Australian Federal Election - 2022

[Knobby22]

It will be earth shattering for labor, if the Coalition win, I've never seen an all in election like this one.

I have never seen Lib supporters so disappointed. I have family members inside the party and I can tell you they aren't thrilled.

I think they can hold the ground in QLD and maybe WA due to the local media being on their side and no independent media except the ABC but NSW will be nasty imo.

 

[sptrawler]

I don't think there has been an election where the policies have been so thin, but I don't think you can blame Labor for doing that after the last election. They are obviously going for the minimalist strategy , matching the Coalition's vote grabbers and throwing in a few of their own.

If Labor don't win this time then as you say they will be shattered because what else could they do ?

I personally can't see how they can't win, but I think there are a lot of people saying nothing, they will be the ones who decide it IMO.
I go for a walk in the mornings and listening to what people are saying to each other in general conversation, I'm a bit surprised with what i hear. Not a large representative group, but it is interesting, as Knobby says it may just be a W.A thing.

 

[moXJO]

Saw an article that basically said that if Josh Frydenberg gets voted out this election. Then expect Dutton to take over the libs leadership.

Albo isn't really convincing at this point. His nerves are very noticeable.
Scomo is the opposite, wants it too much to the point of desperation.

 

[SirRumpole]

Saw an article that basically said that if Josh Frydenberg gets voted out this election. Then expect Dutton to take over the libs leadership.

Albo isn't really convincing at this point. His nerves are very noticeable.
Scomo is the opposite, wants it too much to the point of desperation.

Maybe Dutton will go too.

 

[sptrawler]

Maybe Dutton will go too.

Maybe they will all go?

 

[SirRumpole]

Maybe they will all go?

What they need is renewal. Josh, Scott, Dutton, Taylor , Stuart Robert, Tudge et al are basically useless.

No doubt some will hang on but if Labor gets in I expect quite a number of by elections in Liberal seats afterwards.

 

[sptrawler]

What they need is renewal. Josh, Scott, Dutton, Taylor , Stuart Robert, Tudge et al are basically useless.

No doubt some will hang on but if Labor gets in I expect quite a number of by elections in Liberal seats afterwards.

If you think about it, the media is indicating the highest profile Libs are going to get the chop, why wouldn't it be obvious that the lower profile ones will also.

 

[SirRumpole]

If you think about it, the media is indicating the highest profile Libs are going to get the chop, why wouldn't it be obvious that the lower profile ones will also.

The media aren't interested in the small poppies.

 

[Ferret]

I'll be glad to see the current Liberal government gone, and Morrison in particular.

That said, I'm apprehensive about a Labor government, particularly the likes of Bowen, Shorten, Keneally and Plibersek calling the shots.

To my mind, the best result would be Labor forming a minority government with support from sensible independents. I'm in Warringah and quite happy to give my vote to Steggall again.

I'd like to see the Liberals become a bit more moderate and be a party I could vote for again in the future. Unfortunately, it seems a lot of the moderate Libs might be gone after the election, so the rebirth I want to see is going to take a few terms.

 

[IFocus]

I think they can hold the ground in QLD and maybe WA due to the local media being on their side and no independent media except the ABC but NSW will be nasty imo.

I think the Libs are gone in WA at least 3 seats IMHO still we will find out soon bit over the election BS TBH

 

[sptrawler]

I think the Libs are gone in WA at least 3 seats IMHO still we will find out soon bit over the election BS TBH

The Libs have no presence in W.A, Hastie might do o.k in Mandurah, but I wouldn't be surprised if the rest are wiped out. ?
Really looking forward to it, as I've said earlier, we need a change of Govt, it has been all a bit hum drum for the last three years.

 

[IFocus]

The Libs have no presence in W.A, Hastie might do o.k in Mandurah, but I wouldn't be surprised if the rest aren't wiped out. ?
Really looking forward to it, as I've said earlier, we need a change of Govt, it has been all a bit hum drum for the last three years.

This is worth playing with to check seats Hastie looks fairly safe

Antony Green's election calculator - Federal election 2022

The Federal election calculator is loaded with the pre-election margins for all seats. Enter a national swing, select state by state swings, or choose one of the stored opinion polls, to see the result that could be produced by the chosen swing.

www.abc.net.au

 

[sptrawler]

This is worth playing with to check seats Hastie looks fairly safe

Antony Green's election calculator - Federal election 2022

The Federal election calculator is loaded with the pre-election margins for all seats. Enter a national swing, select state by state swings, or choose one of the stored opinion polls, to see the result that could be produced by the chosen swing.

www.abc.net.au

Hastie seems middle of the road decent guy, had a talk with him today at the early voting place out next to the hospital, when I took the daughter up there to to do an early absentee vote, she came down from Perth to drop the grandkids off.
In and out two minutes, what a winner.

 

[PZ99]

I predict ScoMo will win but will also catch another covid meaning he won't be able to give his victory speech and John Kunkell will live to fight another day

 

[sptrawler]

Who is John Kurnkell, when he's home?
I just read this headline and the first thing I thought was, did they inform Albo and he just forget. ? This election is becoming hilarious.

https://www.smh.com.au/politics/fed...nths-before-announcement-20220514-p5albm.html

It shows how well Australia is doing, when the the election is funnier than the comedy festival IMO.
You have Albo trying not to lisp and Scomo trying not to sweat, what a hoot you couldn't write this $hit. ?
Scomo saying back off with the lights I'm sweating like a pig and Albo saying "who is the smart ar$e who put so many SSes in the speech".
Australia you've just got love it.
Hang on I think the cancel committee just knocked on my front door, back in a minute.

 

[Smurf1976]

culture war stuff setting people against against each other

One of the greatest problems facing in Australia in my view is that this has permeated right through society.

Even among friends and others I see face to face there's quite a few I wouldn't dare say even the slightest political comment to these days as they're just so highly primed on the whole thing.

Morrison didn't light that fire, it was already burning, but he's thrown and awful lot of fuel on it.

My view is that the only thing that'll fix it is not simply a change of government but a crisis. A proper, real crisis that sees Australians demands action not words.

Crisis?

I mean a major and prolonged one. Economic most likely but if not that then something else drastic enough that the population demands a strong leader who makes things happen.

To be clear I don't wish for that in the slightest but I can't see Australian politics improving until such a crisis arises and the lack of leadership we have is ultimately pushing us toward it. When nobody's steering the ship well you can't necessarily predict what it runs into but you can predict that it ends up running into something sooner or later.

 

[SirRumpole]

One of the greatest problems facing in Australia in my view is that this has permeated right through society.

Even among friends and others I see face to face there's quite a few I wouldn't dare say even the slightest political comment to these days as they're just so highly primed on the whole thing.

Morrison didn't light that fire, it was already burning, but he's thrown and awful lot of fuel on it.

My view is that the only thing that'll fix it is not simply a change of government but a crisis. A proper, real crisis that sees Australians demands action not words.

Crisis?

I mean a major and prolonged one. Economic most likely but if not that then something else drastic enough that the population demands a strong leader who makes things happen.

To be clear I don't wish for that in the slightest but I can't see Australian politics improving until such a crisis arises and the lack of leadership we have is ultimately pushing us toward it. When nobody's steering the ship well you can't necessarily predict what it runs into but you can predict that it ends up running into something sooner or later.

The basic problem as I see it is ideology.

Ideology doesn't work all the time, and the best leadership are people who recognise that and aren't afraid to implement policy of 'the other side' when the evidence is that it will work.

 

[wayneL]

It's going to be interesting in my seat of Hasluck, there is Buckley's chance of anyone outside of Liberal or Labor getting the lower house seat, but there is heaps and heaps of interest in the freedom parties... Don't know how much of that turns into votes but we shall see.

I think the sitting Liberal member will go down to be honest, Wyatt has been virtually invisible until the last two or 3 days. ( And the mongrel still hasn't answered my emails)

The upper house might be a different story and I wouldn't be surprised to see some minor Party senators.

That remains my hope, that there is a healthy and sensible crossbench (not the Teal heathen though)

 

[sptrawler]

It sounds as though Josh Frydenberg is done and dusted.

Frydenberg appears set to lose Kooyong – but he's not under threat because of the budget, or the economy

No one really thinks voters in Kooyong are turning against Josh Frydenberg because of the state of the economy. He's under threat because of where his government, and his prime minister, have taken politics in the last three years, writes Laura Tingle.

www.abc.net.au

 

[sptrawler]

In all the time I've been on this forum, this is the quietest I've ever seen the run up to the election, where is the banter, the rah rah, the sledging? What is happening, is it that beige an election, or are people just not sure which way to roll?