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BSD said:From my experience - it is the boring well-researched stock, bought when unloved and tripled-up-on when VERY unloved that turns into the fast (2 -5 years) 'pay off your morgage" and/or "retirement" stories.
The level of homework and/or patience is the thing that makes these ideas difficult to capitalise-on for 99% of market participants.
You do need to be very comfortable with the "long term value" of the firm to hang-on or triple-up when your 'baby' loses 15% one day and 40% over the year since you bought.
It takes strong 'faith in the numbers' to buy 5 times more when your current holding is being smoked. Or to carry 80% of your net worth on something that has five bagged over the last 18 months.
You can be shaken out of too many amazing deals because of noise.
This is pretty much on the money I reckon and have seen it a lot of times.
Applies to all investment classes not just stocks. The only thing I've come to believe in more recent times is that its possible to get the timing better on these situations once you know they exist which will make capital work a bit more efficiently - though if the quality investment also provides an above average yield the return is coming via that anyway. Key factor in making this strategy work is impeccable research and also a clear, unemotional criteria for identifying the difference between a very undervalued asset, a mildly undervalued asset, and worthless crud. Going against the prevailing sentiment is the hardest part of this strategy which is why clear objective criteria for entering the investment is essential.