Australian (ASX) Stock Market Forum

AGL - AGL Energy

Now's the only time since the ousting of Andrew Vesye I've contemplated putting a dollar toward this company.... but it's a long road back. So much so many oppertunaties squandered. If only I had the foresight, the billion$, the contacts/network, the Will......
 
AGL to accelerate the closure of Torrens B station nearly a decade earlier than planned.

Nov 24 (Reuters) - Australia's AGL Energy Ltd (AGL.AX) on Thursday disclosed plans to shut down its gas-fired Torrens Island 'B' power station in South Australia in June 2026, having closed the final unit at the 'A' power station just a few months ago.

The country's top power producer said the decision to shut down power station 'B', which commenced operations in 1976, was made after consulting stakeholders such as the South Australian government and was done in part due to the company's transformation of Torrens site into a low-carbon energy hub.
AGL in September flagged the closure of the final 'A' station unit at the Torrens Island site and said it will begin the decommissioning process, which involves the removal of all liquids and gases from the plant.
Separately, AGL unveiled plans in September to spend up to A$20 billion ($13.46 billion) on renewable energy by 2036 and bring forward its exit from coal-fired generation by a decade.

The first of the four power-generating units at the station had been deactivated in October 2021, and AGL expects all units to be retired by June 30, 2026.


These closure plans are not expected to have a material impact on underlying profit in fiscal 2023 or over the longer term owing to the economic viability of the station, the company added.


I do hold.
 
Some quick maths, MCB initial position at $8.62 (5.67m + 19.1m shares) were worth $653m and at current share value $7.86 is now worth $595m.

On the flipside, as AGL is a nice dividend company
@ $0.10 - $7.58m
@$0.20 - $15.16m
@$0.40 - $30.3m
@$0.50 - $37.9m
@$0.60 - $45.4m

Masterstroke ?
 
Still in the box seat as the Government ties itself up in knots more and more, now that the major competitor has gone green, it opens more avenues for AGL to leverage its market position and close plants when it suits as opposed to when they are told.
I expect some serious announcements by the end of 2023 regarding the East Coast electricity supply and I'm hoping they are a positive for AGL. But I've been disappointed before, however still hold on a purchase price of $6.05, so still in the black.
 
Still in the box seat as the Government ties itself up in knots more and more, now that the major competitor has gone green, it opens more avenues for AGL to leverage its market position and close plants when it suits as opposed to when they are told.
I expect some serious announcements by the end of 2023 regarding the East Coast electricity supply and I'm hoping they are a positive for AGL. But I've been disappointed before, however still hold on a purchase price of $6.05, so still in the black.
There are several factors that could potentially impact the advance of AGL Energy's share price. Some potential positives for the company's share price include:
  • Strong financial performance: AGL Energy has a strong track record of financial performance, with consistently high revenues and profits. This could increase investor confidence in the company and lead to an increase in its share price.
  • Diversified operations: AGL Energy has a diverse range of operations, including electricity generation, gas exploration and production, and retail energy sales. This diversification could provide the company with a degree of stability and help to protect it from fluctuations in any one particular area of the energy market.
  • Government support: The Australian government has implemented a number of policies and initiatives to support the renewable energy sector, which could benefit AGL Energy as a major player in the industry.
On the other hand, there are also several potential negatives that could impact AGL Energy's share price:
  • Competition: AGL Energy faces competition from other energy companies in the Australian market, which could impact its revenues and profitability.
  • Regulatory risks: The energy sector is heavily regulated, and changes to regulations or government policies could have an impact on AGL Energy's operations and financial performance.
  • Environmental risks: The energy sector is also subject to increasing scrutiny and pressure to reduce its environmental impact. If AGL Energy is perceived as not taking sufficient action to address environmental concerns, it could negatively impact its share price.
It's important to keep in mind that these are just a few of the potential factors that could impact AGL Energy's share price, and the company's actual performance may be influenced by a wide range of other factors as well.


Cheers,


CanOz
 
Big jump in rice today. ?


Energy giant AGL is expecting to more than double its earnings in the coming year on the back of a sharp recovery in wholesale electricity prices and improved reliability across its coal-fired power stations following a spate of costly breakdowns in 2022.
After slumping to a $1.1 billion loss in the final six months of last year, the electricity and gas supplier, which is responsible for 8 per cent of Australia’s greenhouse gas emissions, delivered upgraded full-year profit targets on Friday morning.
 
Can't believe it, 1 year since the last post. AGL has turned it around, Short term EMAs above Long term now and has been stronger than XAO for the last couple of months.
Highest close for over 6 months on Friday with good volume.

1719126808151.png
 
Can't believe it, 1 year since the last post. AGL has turned it around, Short term EMAs above Long term now and has been stronger than XAO for the last couple of months.
Highest close for over 6 months on Friday with good volume.

View attachment 179174
not only turned around but, for once, the asset strippers didn't get hold of it..
 
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