scsl said:Since closing 66% above the IPO price in its debut in early June, Wotif.com's sp has continued to rise. Today's close of $4.33 means that investors who were lucky enough to get some shares in the float are up 117% - in just 6 months!
As the leading provider of online accommodation booking services in Australasia, the per annum total online accommodation sales in Australia figure is very important for Wotif – which takes a commission on the value of the accommodation booked. The calendar year 2005 value was A$789 million, with the compound annual growth rate at 42%. I think there is no reason why high growth won’t continue in this sector. The following is from their 2006 annual report:
Wotif.com believes that the online channel will continue to experience strong growth by attracting customers away from traditional sales channels. It is considered that the convenience, product range, transparency and value provided by the online channel are driving a structural change in consumer behaviour in the sector.
Furthermore, online penetration in Australia stands at 8.5% of total accommodation turnover, compared with (separate) estimates of 22% and 28% for the United States, which suggests that Australians have been slower to embrace such online facilities.
I think Wotif must at least maintain or improve its market dominant position (36% of the Australian accommodation online-booking market) to ensure competitors do not gain negotiating power with regards to inventory. Also, competitors have already mimicked Wotif’s superior site layout. So if Wotif is complacent, they could lose market share – which is why focus on brand recognition will be vital for the company.
I'm interested in others' experiences and thoughts on this company. Who’s been accumulating? Is Wotif to pricey at the moment? Thoughts on organic growth, entering new markets?
Cheers,
scsl
Julia, I understand that a low dividend may put investors off buying its shares, but isn't this expected of a company that recently raised capital by way of an IPO? Ie what I'm trying to say is that wouldn't it make sense for Wotif to retain as much of its earnings as possible to finance any expansion plans they might have (hence raising capital in the first place)?Julia said:Hello SCSL:
I've been watching this company. If it didn't have such a low dividend, I'd definitely be buying.
Julia
Julia said:Hello SCSL:
I've been watching this company. If it didn't have such a low dividend, I'd definitely be buying.
Julia
MS, WTF's high P/E ratio and thus 'big' sp may mean a low dividend yield but I'm not sure what you mean in the second bit. From my understanding, doesn't a high dividend payout ratio mean a higher dividend amount, relative to the dividend received under a low payout ratio?michael_selway said:It has a low dividend because it has a high PE, because it actually has a high payout ratio.
That's what I would have thought also.scsl said:MS, WTF's high P/E ratio and thus 'big' sp may mean a low dividend yield but I'm not sure what you mean in the second bit. From my understanding, doesn't a high dividend payout ratio mean a higher dividend amount, relative to the dividend received under a low payout ratio?
stoxclimber said:He was giving a round about way of saying that they pay out a large amount of earnings - its just that its a low % div yield because the PE is so high.
scsl said:Up 5.2% today! It's now risen more than 10% in 9 trading days.
The market depth on Commsec shows a serious lack of sellers. Will this continue?
WTF has really surprised me... I thought that after touching $4.40 intraday on Monday, that investors would begin to take profits and take the sp down to about $4.00.
Fast growing companies trade at a premium to the overall market in terms of P/E ratio. They 'deserve' to trade at higher multiples as earnings growth is expected to be relatively higher.michael_selway said:thing is PE wise its nearly 50 atm, why is it so high?
Earnings and Dividends Forecast (cents per share)
2006 2007 2008 2009
EPS 8.1 10.7 13.9 16.8
DPS 7.1 9.3 12.5 14.3
thx
MS
stoxclimber said:He was giving a round about way of saying that they pay out a large amount of earnings - its just that its a low % div yield because the PE is so high.
And these comments about dividends e.g. Julia are irrational. You live off your dividends? There's a really easy way to get a dividend - sell shares! And you get the money in 3 days...
Don't thank me, thank finance theory!
If you have some issue about seperation of your trading capital and your income, I point out that it is irrational.
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