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- 13 February 2006
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haemitite said:You continually focus on price cycles Ducati. Whereas a smart investor would look at key factors such as
- Spectactular consolidation of resource ownership. We will be seeing a lot more market discipline & "sensisble competition" in years to come
- Volumes are much higher as well as prices.
- A scarcity of new mines in the near to mid term (0 to 5 years)
- last but not least, the BRIC countries are hardly going to evolve using plastic.
the proverbial horse lead to water - and will die of thirstducati916 said:Considering point #1 viz. consolidation;
Monopoly, duopoly etc bring lowered profitability, counter-intuitive, but there you go.
Therefore, consolidation far from being a positive, actually becomes a negative.
jog on
d998
kennas said:Hi Canaussieuck, I noticed it mentioned elsewhere on the site that Nick Radge gave a sell on BHP recently. I think I recall you were signed up. Is that why you sold, or because of your own analysis. Just curious.
Chart wise, it has paused at $29.50 resistance, but the long term chart says it's probably going up, IMO.
I am also nervous, but perhaps it's unfounded? There is so much liquidity out there, it just has to find a home.....I have sold 3/4 of my portfolio the past 5 months expecting a sharp correction, only to see lots of potential gains lost.....perhaps the old theory of 'time in' the market, not 'timing', should be held up a little more.
Don't worry, here I am not ramping Chinese market. The average PE is 40+. Jim Rogers doesn't like. A one line contains "bubble" cause a minor correction. It is right back to its course, up, and up, to the record.Halba said:isn't chinese sharemarket fully priced? i mean their p/e's are much higher than ours!
hector said:One of the very few fundamentals I check is ex-div date -and I forgot to quit BHP friday
Instead of expected capital loss I get a dividend and a handy gain?
mmmmining said:It's funny, when I try to report a good news, the bad news follows right after. Chinese market crashed, big time. down more than 9%, I mean the whole -9%!!!
Almost 9 out of 10 stocks reached the daily down limit -10%! The only good news is damage to the energy and resources stock is not as serious as the others. Some of them hold a small gain over the first two trading days.
That explains why the Australian market down a lot in the after trading. I don't know what kind of implication to European and US market today.
mmmmining said:Yes, if you want to start one.
Chinese market is totally overvalued, but still about half-way of what Japanese market in late 80s. People do remember what happen to Japanese market afterwards. So tend to get out early.
It caused by extremely money over supply. All retirement and investment fund can only buy Chinese A share. But there is only limited number of A shares you can buy in China.
The crash is not a news, but just when....
canaaussieuck are you having trouble containing your excitement over the slightest possibility of a correction?CanOz said:Check out the "next correction" thread Mmmmmm
We might get to the Ducsters' valuation after all... I have a spot in my bottom drawer if so, until then just a piece of crap to buy and sell.BSD said:BHP down 4% in London on Chinese market falling
What a great opportunity to buy heaps. I hope the seppos flog it even harder.
Chinese A Market is a joke and has completely seperated from any economic reality
Did the market rally based on this tin pot index booming ?
What a wonderful opportunity
Its this comment i now regret canaaussieuck !!!!!constable said:canaaussieuck are you having trouble containing your excitement over the slightest possibility of a correction?
Freeballinginawetsuit said:Well that piece off crap made me significant funds recently. Certainly wouldn't like to open a large position on any old piece of crap.......interesting viewpoint though.
ATM BHP is copping a further flogging on the FTSE.......might be another opportunity to buy some more crap just around the corner
Crap can be very profitableFreeballinginawetsuit said:Well that piece off crap made me significant funds recently. Certainly wouldn't like to open a large position on any old piece of crap.......interesting viewpoint though.
ATM BHP is copping a further flogging on the FTSE.......might be another opportunity to buy some more crap just around the corner
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