Australian (ASX) Stock Market Forum

AQA - Aquila Resources

Thanks chom chom. Great article. UBS are advising everyone these days. Sounds like AMCI want full ownership of the ironore. They will need to pay full value. thanks
 
Lots of single digit trades this morning... looks like day traders are trying to drive the price down to buy at a bargain...

Is that bonus share given tomorrow evening? We'll see more movement after that :)
 
The bonus shares should just come onto or appear in your account. If your unsure contact the share registry
 
bonus shares will appear in your account automatically on the 29th May - this date is different to the record date.
 
http://www.theaustralian.news.com.au/story/0,25197,23718411-5005200,00.html

Aquila Resources (AQA); Southern Cross Equities; Buy recommendation; 12-month share price target of $16.80;
THE champions of Fortescue Metals are now waving the pompoms for Tony Poli's Aquila Resources as one of the next big things on the resources landscape. With coal in the Bowen Basin and iron ore in the Pilbara, it is easy to see why Southern Cross has decided to throw some research resources at Aquila for the first time. Just like Fortescue, Aquila has had a big run-up in its share price over the past 12 months, with investors sitting on gains of about 300 per cent. That is despite the fact that the company is still years away from bringing to life its West Pilbara iron ore play and achieving a targeted coal production of 10 million tonnes. "Aquila is at the early stage of a long-term growth story," Southern Cross analyst Robert Bishop told clients as the broking house initiated coverage of Aquila. "Currently earnings are modest, with only one coal mine in production. More significant earnings are five years away, as the West Pilbara iron ore project and the Eagle Downs and Belvedere coal mines crank up. However, as additional projects are de-risked through further evaluation, approvals and funding, and if the full potential of the assets is realised, we expect further value to be recognised." While Southern Cross has put an initial 12-month share price target for Aquila stock of $16.80, it adds that the shares would be worth more than $20 each if bulk prices remain high and development risks are overcome to support the broker's "upside case" for the company.

:)
 
Big fan of the medium - long term prospects of AQA and bought a while back, got my bonus shares etc... but chart is perhaps looking a bit toppy and AQA today was looking red against all the green despite an intraday high - wonder if its going to have a breather particularly with people selling bonus shares ? Will be watching the RSI - looks to be support/resistance at 61 so if it slips below this then could see weakness. For those that 'mind the gap' there's still one sitting there between $10.70-$11... would be snapping more up if it got back to those levels.
 

Attachments

  • aqa_ax14nov06_to_13jul08.png
    aqa_ax14nov06_to_13jul08.png
    12 KB · Views: 338
Bonus shares appeared in my account this morning! I thought they were going to be dispatched on the 29th May. Oh well, can't complain!
 
Aquila to Demerge Exploration Assets


Highlights:

• Demerger of Aquila’s exploration assets into a new listed vehicle, Aquila
Exploration Limited

• One new listed Aquila Exploration Limited share for every one existing Aquila
share

• Unlocking shareholder value through the recognition of Aquila’s exploration
assets in a separate listed vehicle

• Allows Aquila to focus on the development of its producing and advanced
development assets

Aquila Resources Limited (ASX:AQA “Aquila” or “the Company”) is pleased to announce its intention
to separate the Company’s exploration business from its production and advanced development
assets.
The separation will be effected by way of a scheme of arrangement, with the result that the exploration
assets will be demerged into a new separately listed entity, in order to unlock the underlying value of
these assets.
It is intended that Aquila’s current exploration assets, which principally comprise the southern African
coal, iron ore and manganese exploration interests, together with the wholly-owned Queensland coal
exploration projects, will be consolidated under a new holding entity, Aquila Exploration Limited
(“AEL”), which will be listed on the Australian Securities Exchange.
 
New article about the split:
http://www.theaustralian.news.com.au/story/0,25197,23748567-5005200,00.html

Aquila's new billionaire gets ready to split

EVEN though he is Australia's newest billionaire miner, Aquila Resources boss Tony Poli says he has no qualms about starting the dream over again.

But he isn't splitting the company he founded for personal ambition -- it is designed to give investors a better idea of the potential of Aquila and its long-term future in coal, iron ore and manganese.

Yesterday, Poli revealed that what was once a single company will now become two, as Aquila divests its exploration assets stretched across two continents into a new vehicle called Aquila Exploration.

Others call it Aquila Mini Me.

The demerger announcement, which is by way of a scheme of arrangement and expected to be completed in November, was lapped up by the market with investors adding a cool $240 million to the growing market capitalisation of Aquila, which yesterday stood at $3.82 billion.

Poli owns 30 per cent of the company. Investors will be given one share in the new vehicle for each share they own in Aquila Resources.

The parent company will retain the more advanced projects, such as the $3.9 billion West Pilbara iron ore project, a 20 million tonne a year operation due on stream by about 2012, and the Eagle Downs, Belvedere and Isaac Plans coal projects in Queensland.

Apart from getting all the exploration rights to Aquila's assets, Aquila Exploration will house a collection of grassroots coal, iron ore and manganese projects in southern Africa and Australia.

But Aquila Resources isn't going to leave its junior partner in the lurch, giving it $20 million so that it can hit the ground running.

"In terms of Aquila Exploration, we've been very successful in the past in driving value with limited funding," Poli says. "We're not raising any money. Therefore existing shareholders won't be diluted down.

"It's also an opportunity for us to recruit new people and incentivise them from a much lower base."

Poli says there is little value being put on the exploration assets in Aquila's share price. The Washpool and Red Hill metallurgical coal projects in Queensland, to be housed in Aquila Exploration, should have resource statements delivered to the market shortly.

"What I was getting at when I was presenting the company was that there were too many projects for people to get their heads around," Poli says. "It's easier to talk to investors when you can have a focus on what is the developing assets and what is the exploration assets."

Poli declines to reveal what he thinks would be a fair indicative value on the new vehicle.

"The scheme documents will have an indicative value on Aquila Exploration and then obviously the market will make up its own mind what it thinks it's worth."

As you would expect, Poli shies away from making any noise on his growing personal fortune. "I'm still the same person; nothing has changed," he says. "I'm still sitting here in my jeans and my $20 shirt."

I like the idea but I'm really curious about what the price of one "Aquila Mini Me" share will be? More or less 1$? Anybody wants to guess?
 
as there are around 205 million shares on issue - a $1 price for Aquila exploration would value the newly listed entity at around $200 million - reasonable I think if you take into account the sheer potential of their tenements
 
Another bullish article this morning in the Australian Financial Review "Street Talk" section.

Aquila moves into predators' sights.

Aquila Resources' decision to spin off an exploration arm and Arcelor-Mittal's move on Macarthur Coal have only heightened the takeover speculation hanging over Aquila.

[...] In Aquila's case its half share in a possible 30 million tonne a year iron ore operation makes it even more attractive, particularly to growing iron ore businesses such as Anglo American and Vale.
The move by Aquila on Friday to spin off its early stage project as Aquila Exploration has been read by some as a precursor to the sale of the iron ore and coal development projects.
Given Macarthur founder Ken Talbot has indicated he is ready to cash out of his coal investment, it's not unreasonable to think the boards of Aquila and Felix may do the same.

Good times ahead for AQA... :D
 
Another good day for AQA and another good article from AAP The Ferret.
AQA is getting more and more coverage.

Nothing new here, but a good summary :)

Market investors should have been rightly excited after news on Friday from Aquila Resources Ltd (ASX:AQA) that the company will spin off part of its business. 26/05/2008 11:00AM AEST

Market investors should have been rightly excited after news on Friday from Aquila Resources Ltd (ASX:AQA) that the company will spin off part of its business through a one-for-one share arrangement in a new, separately listed company called Aquila Exploration (AEL).

After the initial scramble for Aquila shares, they settled 97c higher at $15.45 on a turnover of 468,531 shares, well above the average daily volume over the week.

The company will separate the exploration business from its production and advanced development assets into Aquila Exploration in order to unlock the underlying value of these assets.

The company's current exploration assets, which principally comprise the southern African coal, iron ore and manganese exploration interests, together with the Queensland coal exploration projects, will be consolidated into Aquila Exploration.

Subject to shareholder, court, regulatory and other approvals, the demerger process should be completed by the end of November, with the record date for determining an entitlement to AEL shares likely to be in the fourth quarter of this calendar year.

Owing to foreign regulatory requirements, certain overseas shareholders will not receive shares in AEL.

The AEL shares they would have been entitled to receive will be sold under a sale facility and the proceeds provided to them.

Aquila's board believes that the separation of the exploration assets from its production and advanced development coal and iron ore interests will create a business with independent strategic, operational and investment objectives that is capable of responding quickly and effectively to future opportunities for strategic growth.

This will result in a greater focus being brought to the appraisal and development of the exploration assets, which are arguably ascribed little or no value by the stock market at present.

As part of the demerger process, AEL will be provided with cash resources of about $20 million to enable it to continue its aggressive exploration in Australia and southern Africa.

Following the demerger, Aquila Resources will continue to be well funded with cash and liquid investments of about $200 million.

This will facilitate the further expansion and development of its Australian-based iron ore and metallurgical coal projects, comprised primarily of its interests in the Isaac Plains coal mine, the Eagle Downs coal project (formerly known as Peak Downs East), the Belvedere coal project and the West Pilbara iron ore project.

SHARE PRICE MOVEMENTS

*********************

Shares of Aquila Resources on Friday shot up 97c to $15.45.

Rolling high for the year is $15.65 and low $5.27. No dividend was paid last year. Earnings per share was 43.8c and p/e ratio 35.27. the company has 205.8 million shares on issue with a market cap of $3.1 billion.

Aquila Resources executive chairman Tony Poli calls the carve up of the company's assets the birth of a new Aquila.

Aquila said the separation of the exploration assets from its producing and developing coal and iron ore interests would create a separate business with its own strategic objectives better able to move quickly and capitalise on new assets.

The new company's exploration assets will include coal prospects in southern Africa and Queensland, and iron ore and manganese plays in South Africa.

The key coal exploration prospects to pass to Aquila Exploration include the Bowen Basin, Washpool and Red Hill projects in Queensland, the Waterberg prospect in South Africa and the Asenjo project in Botswana.

Aquila Resources will retain its more advanced Queensland projects including Eagle Downs and Belvedere ' both at pre-feasibility stage - and its producing coal mine, Isaac Plains.

In iron ore, the West Pilbara iron ore project will also stay with Aquila Resources.

The initial share price of the company will be determined via the scheme arrangement documents based on asset values.

"We won't be raising any funds so there will be no dilution to shareholders, so there's no fund-raising accompanying the demerger," he said.

"And we're very confident the market will appraise the assets based on their prospectivity."

Mr Poli also said he expected Aquila's joint venture partner at the Belvedere coal project, Brazilian miner Vale, would acquire the entire operation within the next two years.

He also said should any of Aquila Exploration's projects progress to feasibility stage or beyond they will remain with the new company.

It's been a momentous month for Aquila shareholders with the company also announcing a bonus one-for-five issue of shares as a result of the positive pre-feasibility study for the West Pilbara iron ore project.

The bonus issue recognises the significant progress that the company has made with the development of its iron ore initiative, which began in early 2004 when Aquila decided to expand its raw steel materials interests to include a strategy in iron ore.

In addition, the free entitlement is intended to encourage greater liquidity in the company's shares, which in turn should improve the likelihood of the company being included in the ASX200 or 300 Index.

The entitlement has been issued for nil consideration and was distributed to existing shareholders earlier this month.

The shares are now trading on an ex-entitlement basis.

BACKGROUND

**********

Aquila Resources Ltd joined the Australian Stock Exchange on June 29, 2000, as a minerals exploration company mainly focused on coal and iron ore exploration and the production of coal from the Bowen Basin in central Queensland.

The coal interests of Aquila Resources are comprised of joint venture and wholly owned projects in the Bowen Basin, together with wholly owned projects in southern Africa.

Aquila Energy (S Africa) (Pty) Ltd was formed in South Africa during 2007.

Aquila Resources holds a 50 per cent stake in the Isaac Plains coal project, in which it is targeting a 15-year mine life with annual production of 3.8mt (split 75pc metallurgical coal and 25pc thermal coal).

Production is expected to ramp up to 3.8mt over the next two years. The first coal was shipped in November 2006.

The Belvedere underground coal project has a hard coking coal resource of 2.7bn tonnes.

It is the subject of a detailed exploration study by Companhia Vale do Rio Doce (CVRD) into the potential for the establishment of an 11-12 Mtpa longwall operation.

Aquila Resources currently owns 50 per cent of the project.

The Peak Downs East underground project is 50 per cent owned by Aquila with the potential to produce hard coking coal.

CVRD announced in February 2007 that as part of a broader transaction with AMCI, it has acquired the 50 per cent joint venture interests previously held by AMCI in the Isaac Plains coal mine, the Peak Downs east underground coal project and various other exploration projects.

The company's joint venture interests has benefited from the technical and financial capability demonstrated in CVRD's extensive mining interests around the world.

In other projects Aquila has a 100 per cent interest in 3,013 sq kms of coal projects including Washpool, Wilpenna, Duaringa, Spring Vale, Mt Krocker and Speculation Creek.

It has another 50 per cent ownership of another 3,040 sq km of projects include Exevale, Kingower, Horse Creek and Isaac River.

Aquila Resources commenced exploring for iron ore in the Pilbara region in January 2004.

It was recognised early on that there are two main types of iron ore deposits mined in the Pilbara that should form the priority targets for exploration - banded iron formation (BIF) hosted hematite and hematite-goethite deposits, enriched to form bedded iron deposits (BIDs), and goethite-hematite channel iron deposits (CIDs) comprising detrital iron-rich material transported into tertiary river systems and preserved in paleodrainage channels.

Aquila Resources's iron ore projects cover 11,000 sq kms in the Pilbara region and include Mt Elvire, Red Hill, Yalleen and Mt Stuart.

Aquila holds the rights to minerals other than iron ore and diamonds over 32 exploration tenements covering an area of 5,545 sq kms in the Pilbara region.

The API JV acquired the tenement package from De Beers in early 2006.

The Mt Elvire project tenements are at an early exploration stage with no significant previous exploration or reported occurrences of minerals other than iron or diamonds.

Aquila's exploration objective is to identify targets within the tenement package prospective for the discovery of a stand-alone mineral deposit.

The commodities targeted include manganese, gold, silver, uranium and base metals.
 
Nice run today, went up to $17.95 but then selling pressure and closed at $16.85

Where from there now?
 
Increase of 1.211 Billion tonnes of coal to the
Resource Statement for the Belvedere Coal Project
to 3.866 Billion tonnes



Aquila Resources Limited (“Aquila” or “the Company”) is pleased to announce a significant
increase to the resource statement for the Belvedere Coal Project (“Belvedere”), in which the
Company has a 24.5% interest.
SRK Consulting was commissioned to provide an independent evaluation of the Coal Resources of
the Belvedere Coal Project.
The purpose of the evaluation was to provide:
• An objective assessment of the Coal Resources in accordance with the
Australasian Code for Reporting of Exploration Results, Mineral Resources and
Ore Reserves (JORC Code), 2004, for public reporting;
• A qualification of the potential utilisation of the Coal Resources within the mining
leases considering all aspects affecting the recovery of the in-situ Resources. The
benchmark for this estimation is the Australian Guidelines for Estimating and
Reporting of Inventory Coal, Coal Resources and Coal Reserves, 2003
The total Indicated and Inferred Resources for Belvedere is 3,866 Mt, including 1,526 Mt of
Indicated Resources. This represents an increase of 1,211Mt of coal from the initial
Resource statement which the Company reported in June 2005.
 
June 10, 2008

Aquila Resources: The New Fortescue Metals?

By Our Man in Oz
www.minesite.com

God, almost certainly, did not make a second Andrew Forrest. Mr Forrest is Australia’s larger-than-life multi-billionaire founder and major shareholder of the iron ore miner, Fortescue Metals Group (FMG), which started shipping to China last month. While the thought of a Forrest clone is rather alarming, it’s not stopping the hunt for a replica. Australian investors are “touching the cloth” of anyone who might make them a Forrest-like fortune by selling commodities to China.
One contender, who hates it when a comparison is drawn, is a low-key Perth accountant-turned-miner, Tony Poli. On a personal level, Poli is most un-Forrestlike. On a corporate level, the comparison is compelling, right down to Poli’s new-found focus on iron ore, his position as dominant personal shareholder in the company he runs, and his grand plan to build a mine, railway and port. It mirrors what Forrest has just achieved at FMG most uncannily.

Aquila Resources is Poli’s company, and the West Pilbara Iron Ore Project the plan which might create a business to rival FMG. Embryonic as it is, Poli’s vision is at roughly the same stage as FMG was at in 2004. Lots of talk and not a lot to show, yet. Over the next few months that will change for four simple reasons. Aquila has an iron ore resource which is expanding rapidly. China wants it. China is reported to have agreed to a 95 per cent iron ore price increase with Rio Tinto, and Poli has a reputation for delivering on his promises.

If all goes well, Aquila will emerge with a half-share or more in a project costing US$3.9 billion to build, which is about the same as FMG spent. The start-up annual export target is 30 million tonnes of iron ore, to be shipped from a port Aquila will part own, and delivered off its own railway – all “do it yourself” similarities with FMG. At current iron ore prices, and assuming a production cost of US$20 a tonne, the Aquila project will earn an annual profit before tax, financing and accounting costs of US$1.3 billion. And that’s for starters. If the Rio Tinto price increase is real, Aquila (and FMG) will make even fatter profits.

Like the FMG of four years ago, the Aquila plan is heady stuff. But, unlike FMG which had few believers, Aquila is attracting believers like flies around a Pilbara barbecue. From a standing start of A21 cents four years ago Aquila’s share price has soared to recent trades at A$15. In fact, that 7,000 per cent rise would be double at 14,000 per cent but for the fact that Aquila has undergone a one-for-one share split, and made a series of one-for-five bonus shares issues, including one last November and another last month. In theory, that means Aquila shares on a pre-split, and pre-bonus basis should be trading at closer to A$50 than A$15. Followers of FMG, which made a 10-for-one split last year, have noted how Aquila is adjusting its capital structure in a similar way. To put the two companies into perspective, FMG is currently valued on the ASX at A$27.5 billion. Aquila at A$3.6 billion.

If the mining plan and capital structure bear similarities, the personal touch of Forrest and Poli on their respective companies is an even greater parallel. Both men live in Perth, the epicentre of the Australian end of the global resources boom. Both are in their forties with young families. At FMG, Forrest owns a commanding 36 per cent stake, valued today at A$9.9 billion. At Aquila, Poli owns a 31 per cent, valued today at A$1.1 billion. That seems a long way behind Forrest, but so is Poli’s iron ore plan. In four years time, and assuming China still wants raw materials, there is every chance that Poli will be on the same level of personal wealth as Forrest today.

If all this sounds somewhat outlandish, consider the latest iron ore price rise and a forecast made yesterday by the chief economist of the stockbroking arm of Australia’s biggest bank, Commonwealth. Craig James said that the resources boom would lift Western Australia up to the position of Australia’s second richest state despite having just 10 per cent of the country’s population. Dramatic expansion of the iron ore and other resource industries has seen the WA economy expand by 50 per cent over the past five years while the economy in the most populous state, New South Wales, has expanded by 17 per cent over the same time.

Other parallels include Forrest starting his business life as a stockbroker, before going nickel mining with the creation of the ill-fated Anaconda Nickel. Poli worked as an accountant before going gold mining with the creation of Eagle Mining in association with the even more low-key Charlie Bass, the almost silent shareholder in Aquila. Forrest’s adventure in nickel ended in turmoil. Poli’s gold venture ended with a fat cheque when he sold the business, and its Nimary Bore discovery, to Joe Gutnick’s Great Central Mines. It was that deal which taught Poli a lot about how to play on the corporate stage.

After Eagle, Poli tried to buy the Ernest Henry copper and gold mine from the failed Pasminco, missed out, and then successfully sued the receiver because Poli could prove that he had made the first, and equal, bid. While that five year court case dragged on Poli also went coal exploring, starting in 2001, a time when no-one wanted the stuff. Discovery followed, as did the introduction of joint venture partners, and more dealing in assets. First partner was an American investment group called AMCI. Next came the big Brazilian, Vale. Corporate manoeuvres ensued but essentially Aquila has received a series of big cheques from Vale and fallen out of love with AMCI in a dispute which is eerily similar to what happened with Ernest Henry.

Meanwhile, far from courtroom, Poli has found time to add iron ore to Aquila’s portfolio in joint venture with AMCI – which should make for some interesting meetings. He’s also stepped out across the Indian Ocean into South Africa where Aquila has reported encouraging discoveries of iron ore and manganese. It also found coal in Mozambique, but sold it to Riversdale. Three weeks ago, the Aquila story became even a little more complicated when Poli announced the latest “division” of the company, not on a share split basis, but by announcing the spinning out of most exploration assets into a new business called Aquila Exploration, and the retention of some Queensland coal, and West Pilbara Iron Ore Project.

Now, we wait. Poli says the US$3.9 billion West Pilbara project could be in production by 2012. But, there’s also little doubt that he would prefer to take this big step with a joint venture partner, as he has always done in the past. That points to one enormous difference between Poli and Forrest. Poli, despite the plans on a Forrest-like scale, is a far more cautious man. He is very much the accountant with an eye on value-creation in careful bites. Forrest wants to consume the lot at one sitting. But, when boiled down the objectives of the two men are remarkably similar, as is their location, chosen commodity, background, personal interest in the company they run and an astonishingly positive economic setting, replete with ravenous Chinese demand for raw materials.
 
what a great article!

AQA up over a dollar yesterday and nobody says a word - its funny, even on a great stock forum site such as this and people still chase the penny dreadfuls - each to their own
 
what a great article!

AQA up over a dollar yesterday and nobody says a word - its funny, even on a great stock forum site such as this and people still chase the penny dreadfuls - each to their own

Hi ima, do you think CDS is a penny dreadful or hopeful?

thx

MS

------------------------------------------------
 
Haven't had a look at CDS yet - running like a freight train today - will do a bit of research tonight
 
Haven't had a look at CDS yet - running like a freight train today - will do a bit of research tonight

yep also AVA today. Btw AQA still doing ok :)

AQA - Earnings and Dividends Forecast (cents per share)
2007 2008 2009 2010
EPS -6.6 1.4 32.8 32.5
DPS 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0


thx

MS
 
Top