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I've certainly spotted various T/A patterns in a chart of water storage levels in the past.
It happens yes.
But I think it's illogical to infer from certain variable causing certain event to mean that if, say average world temperature, rises and does a "double top", it will mean the next x year will see temperature dropping down... why? because the chart pattern in stocks have always shown it will (with stock prices).
No it doesn't Luu, that is why I put a source reference to substantiate anything I say on my posters.Putting false claims in big writings on posters doesn't make it true.
Agreed and I'm not suggesting it does make it a cause.That doesn't make it the cause though
No it doesn't Luu, that is why I put a source reference to substantiate anything I say on my posters.
Did you fail to notice the contents of table 3, in section 3, of Cook et al.' s paper?But that's why it's false 'cause Cook et. al. didn't conclude what your poster said, or implied, they did.
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Agreed and I'm not suggesting it does make it a cause.
Likewise I don't see any evidence that a double top on a stock chart causes the price to then fall. The chart might tell you with reasonable accuracy what will happen but it's not the actual cause.
Did you fail to notice the contents of table 3, in section 3, of Cook et al.' s paper?
Sadly there is no guaranteed outcome for a pattern in a chart where there can be manipulation Luu. However in nature there seems to be a rhythmic repeated regular cycle once you know what the pattern is. Look back long enough and you will see a pattern emerging. I do it with stocks by looking back as far as I can on the chart. It tells me which stocks are being manipulated pump and dumps. They generally have a very rapid run up chart pattern, this always alerts me there is manipulation.
How is it wrong ?It's been a while Cynic, I don't remember.
But quoting that 66% of the research with "climate change" in the abstract holding no position on the causes of CC as a consensus on "human activities does not cause CC". That's wrong.
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Nothing's hidden. AGL operates the Loy Yang mine which is just outside Traralgon (Vic). Production is about 80,000 tonnes per day with a third of that sold to Alinta and the remainder used by AGL itself.AGL mining coal? Do they mine under another name?
But that's why it's false 'cause Cook et. al. didn't conclude what your poster said, or implied, they did.
Nice graphics though. What software do you use? CorelDraw?
No it's not Luu. "We find that 66.4% of abstracts expressed no position on AGW" Direct quote from the paper. I am very, very careful with what I say. I check my facts over and over before I speak.But quoting that 66% of the research with "climate change" in the abstract holding no position on the causes of CC as a consensus on "human activities does not cause CC". That's wrong.
So who or what is manipulating the crazy weather pattern?
Thanks Smurf, I wasn't implying it was hidden, I just had no idea AGL was a coal miner and was simply exposing my ignorance! Geez you know your stuff!Nothing's hidden. AGL operates the Loy Yang mine which is just outside Traralgon (Vic). Production is about 80,000 tonnes per day with a third of that sold to Alinta and the remainder used by AGL itself.
Oh wow Smurf....Now this Smurf prefers to call things as they a really are. There's one grid and one set of generating facilities. Shuffling the names around and who owns which bit creates a nice illusion that it's like buying apples in a competitive market but that's a very long way from reality. It's competition yes, but competition of the "everyone wins a prize anyway" variety so far as generation is concerned since that's the inevitable outcome in a system where you actually do need all the bits comprising it.
If the aim is to resolve all this then it really comes down to needing the administration to suit the engineering and not the reverse. ...
...Left to their own devices I'm very sure that the electricity industry could be rid of coal completely within 30 years and would have most of the job done within 20. With sensible planning and co-operation it's not at all hard to achieve that and I'm very sure that the private and government owned generators alike are up to the task from a technical perspective. They each have a role to play, and they've got a pretty good idea already what that is and where their company's strengths and weaknesses lie, so it just needs government to get out of the way.
Now that timeframe might not excite those on the "green" side too much, they'll want it done sooner, but let's face reality. There's no coherent policy or leadership from government and indeed there's outright obstruction. Despite that, assorted electricity generation businesses have between them worked out what and how to do it. Can't talk to each other about it of course but with a bit of trial and error and putting things in the media it has sort of been figured out that the mostly within 20 years / all within 30 years bit is achievable.
Now just imagine what could be done if government was actually on side and provided leadership? Or if the various generation owners were able to have open and frank discussions and come up with a joint plan without someone going to jail for doing so? That's where you start getting shorter timeframes and driving down costs as well.
The reference to Cook et al was simply to substantiate what I was saying Luu. If you read their paper, you will see the lie. It comes down to, lies, damn lies and statistics.
I am using Photoshop CS3.
No it's not Luu. "We find that 66.4% of abstracts expressed no position on AGW" Direct quote from the paper. I am very, very careful with what I say. I check my facts over and over before I speak.
What crazy weather pattern Luu? Frankly a temperature rise in the last 100 years of 0.74c is hardly what I would call 'crazy' unless you can identify a rise of temperature during the day of 0.74 of a degree yourself. I can only pick a rise in temperature of about 5 degrees during the day.
For someone claiming to have read the paper, you seem to be surprisingly oblivious to its actual content.I read Cook's et. at.'s studies before. They didn't say what your poster said they say.
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For someone claiming to have read the paper, you seem to be surprisingly oblivious to its actual content.
The phrase:
"We find that 66.4% of abstracts expressed no position on AGW"
Appears within the first two sentences of the abstract at the head of the "paper".
That 66.4% figure also appears beside a "No AGW position" label in table 3, within the body of the "paper".
Unlike yourself Luutzu, I have actually taken the time to study the contents of that "paper" before accusing another of having misrepresented it!
Which studies and from what University luu?Studies have shown something like the 15 the hottest years ever recorded happened in the last 17 years. some of California's worst drought and worst bushfires also occurred this century. By reports from their first responders, the fires are getting worst, stronger, more intensed.
Which studies and from what University luu?
OK luu, I think you have inspired me to create a new piece of work. I can see how people can be confused about "statistics".
I didn't write that "paper" - Cook et al. did!So "take no position" mean "taking a No position"?
How does that work?
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