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- 28 December 2013
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I'll refrain from uploading backtest results as I don't have Norgate's “Platinum subscription” only the "Silver" & I didn't realise the huge difference between the results over a short period of time.
Interesting idea @Skate. So when this sentiment pre-condition is met, what are the buy conditions...a ranking of the stocks showing the strongest sentiment?
I use the VIX in combination with other indicators (probably about 4 in all). Mine are obviously not coded (big disadvantage, far more time consuming having to look at stuff) but you can still get there (even if you can't code) and have a pretty good idea what is going on. Obviously (or maybe not so obvious) you can use the VIX in both directions (as Mr Skate is doing). There is a significant amount of information contained in this (seemingly) simple indicator. Clearly from the posted backtests, the advantage is clear.
We can borrow ideas and indicators from anywhere and anyone but we must first accept them as our own in order to have the confidence to use them properly.
The reason the US VIX is more effective as a sentiment indicator is that the SP500 is a better representation of the overall US market than the XJO in the ASX. Our market is dominated by two sectors, financial and materials. Other industries aren't properly represented in the main indices.
View attachment 108079
How does the Daily Vix Strategy gets it's buy & sell signals
Before @TraderJimmy asks the question, let me explain the methodology behind the strategy. To get the buy & sell signals I've used a looping function to indicate when the VIX index is below or above its 50-day moving average over a series.
The buy & sell conditions (with filters)
When the "fear index" is coming down & is less than (10) we buy. Alternatively, we sell when the "fear index" is going up & is greater than (10).
Summary
The idea floated by @ducati916 is clean, simple & easy to implement. Accepting Duc's idea is one thing, adding it as a trading strategy is another. A thorough evaluation should be undertaken before trading this idea.
Skate.
@ducati916 I hear you loud & clear.Just responding to Mr Skate's thoughts re. 'sentiment'. Sentiment has no place in a trader's/investor's arsenal.
All posters contribute in their own particular wayI'm asking myself how can I contribute to ASF? Reminding you readers that I post to keep myself engaged, focused and on track with whatever trading activity I've decided to share.
Posters are always looking for inspirationFood for thought for some peeps I hope. Nowhere near as insightful as what @Skate usually provides but if it helps 1 person I am happy
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