wayneL
VIVA LA LIBERTAD, CARAJO!
- Joined
- 9 July 2004
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cogidubnus said:My wife died last month and I am sad. You people are good to talk with Thank you
Very sorry to hear that cog'
cogidubnus said:My wife died last month and I am sad. You people are good to talk with Thank you
OR ..........work hard at finding another good horse and work on finding another buyer. That is called making your own luck.wayneL said:So, what if my friend bought a different horse, what if that horse was injured early in its career, what if she had a career ending injury and sold that horse to somebody else before anyone knew how brilliant it was?
What if those yanks went to UK looking for horses instead of Oz?
Hard work is indipensible, and yes you can create situations where luck may find you....but it is still luck.
Never underestimate it.
cogidubnus said:My wife died last month and I am sad. You people are good to talk with Thank you
wayneL said:How's this for a story... bad timing, bad business, or bad luck?
I used to be in the furniture manufacturing game. One of my contemporaries was a Polish immigrant who came to OZ in the 60's and started a business making budget kitchen chairs in his father in law's garden shed.
The business grew over the years and in the mid eighties he was running a 50,000 sqft manufacturing plant in QLD... a big "small" business. He was doing very well, had the big house, latest high end merc etc etc.
The late 80's heralded in the previous housing boom which resulted in a big increase in demand for his product; he couldn't keep up with orders. So he decided to build on another 15,000 sqft of factory space, invest in more machinery, hire more people.
Well we all know what the late 80's early 90's heralded in too don't we? Those big interest rates and "the recession we had to have".
So just as he substantially increased his standing overhead, his sales dropped to below "pre" boom levels... catch 22.
He went BK, his wife left him etc.
He now lives in a humble home on the outskirts of Brisbane.. a broken man, and essentially "poor".
Bad timing, bad business, or bad luck?
Don't blame luck. That is what business is all about. In the 80's I went to a seminar held by acertain Terry M (a supposed genius at finance) and was convinced to borrow in swiss francs. The $350,000 I borrowed ended up being $990,000. I don't blame luck. I had bad advice and made a bad decision. I just had to find another "horse".( or 2 or3)smoothsatin said:Well it was good luck/business/timing to manufacture behind heavy tariffs, good timing to be part of the a speculative frenzy fuelled by deregulation that prompted the RBA to try and prick the bubble (yes it was an inevitable recession given how blunt and clumcy monetary policy is). Bad business/understanding of how an economy works and what is sustainable and what isn't. I guess this largely supports the luck theory!
nioka said:OR ..........work hard at finding another good horse and work on finding another buyer. That is called making your own luck.
nioka said:OR ..........work hard at finding another good horse and work on finding another buyer. That is called making your own luck.
hi all..firstly im not a great believer in luck,rather we reap what we sow..and secondly when people start on the idea that life is great and just dandy id say be very careful coz u dont know what disaster lurks just around the corner..we arent called to be critical but rather walk in love and compassion for one anotherJulia said:Thanks to all for thoughtful and interesting responses.
I have to agree that luck does play some part. Here's an example of two couples who are friends of mine:
Couple A: self funded retirees in their 50's. They married at around age 20, had three perfect children. She was a schoolteacher and he worked in the Public Service. They both had lifetime contributions to Super. They have both been really healthy all their lives and their children caused no problems, either physical or psychological. There are now grandchildren and all is happy and content. They have a beautiful home, travel overseas at least twice a year and within Australia another three or four times a year.
Couple B: Second marriage. Neither had much of an education and consequently didn't have high earning careers or Super. Any assets accrued during the respective first marriages disappeared in the break-up. The stress involved with both marital splits encouraged somewhat excessive use of alcohol and tobacco in both partners. They manage to get enough cash together for deposit on an old house. Large mortgage. They both get sick.
Jobs have to go. Both are on Disability Pensions. Difficulty in making the mortgage payments. More alcohol and more cigarettes. The house, being old, develops lots of problems. They can't afford to fix these. More despair.
She gets cancer. Local health system is overloaded so the cancer has spread through her body by the time she is evaluated. She dies six months later.
When all this happens with Couple B, Couple A (who know couple B), are critical and say that it's all their own fault because they haven't planned properly.
What do you think?
Julia
A 1.3 million to 1 chance. Not very good odds.professor_frink said:Here's a story that is nothing but luck
The wife went out and bought a lotto ticket. Won 1.3 million.
They recently moved into their new home, and have enough money for their retirement.
Now that's luck!
nioka said:A 1.3 million to 1 chance. Not very good odds.
I had friends (who also borrowed swiss franks) try that . There was a drought at the time and their dams were half empty so they sold their stock. My dams were half full so I bought a lot of stock allowing for the fact that it always rains at the end of a dry spell. I paid off my loan, They didn't win lotto. They went to the wall, I'm still having fun. Now that's NOT luck.
You make a point but the thread was "why are some people poor" Some people are luckilly rich but many are poor waiting for luck.wayneL said:So, what if my friend bought a different horse, what if that horse was injured early in its career, what if she had a career ending injury and sold that horse to somebody else before anyone knew how brilliant it was?
What if those yanks went to UK looking for horses instead of Oz?
Hard work is indipensible, and yes you can create situations where luck may find you....but it is still luck.
Never underestimate it.
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