Australian (ASX) Stock Market Forum

CSM - Consolidated Minerals

Continued
"Here is another shady character who seems to be in cahoots with Gilbertson.

Victor Vekselberg.

Vekselberg owns Sual. Sual has just combined with RUSAL to produce the biggest alminium producer in the world.
He also own Renova. Renova seems to a company in which Vekselberg uses to acquire raw materials like manganese which are used to produce aluminium.

In the SMH article Vekselberg and Renova may invest in CSM via Pallinghurst.

I would say this is what will happen.

PALLINGHURST WILL SELL csm'S MANGANESE BUSINESS TO RENOVA AND MAKE A NICE TIDY PROFIT FROM THE DEAL.

Just wait and see.

In the meantime just check out this article about Vekselberg and the Renova group.

Tell me if you don't smell something fishy.
v
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Don't count your roubles

Nic Dawes, Stefaans Brümmer and Vicki Robinson



08 September 2006 07:56


Russian President Vladimir Putin was in South Africa this week for his first official visit with President Thabo Mbeki. (Photograph: David Harrison)
The R7,2-billion in foreign direct investment promised by the Russian investment group Renova may not be quite what it seems, documents detailing the financial structure of the deal suggest.

The most prominent among the business people accompanying Russian President Vladimir Putin on his first visit to South Africa was Renova chairperson Victor Vekselberg, Russia’s third-richest man.

Putin on Tuesday described Renova’s plans to build a ferrochrome smelter at Coega, and to link it to manganese mines in the Kalahari, as a $1-billion (R7,2-billion) investment in South Africa. On Wednesday, Vekselberg told journalists that investment in the smelter and mining operations would reach $1-billion over five years.

But documents and corroborating information obtained by the Mail & Guardian suggest that the total investment could be less than half that, and much of the money may come from local sources.

According to a 2004 Renova document obtained by the M&G, the Russian company estimated the total project cost to be between $300- and $400-million. Renova’s website gives the same figure.

The document envisaged that only a part of this would be Renova’s own money, saying: “Once a bankable feasibility study shall have been prepared, Renova shall undertake to arrange financing for subsequent stages of implementation … using all available opportunities and connections with major financing companies.”

In a document submitted to government last year, Renova committed itself to providing up to $50-million (R350-million) of project costs ”” again, until a “bankable feasibilty study” is completed. Chief among these initial costs is an estimated R276-million in prospecting expenses. This document is silent on the smelter.

The only mention of a $1-billion figure is in the 2004 document. It says that the “estimated … market value” would be $500-million to $1-billion. This is a measure, not of the investment needed to get the project up and running, but of its value once that has been achieved.

It appears that a locally based consulting firm, Bateman, may be doing much of the fundraising legwork. According to the Russia Journal, which has published a series of articles questioning the plausibility of Renova’s investment promises, Bateman has confirmed in a statement that it is helping Renova to raise the funds. “Cooperation with Bateman on this aspect will allow Renova to exploit financing opportunities for joint projects, including ‘Manganese of Kalahari’,” the company said.

Last November Bateman confirmed the agreement with Renova: “As Bateman is not only a process engineering company, but also experienced in structuring financing packages for global projects of all sizes, the [memorandum of understanding] will allow Renova to exploit financing opportunities for joint projects.”

In short, there is no guarantee that more than $50-million will flow from Russia into South Africa. The balance of the required investment, which could be anywhere between $350-million and $950-million, would have to come from local and international financial institutions, or a stock market listing.

How that would affect the 51% BEE shareholding in United Manganese of Kalahari, the company through which Renova participates in the manganese project, is not clear. But it would almost certainly dilute it.

According to Business Day Vekselberg and Russian Natural Resources Minister Yuri Trutnev also hinted that Renova subsidiary Sual, headed by South African Brian Gilbertson, and rival firm Rusal were interested in the stalled $2,7-billion aluminium smelter project at Coega.

The two firms are currently the subject of intense speculation over a possible merger, which, according to Russia watchers, may or may not be in the works, and may or may not have Kremlin approval. The smelter, seen as the anchor tenant for the Coega Industrial Development Zone, has been on hold for several years. Pechiney, the company originally expected to build it, dithered over a final decision and it has since been taken over by Alcan.

Vekselberg, who serves on President Thabo Mbeki’s international investment council, is among the Russian oligarchs who have managed to stay on the right side of the Kremlin. Members of the Russian media travelling with Putin pointed out that unlike other business leaders in the delegation, who were greeted with a perfunctory nod, he was granted a brief informal chat with the Russian leader and Mbeki.

Speaking at a press conference on Tuesday, Putin told journalists that trade and investment between Russia and South Africa ”” currently a miniscule R1-billion per year ”” had lagged behind the closeness of political ties between the two countries.

Certainly it was political business, from Coega to nuclear collaboration, that was at the forefront of Putin’s visit.

South Africa has agreed to source fuel for the Koeberg reactor from Russia until 2010. Hitherto, it has come from France. Further nuclear cooperation is also on the cards as Public Enterprises Minister Alec Erwin seeks to accelerate development in the local nuclear industry.

Public enterprises spokesperson Gaynor Kast said no alternative to the Alcan plant was currently being considered. “Renova aretalking about manganese smelters,” she said.

Continued next post
 
contnued
"lets look at CSM's saleable assets.

It has a profitable chromite mine.
It has a profitable manganese business.
It has a profitable nickle business.

It also has 32% Jabiru and the promising Jaguar project.


Pallinghurst is a private equity company Ok.

So how do these companies work?

well for one thing they look for diversified companies that have valuable assets that are undervalued by the company.

They then in theory build up the assets and sell em off.
OK
Sometimes however they don't build up the assets at all, they just sell em off.

Now what do think Gilbertson will do?


Gilbertson is saying he will add value to these businesses. In particular he is talking about doing deals and taking over managanese assets in South Africia.
He and Baxter are making a big thing of this at the moment.
He is saying sell me your company cheap and I will make it worth a fortune.

BUT WILL HE?????????????????????

Will he add value to the company?

You realise, if we give him our company he will get a 60% controlling stake which means he can do what he likes with the company.

He can completely disregard the needs of shareholders, if he wants to.

My question is this........

HOW DO WE KNOW, GILBERTSON WILL DO NOTHING TO GROW THE COMPANY AND JUST SELL IT OFF?????

the big question then is will Gilbertson add value to CSM businesses?

He says Arne Frandsen is some sort of great strategist who will acquire companies left right and center.

Well the fact is, his experience at Incwala Resources indicates he won't.

Baxter says Victor Vekselberg will invest money into expanding the company.

Well that is not true.

His experience in South Africia indicates that he is not interested in putting money into businesses and growing them.
Just acquiring them and taking what he can get out of them.

This is asset stripping operation just wait and see.

Unless Gilbertsen increases his takeover offer say to $2 and 2 for five shares, just tell him to forget it.

VOTE "NO" TO THE TAKEOVER. "

Good to see some shareholders who can see through this deal - VOTE NO
 
http://www.smh.com.au/news/cbd/rex-pays-off-for-expollie/2007/03/05/1172943357854.html

Gilbo accused

Brian Gilbertson might not have everything his own way in his private equity backed tilt at Perth's Consolidated Minerals.


Having run foul of everyone in recent years from Russian oligarchs to being ousted by blue-blood chairmen, this time the former BHP Billiton boss faces a shareholder revolt from the smaller end of town.
A website called "Consolidated Minerals takeover VOTE NO" run by small individual shareholders has sprung up, encouraging shareholders to let the company know what it thinks of Gilbo's offer.
"Vote No - as shareholders of Consolidated Minerals we are being ripped off and treated as fools," the website says.
"Yes, it would be good to have Brian Gilbertson's expertise on board as a shareholder but … he is stealing the company from us. The only way for us to get fair treatment is to tell them. Vote no!"
They don't have dissent like that in Russia. :D :D :D
 
for the chartist (and i am definitely not), judging from the ASX's graph, looks like its been on a upward trend for a while. and been observing that it is moving north slowly...
 
The post earlier from zen_machine on ( www.hotcopper.com.au) is right on the mark, read this story from www.minesite.com, Gilbo and his friend Victor with the SA manganese

MINESITE
March 12, 2007

Consolidated Minerals Confuses Its Own London Broker


By Our Man In Oz



Jump aboard the Gilbertson Express, or stand aside until the speed, direction and ability of the crew can be better tested. That’s the question confronting shareholders in Consolidated Minerals, a medium-sized Australian producer of manganese, chromite and nickel which has a strong London-following but which has become the latest tool of the multi-talented South African businessman, Brian Gilbertson. The announcement this morning that Numis Securities has decided to step aside as London broker to the company with immediate effect says a lot about the uncertainties being expressed by investors about this deal which seems to be more about Mr Gilbertson trying to put value into a South African manganese project for a Russian friend of his than coming up with a value adding deal for Consolidated Minerals. Numis Securities has long been involved with Consolidated Minerals and would have thought hard before making such a move. The directors of the company say they are talking to a possible replacement, but there are unlikely to be many eminent brokers in the queue.

Brian Gilbertson
If the people promoting the deal deliver on their promises ConsMin is set for a new life as a business with the potential to rival bigger miners. The copper and gold miner Oxiana is occasionally being whispered in the same breath as ConsMin, as is the even bigger Xstrata. But, while the potential seems to be there for a period of growth there are obviously nagging doubts about the way the deal is being packaged, and whether South Africa is really such a terrific place to commit part of your capital. As far as Minesite is concerned it comes quite high on the political risk list.

Nowhere are these doubts easier to measure than on the Australian Stock Exchange. Since Gilbertson, a man who once ran Billiton, then BHP Billiton, then the Indian miner, Vedanta, and now the Russian aluminium producer, Sual, launched his complex plan to restructure ConsMin the share price of the Australian stock has barely moved. ConsMin directors, who are supporting the deal, say it values each share in their company at A$2.28. But, since the day the scheme of arrangement was first aired, February 23, ConsMin has “rushed” all the way from A$2.20, up to A$2.44, and then back down to A$2.30 – scarcely a ringing endorsement by the market. And roughly the same performance has been seen in London sp perhaps the Gilbertson magic is wearing a bit thin.

A series of problems are confronting everyone involved. The deal seems to be (a) unnecessarily complicated, (b) appears to offer minimal financial incentive to accept, and (c) involves the injection of a smart new management team which has great ambition, but is yet to reveal precisely what it is it proposes to do with ConsMin. And then there is Gilbertson himself, a man of undoubted talent, but who rarely seems to stay in the one place for very long.

What’s happened so far is that ConsMin suffered a “man overboard” problem less than two years ago when it’s charismatic chief executive, Michael Kiernan, fell out with some young fund managers and went off to build a gold business. The people left in Kiernan’s wake have not inspired investors, and ConsMin, from being a market favourite, has limped into relative obscurity despite having some modestly attractive assets. Meanwhile, somewhere in Moscow, London, or Johannesburg, a plan was hatched to give ConsMin a shot in the arm, led by Gilbertson who formed a private equity business called Pallinghurst Resources.

The proposal is to create a new business which will be 60 per cent owned by Pallinghurst and its associate, the U.S. coal miner, AMCI, and 40 per cent by existing ConsMin shareholders. ConsMin chairman, and former BHP executive, Dick Carter, said in a letter to shareholders that ConsMin shareholders would “receive an attractive cash offer and scrip package” comprising A$1.38 cash for each ConsMin share and two shares in the new company for every ConsMin share they currently hold. Carter went on: “This values your Consolidated Minerals shares at A$2.28, representing a 32.6 per cent premium to the ConsMin share price of A$1.72 (being the price prior to the takeover speculation in October, 2006”.

It is at this point that the eyes of outside observers start to glaze over somewhat. Comparing a bid this year with a share price last year is a bit of a stretch, especially as ConsMin back in October hosed down any takeover speculation. Then there is the “what next” step, which is where a leap of faith is required because no details of what Pallinghurst and friends brings to ConsMin has been released. Rumoured deals include the possible purchase of a manganese project in South Africa owned by Russian Oligarch, Viktor Vekselberg, or perhaps other South African assets are on the radar screen. Manganese is said to be a favoured target, and South Africa the country of choice.

Carter said the deal would lead to a company with greater stability and security of earnings, accelerate expansion of nickel production, focus on delivering new projects and take advantage of “strategic growth opportunities in the manganese ferroalloys business globally and in new commodities.” But, precisely what those deals are will have to wait as ConsMin proceeds through a tortuous scheme of arrangement. Documents are due to be mailed out next month, with a vote taken of shareholders in May – making ConsMin today very much a work in progress. In the meantime it will be interesting to hear feedback from the roadshow proposed for London.
 
The "Investors Chronicle" UK edition, has advised investors to accept the offer for CSM. They consider that the new Management are more likely to send CSM in the right direction.
 
Talk about upside, what 40% share in the upside, what upside, we still have the same chickens in the chook house. Maybe the rooster (Gilbertson) will be crowing at 4am to get those lazy chooks off the eggs ( before they crack them even more) and out of the warm henhouse to scratch for some more scraps.
I reckon better to put a bomb under their butts and blow them out of the chook house permanently. Maybe that is what is needed, obviously the chooks don't give a damn about all us baby chicks !!!
 
I hardly think that the Investor Chronicle has done any indepth analysis to make the statement. They even value ConsMin at AUD$2.80 themselves.
Yes accept by all means but at it's proper valuation $3 -$4 /share not $2.28. That's for suckers.

"Consolidated Minerals, the Australian manganese and nickel miner, is to be taken over by former BHPBilliton boss Brian Gilbertson, along with AMCI, a large privately owned coal company. The deal values Consolidated at A$625m (£251m), or 92p a share, below broker Collins Stewart's 115p valuation. The Aim quote will be retained.



A former tip of the year at 111p (7 Jan 2005), Consolidated has yet to deliver. Perhaps Mr Gilbertson can inject new vigour. Accept. " :banghead:
 
AMCI have recently added 19.2% of Felix Resources at $5.00 a share to their coffers. They seem to be interested in mopping up a lot of Aussie mines.
 
I see on the Vote No website http://www.usail2.com/consolidated_takeover_updates.htm
Pricewaterhouse Coopers and ConsMin demand that all reference to the valuation of ConsMin be removed from the website. Good to see a CNM , UK shareholder helps out to post the info.
Management will go to any lengths to make sure shareholders are kept in the dark.
Its about time that shareholders realise that their about to be well and truly "shafted"
 
Rimtalay said:
I see on the Vote No website http://www.usail2.com/consolidated_takeover_updates.htm
Pricewaterhouse Coopers and ConsMin demand that all reference to the valuation of ConsMin be removed from the website. Good to see a CNM , UK shareholder helps out to post the info.
Management will go to any lengths to make sure shareholders are kept in the dark.
Its about time that shareholders realise that their about to be well and truly "shafted"

I must say, that Consmin and Pricewaterhouse Cooper seem to be unusually interested in a website that most other companies would normally ignore, in this situation. Who put them up to it I wonder? As it appears to be an error on their part, as it seems to have stirred up far more interest in the "NO" website.
 
Well it is easier to comply with the request than go to court and fight them. But they will find it very hard to stop the info from being posted on the internet, I already have offers from another 3 shareholders in other parts of the world who will post the info for the website to link to.
The management don't realise that by doing this, they have already raised the awareness of shareholders and others.
http://www.usail2.com/please_delete_page.htm
They want to shut me up, but there is a lot at stake, and I'm very determined to get a fair deal for shareholders. Don't forget to email the MD Mr Rod Baxter at rbaxter@consminerals.com.au and post on the bulletin board and have your say.
http://www.usail2.com/consolidated_takeover_opposition.htm
 
Looks like the management won't get their way without a fight, I have just started getting support from large UK Institutional shareholders, who are not happy either.
They are contacting each other now, so we may have a chance to get a fair deal, otherwise it will fall over.
Emailing the MD Mr Baxter rbaxter@consminerals.com.au and his side kick Mr David Brook is the way to go dbrook@consminerals.com.au
The more you email them the better. I do it every day.

Did you see the announcement Mr Richard Elman the CEO of the Noble Group has resigned as a Director effective immediately. WHY???
You want to WIN , you have to FIGHT.
 
CONSOLIDATED MINERALS* 93p BUY target 117p - Rival takeover offer potential as Elman (Noble Metals) resigns from board.

Manganese ore prices appear to have moved beyond our expectations (see article below)

+> It looks as if the prices published in the Metal Bulletin are some way behind what is being realised in China <+

The following price increase if applied to this year only adds US$10m of value to our NPV of the cash flows and equates to a 2p per share in our valuation.

If the manganese ore price increase is applied on a long term basis then this adds $143m (29p/s) to our valuation.

Sensitivity: a 20c/mtu price increase = $35m in NPV. A 20c/mtu increase = 7p/s

Note also that Richard Elman, who runs Noble Metals, has resigned from the board. Noble Metals is the trading house which sells ConsMins’ ores into China.

Noble Metals might look to make a rival offer for Consolidated Minerals and this could be the reason for Elman’s resignation.

If manganese and chromite ore prices in China are so far ahead of the UK published Metal Bulletin prices then consolidated Minerals might look far better value than we have been able to calculate on previous market information.


“A Chinese ferro-alloy news letter states the following:

Manganese Ore Price Has Increased by 25% This Year Manganese Ore

It is reported that international price of manganese ore has increased by nearly 25% since the end of 2006. Price of high grade manganese ore (Mn 48-50%) has climbed from USD2.5-2.7/mtu FOB to USD3.1-3.3/mtu FOB. According to producers, price of spots to be delivered in April has exceeded USD3.3/mtu.

A European major producer of manganese ore said that the price was around USD2.7/mtu half a year ago, and began to slightly inch up since September 2006. Entering December, supply of high grade manganese ore appeared to be tight, while demand has been increasingly powerful. It is reported that a major ore producer in Europe has even lifted up price to USD3.5/mtu recently.”


*Numis Securities is NOT a broker or advisor to Consolidated Minerals.
Numis Securities does make a market in the shares in the UK.
 
Rimtaly,

You wrote:

"*Numis Securities is NOT a broker or advisor to Consolidated Minerals.
Numis Securities does make a market in the shares in the UK.


Where did that come from? Numis WAS the UK broker for CSM.

Are they advising an alternate bid for CSM? Could that be the reason for Numis's 'resignation'?

Or have I got my wires crossed?
 
Funny that, eh? CSM's official line is that they'd outgrown Numis. Gimme a break. As far as I know, CSM has not found another UK broker yet. Why would they sack one broker if they didn't already have another lined up, especially at a time when they're trying to get a message out to their shareholders?
 
Rival ConsMin bid could be brewing: Numis www.miningnews.net

Paul Garvey
Sunday, 25 March 2007

CONSOLIDATED Minerals' long-time trading ally Noble Metals may be considering a rival bid for the diversified miner, according to Numis Securities analyst John Meyer.



Brian Gilbertson (left) with ConsMin managing director Rod Baxter and chairman Dick Carter


ConsMin's Woodie Woodie mine


Last Friday, Noble's representative on the ConsMin board, Richard Elman, tendered his resignation from the board with immediate effect.

While ConsMin said the resignation was "due to increasing demands associated with his position as chief executive officer of Hong Kong-based Noble Group", Meyer said a potential bid from Noble for ConsMin could have been behind the resignation.

"Noble Metals might look to make a rival offer for Consolidated Minerals and this could be the reason for Elman's resignation," Meyer said in a note released over the weekend.

Noble has handled the trading of ConsMin's products into Asia for several years, and is ConsMin's largest individual shareholder with a 5.52% interest.

However, Elman was a member of the ConsMin board that said it had unanimously recommended the current takeover bid – in the absence of a better offer – launched by a private equity syndicate headed by former BHP Billiton chief Brian Gilbertson.

Gilbertson's Russian-backed group Pallinghurst Resources, together with private coal miner AMCI, are offering $1.38 cash per share plus two shares in the new ConsMin for every five currently held, in a bid that values the company at $2.28/share.

ConsMin operates the Woodie Woodie manganese mine, the Beta-Hunt nickel complex, plus the Coobina chromite project, all in Western Australia.

Numis also pointed to a newsletter report about recent improvements in the manganese price – in which manganese prices are reported to have increased 25% so far this year – as further supporting a higher price for ConsMin.

"It looks as if the prices published in the Metal Bulletin are some way behind what is being realised in China," Meyer said.

"If manganese and chromite prices in China are so far ahead of the UK-published Metal Bulletin prices, then Consolidated Minerals might look far better value than we have been able to calculate on previous market information."

Numis had up until recently been ConsMin's long-serving broker and advisor into London, but the group stood down from those posts shortly after the Pallinghurst offer was announced.
 
Me thinks Rimtalay doth protest too much !!

Funny that comments used on the vote no website appear the same as Rimtalay's. Maybe some marketing attention being subversively drawn to the Usail2 website at the expense of real members of this chat site!!
 
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