- Joined
- 27 December 2010
- Posts
- 1,729
- Reactions
- 48
CCP - debt collection with a business model that appears to be growing smoothly. Management are serial underpromisers & over deliverers.
FGE - Large rise in SP over the last 2 years has caused this to be a substantial holding. I think there is growth left, especially with the recent acquisition.
ARP - excellent long term record. Leveraged to the mining boom but not entirely so.
These three business all have low debt, high ROE.
Well,
1) CCP is still there for me and my reasons still stand. Its earnings momentum has slowed over the last 12 months or so, but it has been investing solidly and has a few irons in the fire with the carefully carried out US expansion and also the lending operations. No reason for me to sell yet, and the yield on purchase price is nice.
2) RFL. This one has big frustrating yet educational experience for me. Selling when I thought it was expensive, only to re-buy later after realising I had made a mistake. Exposed to the financial services sector which I think has some favourable trends helping it over the next decade at least. Sticky recurring revenue with strong clients (big 5) gives me confidence in the earnings stream. Thanks to springhill for bringing my attention to this one (albeit a lot earlier than when I finally purchased!)
3) DTL. The third entry is not exactly in the top 3 by exposure (yet), but I intend on it being there soon. Price has been getting smashed due to earnings falling short (very short) of recent periods and on managements guidance. DTL has positioned itself to benefit from the eventual turn-around of the IT business cycle. The downside risk is that IT has forever changed and DTL's services are no longer relevant to the modern business consumer, obviously judging by a 3 year chart on DTL there are many that subscribe to this phenomenon, however I am no longer one of them.
Removals:
- Selling ARB corp was a difficult decision for me. Its a fantastic business but I felt that it would be facing some strong headwinds over the coming years. So far those winds have been blowing, but ARB has been performing soundly - this could prove to be a big mistake for me.
- FGE, well that doesn't need too much explaining. With the help of SKC, during my early days learning about fundamental analysis, my attention was drawn to the decline in quality of FGE. I was fortunate enough to be out early at ~$6.30 from memory. Since exiting the business got far more complicated with its increased size, that combined with the headwinds of the industry prevented me from even considering re-investing when it became cheaper.