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A1M - AIC Mines

Down 56% today... ouch, would have been a perfect candidate to short.

LOL they opened at 19c - with all that cash, crazy stuff...IAU now trading at 2008 prices.

(3rd-January-2008) Intrepid closed at 34 cents today, so a great day for people like me who got in at 24 just a few weeks ago..

Intrepid has so much going for it as i posted previously.

IAU go u good thing.:bananasmi
 
Wouldn't be surprised if there was a decent dead cat bounce that could have been traded.

Having said that, this is a really bazaar situation. How could this company be blind sided like this from a JV partner that you would think actually wants to take the project forward. There's got to be an ulterior motive here.

Considering these events, I don't know how much work the JV partner could be doing on the forestry issues that prevent them from mining the bulk this deposit anyway.


And:
I've consulted my legal team from Get a Grip and Sons and they have advised that I should be quote 'quaking in my boots'. They are working on a detailed defence against this very dangerous comment.
 
Wouldn't be surprised if there was a decent dead cat bounce that could have been traded.

There's 50% just today from 19c open to 30c high. I managed to get in at 20.5c and closed at 24c. Could have trailled the second part a lot better than I did. Oh well.

My guess is that the motive is either higher % ownership, or something nationalistic / protectionism agenda. Interesting to watch it unfold as long as you are not a holder.
 

Can I ask a noob question - what would cause that dead cat bounce? the news is very uncertain so why would people start buying again today?

Thanks
 
Can I ask a noob question - what would cause that dead cat bounce? the news is very uncertain so why would people start buying again today?

Thanks
Just cash backing is 25c or something.

Plus, it has about 200m ounces of gold equiv in the ground or so and still owns 80% or something.

So, dead cat = oversold knee jerk.

Potentially.
 
My guess is that the motive is either higher % ownership, or something nationalistic / protectionism agenda. Interesting to watch it unfold as long as you are not a holder.

As happens in the developing world, id say the new majority owners of the JV partner want to "renegotiate" their participation...why because its their country and they can.

Can I ask a noob question - what would cause that dead cat bounce? the news is very uncertain so why would people start buying again today?

Thanks

The sellers are either very uncertain or certain they they are uncomfortable holding so they sell.

The Buyers are comfortable buying in the hope of a short term fast trade or just comfortable with the level of uncertainty at that price.

From memory 19c was support back in the dark days of late 2007 - but IAU is a totally different (much better) proposition now.
 
Anyone else sus about why they have so specifically refer to being in compliance?

 
Anyone else sus about why they have so specifically refer to being in compliance?

Because its going to end up in the courts...under Singapore law i believe, lol assuming that's legal in Indonesia...i have a feeling that the Law in Indonesia wont give a flying F*%k about the Law in Singapore or any decision a Singaporean court makes that wont be binding in Indonesia.

What has been factored into the share price today is that the Tujuh Bukit project is gone.
 
Just from the March quarterlies

IAU cash on balance sheet: 139

Expected Quarterly Outflow: 15.6

Cash = 123/
526m shares
=$0.235 cash backing as of 31st June

Slightly less now for working capital costs
 
Just from the March quarterlies

IAU cash on balance sheet: 139

Expected Quarterly Outflow: 15.6

Cash = 123/
526m shares
=$0.235 cash backing as of 31st June

Slightly less now for working capital costs

As a beginner, can anyone explain the significance of this cash backing calculation?
 
As a beginner, can anyone explain the significance of this cash backing calculation?

Basically if themarket cap for a company is trading below cash backing it means that the market thinks that the only thing this company will do is continue to spend money and never get any projects off the ground.

If you were to buy the stock below cash value it means that you are getting every other project they are working on 'for free'.

So it just depends as to if you think their projects have potential to generate income or be re-rated once again by the market
 
Just from the March quarterlies

IAU cash on balance sheet: 139

Expected Quarterly Outflow: 15.6

Cash = 123/
526m shares
=$0.235 cash backing as of 31st June

Slightly less now for working capital costs

Earmark $10-20m or so for legal costs...

As a beginner, can anyone explain the significance of this cash backing calculation?

Sometimes the share price reaches a "floor" at the cash backing... as you can imagine a scenario where the company simply abandon the project, dissolve the company and give the money out to the shareholders. Although in reality it rarely happens so the cash backing is further discounted as shareholders don't really have a say in accessing it.
 
Although in reality it rarely happens so the cash backing is further discounted as shareholders don't really have a say in accessing it.

Yes. Much more likely is that the company will cut their losses and move on to some other prospect/project. Everyone keeps their jobs that way!

 
So, it took them this event to actually look a little deeper to find out who they were co owners of this deposit with.

Surely they could have made this search the day after they found out the ownership had changed?


It's taken a month.
 
Anyone understand this deal with the Indonesian investor? Have they just given him 5% of the company for NIL consideration? In the hope that his influence in government et al will drive the sp up to where he automatically gets handed a bunch of shares? Like 25m of them or something. They are his once the company gets to $1.00 by the look, so $25m. I'm confused.
 

Seems that's the price of doing business in Indonesia..!
 
Seems that's the price of doing business in Indonesia..!

yes sink the place or impose a quarantine around it. nothing good has come from it in recent memory. remember east timor....30yrs of terror.
b better when we have a few more yank millitary bases as long as australasia doesnt get screwed out of its antartic territories.

its just a transit route to rort australia, ie drugs, guns and economic 'refugees'.

i assume its greed that pushes risky ventures there like iau. hopefully west africa doesnt go down the same route.
 
Wouldn't be surprised if there was a decent dead cat bounce that could have been traded..
Perhaps not so much a Dead Cat, but some certainty coming back to it's prospects. 20c back to 35c in 9 days.

Amazing that you have to hand over 5% of your company like this just to stay in the game.
 

Your rant could include almost any south east asian , south american, african, eastern european, former soviet, or a plethora of pacific islands, Oh and arab countries as well, remember the wheat for oil deal ..
That's just the way it is in these countries, so when investing in these places, it's worthwhile remembering that you can loose the lot, but if you know the game, it's possible to survive and thrive in these places, as a few of the biggest gold mining companies in the world today have proven in places like, let me see, oh yeah Indonesia..!!!
Everyone knows it's corrupt, at some stage you have to pay a price...!!
 
Perhaps not so much a Dead Cat, but some certainty coming back to it's prospects. 20c back to 35c in 9 days.

Amazing that you have to hand over 5% of your company like this just to stay in the game.

I'm Surprised your amazed Kennas...you have worked in Central Africa and travelled extensively, you have seen crazy up close and you should know that crazy doesn't stop at street level it just continues on up the money chain, corruption greed and power perverts these people, in these wild west (anything goes) country's.

Indonesia is what less than 1 decade out of one of the greatest (worst) dictatorships in world history.
 
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