- Joined
- 23 June 2009
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Why is the US dollar getting weaker?
Huge trade and budget deficits + QE (Quantatative Easing). Low relative real interest rates, after risk is taken into account.
Although all things considered it's really not doing too badly.
I like this article posted today
Opening statement is good:
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“Why do empires wane? They wane because they get excessively indebted and their growth rate slows, especially when their debts are to foreigners. This was the British experience, and the Spanish experience, and the French experience. And the US is there right now. That’s what tends to kill empire.”
~Niall Ferguson, Harvard historian on CNN’s Fareed Zakaria GPS
In these tumultuous times, I prefer historians over economists. Economists, with their malfunctioning models and cozy Wall Street relationships, have been abysmal at economic predictions in recent years.
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The $US has a long way down to go yet.
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