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End of the China bull?

Most markets have some sort of limit down amount on stocks and futs. But this is being handled about as bad as it could be. If you did have holdings in stocks that still are trading you would be thinking of pulling out now while you can.....

Cheers TH. Why do you say it's being handled badly? Is it because they've left it too late to really do anything?

Also, is anything stopping them from implementing further stimulus?
 
Today on the news is all about China and it's crashing stock market. One commentator even said that chinese authorities are rising a question maybe there is some sort of manipulation and this needs to be investigated.
No one bothered about "manipulation" when stocks rose more than 100% in a year, but when they started to decline, suddenly this appeared as "not normal".

Today more than 1000 companies suspended their share trading, thinking that they will avoid further falls. The desperation for up trend to continue is so strong, that measures taken are anecdotal. They even think that throwing 100billions to buy shares will work and stop or even reverse a decline. When in fact no one is bigger than a market, and all those shares in a suspended state will open with massive gaps to adjust to the market when trading is enabled again.

Recent news that are floating in mass media usually appear only in two places-either at the bottom of the correction, or close to the Point of Recognition, which marks that the crash is only in the early stages. And from the technical perspective this makes sense-almost entire extended Wave (5) has been retraced, which is a norm. Prices are just a fraction from the area where the Bottom of the correction usually occurs, and if they find support here and rally, the crash should be postponed. Of course Chinese later say that "measures to protect the crash from happening worked", which in fact not, as market crashed already.

So from this point conditions and sentiment for a bottom are good, but if Market tanks below Wave (4) extreme of ~3100, consider that Chinese stock market is poised to go all the way to 1000.



 
No one bothered about "manipulation" when stocks rose more than 100% in a year, but when they started to decline, suddenly this appeared as "not normal".

This is a very good point. I guess when money is coming in, whether it be by way of cheap loans or 'increased valuations', everyone is happy and not too many questions are asked. But when people start losing money, then everyone starts pointing fingers at everyone else.

On another point, it is interesting to see China be so involved in their stock market. I mean, aren't stock markets supposed to be 'free'? A market isn't left to its own devices if there are constraints such as limiting the value of a share decrease to 10% a day, or implementing trading halts for the sole purpose of stopping a slide.
 
A post from the Chinese section of reddit (social media) about how this is being handled in China:


Full credit to notting for having picked this outcome :::
 

Well Tyler, lots of 'free' markets have limits too, agricultural futures for example have daily trading limits. The US are no strangers to jumping into plunging markets, Google "plunge protection team"

CanOz
 
Awesome they have commanded a 6 month bottom!!!


Now it's all in the hands of newbie small time retail investors.
I can stop taking acid my entertainment is well and truly back on!
 
Awesome they have commanded a 6 month bottom!!!



Now it's all in the hands of newbie small time retail investors.
I can stop taking acid my entertainment is well and truly back on!

We've got to remember the date!
 

No, they are not 'free'. Nor transparent. Nor fair. There are agendas at play by those who have the means and connections. Pick who they are and what they are trying to achieve and you can 'win' too.....until it all collapses. Start again with other peoples money.

All the players in a Ponzi are 'winning' on the way up. All markets are Ponzi's of one sort or another.

The US finally cracks under the weight of margin calls as well?

http://www.businessinsider.com/nyse-margin-debt-may-2015-2015-6?IR=T
 
Own 5% of a company or more? Well you can't sell!


Meanwhile, NYSE halts trading due to "technical issues"
 

On cue so far.
 

Lucky you can't sell your shares!

 
http://www.bloombergview.com/articles/2015-07-13/two-scary-charts-about-china



 

  1. If those foreign companies who were exposed to China go under, why would that affect China's bull run or ability to get back onto one?
  2. $1.3 trillion doesn't seem like a large amount of money, given that it is spread over so many institutions and countries

Really, it's amazing the lengths to which the CCP have kept their markets afloat: Rate cut + drop in reserves over weekend; force brokers to start buying; ban selling of ~30-40% of market by major shareholders for 6 months; ban any negative talk about the sharemarket. All this earning them ~10% increase in the space of a week!
 
Dictators doing all the buying today and 'the people' are doing all the selling!
It's been more mixed than that since they dictated the floor.
Looks like they will allow an orderly exit.
 
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