- Joined
- 8 April 2008
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Re: CSS - Clean Seas Tuna
I thought I would provide a brief summary since my last posting
Firtsly, it is very hard to value CSS by any methodology at present. I had worked on valuations when I understood where they were with YTK sales and SBT propogation but I am no longer sure of what has been actually achieved in recent months.
The cap raising report highlights the growth rate of a "modest" number of SBT juveniles of 2kg over 200days. By my reckoning this translates to an optimum marketable size SBT( Sashimi ) taking 3 years to reach 20-30kg which is longer than I had been expecting.
Another question I have is what was the mortality rate of the juvenile SBT. They make no mention of this in any reports. I suspect it may be quite high which brings me to some other considerations.
1. They need to achieve spawning soon to have any chance of achieving their goal of 25K SBT as it will be essential for the fish to have reached sufficient size to transfer to sea pens before winter.
2. A recent article in the Port incoln times suggests they are struggling to have sufficent tanks ready in time for spawning and may have to rely on temporary tanks. This could lead to a higher mortality rate.
3. They will need a large number of YTK eggs to feed the SBT larvae. This could impact the YTK program and ,hence, sales.
I will continue to monitor the progress but I do believe the blue sky potentail for CSS has been lost. They needed to perform in accordance with their prospectus dated 2005. Had that been achieved they would be in SBT commercial production now. They are 5 years and many cap raisings( additional shares ) behind projection and in reality are looking at another 3-4years for the revenue to start rolling in, if they can breed SBTin sufficient quantities.
I am waiting on the sidelines for now as there is still a very long road to travel.
I thought I would provide a brief summary since my last posting
Firtsly, it is very hard to value CSS by any methodology at present. I had worked on valuations when I understood where they were with YTK sales and SBT propogation but I am no longer sure of what has been actually achieved in recent months.
The cap raising report highlights the growth rate of a "modest" number of SBT juveniles of 2kg over 200days. By my reckoning this translates to an optimum marketable size SBT( Sashimi ) taking 3 years to reach 20-30kg which is longer than I had been expecting.
Another question I have is what was the mortality rate of the juvenile SBT. They make no mention of this in any reports. I suspect it may be quite high which brings me to some other considerations.
1. They need to achieve spawning soon to have any chance of achieving their goal of 25K SBT as it will be essential for the fish to have reached sufficient size to transfer to sea pens before winter.
2. A recent article in the Port incoln times suggests they are struggling to have sufficent tanks ready in time for spawning and may have to rely on temporary tanks. This could lead to a higher mortality rate.
3. They will need a large number of YTK eggs to feed the SBT larvae. This could impact the YTK program and ,hence, sales.
I will continue to monitor the progress but I do believe the blue sky potentail for CSS has been lost. They needed to perform in accordance with their prospectus dated 2005. Had that been achieved they would be in SBT commercial production now. They are 5 years and many cap raisings( additional shares ) behind projection and in reality are looking at another 3-4years for the revenue to start rolling in, if they can breed SBTin sufficient quantities.
I am waiting on the sidelines for now as there is still a very long road to travel.