wait till more
stability comes it the overall market and waiting for more news
indeed more news is here the key
but we all know that we have to wait till about half way this year for the validation results
now all we can do is beeing patient
not hard just don't expect to see big moves untill we will get close to that date
and in the mean time --- if you are a big believer as myself you can always pick up some more
no rush yet

just my opinion
 
Thanks for your thoughts "drasic".
So if we project to mid-year and the trials are OK, how long before this things goes commercial? I can't seem to gauge anything from what I have read.
 
shaunm said:
Thanks for your thoughts "drasic".
So if we project to mid-year and the trials are OK, how long before this things goes commercial? I can't seem to gauge anything from what I have read.
Click to expand...

Roll out this year per all recent announcements. All tests are to be done within the next couple of months.
They have already made the test kit which will be the collecting mechanism which will be sent out to doctors.
 
grace.................................
always there to fill me in


where did you find out about the kits btw?
 
drasicjazz said:
grace.................................
always there to fill me in


where did you find out about the kits btw?
Click to expand...

I read it in an announcement last year (remember they were expecting a roll out by middle of last year - only running one year behind). They have had plenty of time to get those kits done. I also read EBIT of $90 million based on 1 million tests (that's from my memory too so you'll have to track that down to verify). So if they get only that little quantity, the SP is in for some serious up movement from where we are now. You know, I hope all of those impatient sellers who could not wait end up paying more for their shares to reenter this one, as I've said before, shares VERY TIGHTLY HELD and noone selling of the top 20 to my knowledge. Won't be too long now.....
 
yes you're right
90 for 1 milj test
and with a potencial of 100 milj mammograms annually...
... well we are still early in the process of this huge market potencial
but if results are as good as they are at the moment...
well eventhough is hard to put a timeframe on this
but 10% of that total woudn't be out off reach i gues
our i'm dreaming???????

anyway we can speculate about the SP ''IF'' the tests are in the same line as they are now

what would be a good P/E for a company like this??

any idea Grace?

not that i realy care ..more or less somehting to pass the time...
if the results are good than the people (who sold) will have to dig deep to buy mine to get back in

maybe an update on the present situation________________________


............and this is for a the other people for are looking for clues or conformation about FER

well 're are waiting for the testreults ( as Grace stated)(2000 people, with 800 confermed beter test results than mammograms)
result are expected half way this year

We could be in for a big gain ................


''IF'' reults are good...........


please DYOR and convince yourself if this risk is one you are willing to take



----------
 
drasicjazz said:
yes you're right


anyway we can speculate about the SP ''IF'' the tests are in the same line as they are now





We could be in for a big gain ................


''IF'' reults are good...........






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Click to expand...

re: SP. The price reached above $2.80 during the earlier stages when far fewer positive test results were available. Surely if remainder of trial goes as expected, well beyond $2.80 is a conservative guess at SP direction??? Im certainly trying to accumulate more of this at moment (may need to crack open the money box)
 
Market cap = $63 mill with a sp of 90cents (goodness me, they have $20 million dollars in the bank, so their fermiscan test only valued at $40mill at present!)

1 million tests gives EBIT at $90 million. If we get to 1 million tests per annum, could easily capitalise at $500 million. I would estimate a share price of at least $7 at that stage (based on earnings and increasing global takeup), but would appreciate comment. The question is, how long will it take to get to 1 million tests?

Good points
- last capital raising in March 07 was 15million shares at $1.50 raising a total of $22.5 million
- cash burn last qtr was $1.5million
- remaining cash at year end $22.5million - this should see it through the year until we are cashflow positive (THIS IS A BIG PLUS). No further dilution to shareholders this year.
- At March 07 top 20 owned 80.46% and a substancial holder has increased from 6.8% to 9.71% - so new top 20 could be 84%. This is a guess.....some others could have decreased/increased
-currently very low volume turnover (turnover of shares since Nov 07 has been next to nothing indicating people are holding)
- when (and if) we get good news, the price will increase quickly in my opinion
 
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