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Below is the latest forecast from the US stat site 538. Looking like the Trump army is going to surge back to power in the house and senate. The loss of the house seems to be a foregone conclusion, but I don't think either the democrats or republicans will accept a loss in the senate - so could get very interesting (unless one party ends up gaining 2-3 seats and its a clear defeat) to see which races end up going to court and when the ballet stuffing/electronic machine hacking/manual count debate gets reignited. I think if the dems lose the senate Biden and Kamala are 100% gone from the 2024 ticket (Hilary v Trump 2.0? )
There has been a lot of talk the past few years of the polls undercounting right leaning votes - Bolsonaro obviously did far better than expected in Brazil recently. Will the trend continue in the US?
There has been a lot of talk the past few years of the polls undercounting right leaning votes - Bolsonaro obviously did far better than expected in Brazil recently. Will the trend continue in the US?