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- 11 May 2005
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RichKid said:Reading some of the commodity books I've found that some of these guys who trade commodities often know stacks about agriculture, weather and the effect a bad sardine(?) catch in Sth America will have on the price of soy beans.
It has to with El Niño/ La Nina. Maybe youve heard of it?
If theres a cold current running up the west coast of South America then theres more plankton:fish:whales in it (saw it on a blue-whale doco).
The effect on the other side of the Pacific is warmer waters off the East coast of Australia therefore better rainfall therefore better crops (mostly- rain at the wrong time can ruin certain crops!) Sometimes it pays to be a farmer- maybe i'll have a look at futures!
I never actually considered the fish catch before- we usually go by the Southern oscillation index (SOI) which gives a fair idea of the El Niño (bad) and La Nina (good) cycles.